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msudogs
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MLB Lagniappe 8/02

Arizona (58-51) @ Pittsburgh (55-53)
— Pfaadt is 3-0, 2.15 in his last five starts.
— Arizona is 5-1 in his last six starts.
— under 6-5 road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-5
— He is 1-0, 6.35 in two starts vs Pittsburgh

— Arizona is 13-4 in its last 17 games.
— Diamondbacks are 27-26 on road.
— Diamondbacks are 5-12 in road series openers.
— over 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 34-109
— record in first 5 innings: 50-40-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-x

— Ortiz is 2-0, 1.21 in five starts (29.2 IP).
— Pittsburgh is 3-2 in his starts.
— under 5-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0-2
— He gave up 3 runs in 5 IP at Arizona last week.

— Pirates are 12-6 in their last 18 games.
— They’re 26-26 at home.
— Pirates are 11-6 in home series openers.
— ever 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 21-108
— record in first 5 innings: 46-42-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3-x

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Milwaukee (61-47) @ Washington (49-60)
— Montas is making his first start for Milwaukee.
— He was 0-2, 9.00 in last three starts for the Reds.
— Reds were 6-13 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 6-12-1
— He is 1-1, 9.00 in two starts vs Washington

— Brewers are 2-4 in their last six games.
— They’re 30-26 on road.
— Brewers are 4-10 in last 14 road series openers.
— under 7-4 last 11 road games
— scored run in first inning: 29-108
— record in first 5 innings: 50-44-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-x

— Irvin is 1-1, 6.06 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 8-3 in his last 11 starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-22
— record in first 5 innings: 7-10-5
— He is 0-2, 7.71 in three starts vs Milwaukee.

— Nationals are 2-7 in last nine games.
— They’re 23-27 at home.
— Nationals are 2-6 in last eight home series openers.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 18-109
— record in first 5 innings: 43-55-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3.2-x

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San Francisco (54-56) @ Cincinnati (52-56)
— Harrison is 2-0, 1.06 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 12-6 in his starts.
— over 7-3 last ten starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-3
— He is 1-0, 2.38 in two starts vs Cincinnati.

— San Francisco is 5-1 in its last six games.
— Giants are 21-33 on road.
— Giants are 7-9 in road series openers.
— under 11-4 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-110
— record in first 5 innings: 45-49-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-x-x

— Abbott is 0-1, 7.07 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 7-3 in his last ten starts.
— under 16-5
— allowed run in first inning: 7-21
— record in first 5 innings: 11-7-3
— He is 2-1, 2.76 in three starts vs San Francisco

— Reds are 5-3 in their last eight games.
— They’re 27-29 at home.
— Reds are 9-2 in last 11 home series openers.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 30-108
— record in first 5 innings: 49-45-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-5-x

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Miami (40-69) @ Atlanta (59-49)
— Marlins haven’t named a starter.

— Marlins are 8-6 in their last 14 games.
— Miami is 18-35 on road.
— over 18-7-1 last 26 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-109
— record in first 5 innings: 35-64-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-3

— Schwellenbach is 3-1, 2.08 in his last four starts.
— Atlanta is 4-6 in his starts.
— under 9-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6
— He hasn’t pitched against Miami

— Braves are 5-1 in their last six games.
— They’re 31-21 at home.
— under 23-11 last 34 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-108
— record in first 5 innings: 51-42-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3.1-3

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Colorado (40-70) @ San Diego (58-51)
— Gomber is 0-2, 6.91 in his last three starts.
— Colorado lost his last six road starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 9-20
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-4
— He is 3-3, 3.09 in ten starts vs San Diego.

— Rockies lost six of last nine games.
— They’re 16-41 on road.
— Rockies lost their last seven road series openers.
— over 9-3 last 12 road games
— scored run in first inning: 30-110
— record in first 5 innings: 40-55-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-2-4

— Vasquez is 1-2, 4.24 in his last five starts.
— San Diego is 6-4 in his last ten starts.
— over 6-1 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-1
— He is 0-1, 12.79 in two starts vs Colorado.

— Padres won nine of last ten games.
— They’re 28-28 at home.
— Padres are 5-2 in last seven home series openers.
— over 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 30-110
— record in first 5 innings: 47-48-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-6-3.1

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Baltimore (65-45) @ Cleveland (66-42)
— Kremer is 0-3, 7.20 in his last four starts.
— Orioles are 6-8 in his starts.
— over 10-4
— allowed run in first inning: 1-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-1
— He is 0-2, 6.23 in three starts vs Cleveland.

— Baltimore won four of last six games.
— Orioles are 31-20 on road.
— over 13-2 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-110
— record in first 5 innings: 59-40-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-3.2

— Carrasco is 0-3, 9.00 in his last three starts.
— Guardians are 7-12 in his starts.
— under 7-4 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 4-14-1
— He is 4-2, 2.23 in seven starts vs Baltimore.

— Cleveland is 7-2 in its last nine games.
— Guardians are 34-15 at home.
— under 12-4 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-108
— record in first 5 innings: 51-42-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-3

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Kansas City (61-49) @ Detroit (52-58)
— Ragans is 2-1, 3.51 in his last four starts.
— Kansas City is 4-7 in his last 11 starts.
— under 7-4 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-22
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-5
— This is his first start vs Detroit.

— Royals won their last four games.
— Royals are 25-27 on road
— over 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 31-110
— record in first 5 innings: 52-42-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-1

— Skubal is 3-0, 2.00 in his last four starts.
— Detroit is 14-7 in his starts.
— under 5-3 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-21
— record in first 5 innings: 13-4-4
— He is 1-1, 3.75 in two starts vs Kansas City TY. .

— Detroit is 3-8 in its last 11 games.
— Tigers are 25-29 at home.
— over 8-5 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-110
— record in first 5 innings: 43-49-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.1-x-2

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Toronto (50-59) @ Bronx (65-45)
— Gausman is 3-0, 3.57 in his last three starts.
— Toronto is 10-6 in his last 16 starts.
— over 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 11-9-1
— He is 0-2, 11.45 in three starts vs New York TY.

— Toronto lost three of its last four games.
— Blue Jays are 24-31 on road.
— Blue Jays lost last eight road series openers.
— over 28-6 last 34 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-109
— record in first 5 innings: 45-51-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-x

— Stroman is 0-2, 6.85 in his last five starts.
— New York is 14-7 in his starts.
— over 9-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-3
— He is 0-0, 2.87 in three starts vs Toronto TY.
— He pitched for the Blue Jays from 2014-19.

— New York won its last five games, scoring 46 runs.
— They’re 27-23 at home.
— New York is 3-6 in last nine home series openers.
— over 26-9 last 35 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-110
— record in first 5 innings: 56-41-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.2-3.2-x

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Boston (57-50) @ Texas (52-57)
— Crawford is 1-1, 5.94 in his last three starts.
— Boston is 7-14 in his starts.
— under 9-6 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 7-21
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-5
— He is 0-0, 3.75 in two starts vs Texas.

— Red Sox are 4-8 since All-Star break.
— They’re 30-22 on road.
— Red Sox are 9-8 in road series openers.
— over 9-2 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 34-107
— record in first 5 innings: 57-39-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-2.2-x

— Urena is 2-3, 3.77 in six starts.
— His last start was June 5th,
— Texas is 3-3 in his starts.
— under 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4
— He is 0-1, 3.38 in three starts vs Boston

— Rangers lost five of last six games.
— Texas is 8-2 in last ten home games.
— Texas is 9-8 in home series openers.
— over 7-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 36-109
— record in first 5 innings: 47-45-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-3.2

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White Sox (27-84) @ Minnesota (59-48)
— bullpen game

— White Sox have lost 17 games in a row.
— Chicago is 10-44 on road.
— White Sox are 1-16 in road series openers.
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 22-111
— record in first 5 innings: 43-53-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-x

— Ryan is 0-2, 6.23 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 3-7 in his last ten starts.
— over 6-0 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 8-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-3
— He is 2-0, 3.54 in five starts vs Chicago.

— Twins split their last ten games.
— Twins are 29-21 at home.
— Twins are 10-2 in last 12 home series openers.
— over 8-3 last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-107
— record in first 5 innings: 47-47-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-x

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Tampa Bay (55-53) @ Houston (56-52)
— Baz is 0-1, 3.66 in four starts.
— Rays are 2-2 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Houston

— Tampa Bay is 11-7 in its last 18 games.
— Rays are 25-24 on road.
— Rays are 7-9 in road series openers.
— over 5-1 last six road games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-108
— record in first 5 innings: 39-53-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-4-x

— Kikuchi is making his first start for Houston.
— He was 0-1, 10.05 in his last three starts for Toronto.
— Toronto was 2-6 in his last eight starts.
— over 10-2 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 7-22
— record in first 5 innings: 7-11-4
— He is 5-2, 3.72 in nine starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Houston lost three of last four games.
— Astros are 30-25 at home.
— Astros are 11-3 in last 14 home series openers.
— under 5-3 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 33-108
— record in first 5 innings: 50-46-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-x

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NY Mets (57-51) @ LA Angels (47-62)
— Blackburn is making his first start for the Mets.
— He is 2-2, 7.62 in his last five starts,
— A’s were 7-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5
— He is 4-0, 3.27 in six starts vs Anaheim

— New York is 15-7 in its last 22 games.
— Mets are 27-22 on road.
— Mets are 9-8 in road series openers.
— over 5-1 last six road openers
— scored run in first inning: 27-108
— record in first 5 innings: 47-44-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-6-x

— Amderson is 1-1, 2.70 in his last four starts.
— Angels are 9-5 in his last 14 starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 8-21
— record in first 5 innings: 8-10-3
— He 2-2, 2.45 in five starts vs New York.

— Angels lost five of last seven games.
— They’re 24-34 at home.
— Angels are 8-10 in home series openers.
— over 9-6 last 15 home games
— scored run in first inning: 24-109
— record in first 5 innings: 36-61-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-4

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Los Angeles (63-46) @ Oakland (45-65)
— Stone is 0-2, 6.27 in his last four starts.
— Dodgers are 13-6 in his starts.
— under 11-3 last 14
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Oakland.

— Dodgers are 1-4 in last five games.
— Dodgers are 2-10 in last 12 road games.
— Dodgers are 11-8 in road series openers.
— over 5-2 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 37-109
— record in first 5 innings: 54-44-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-4.1-x

— Estes is 2-1, 5.24 in his last four starts.
— A’s are 6-7 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Los Angeles.

— A’s are 15-9 in last 24 games.
— Oakland is 8-4 in last 12 home games.
— A’s are 6-1 in last seven home series openers.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 23-110
— record in first 5 innings: 41-64-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2.1-x

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Philadelphia (65-43) @ Seattle (57-53)
— Phillips is 3-0, 1.71 in three starts.
— Phillies are 3-0 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0
— This is his first start vs Seattle.

— Phillies are 4-11 in their last 15 games.
— They’re 27-22 on road.
— Phillies lost their last five series openers.
— over 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 40-108
— record in first 5 innings: 64-33-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.1-3.1-x

— Woo is 1-0, 4.50 in his last four starts.
— Seattle is 8-3 in his starts.
— over 8-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-11
— record in first 5 innings: 8-1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against the Phillies.

— Seattle won four of last six games.
— Mariners are 31-23 at home.
— Mariners are 13-4 in home series openers.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 30-110
— record in first 5 innings: 50-44-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-3-2.2

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Trend: Favorites are just 20-33 (37.7%, -26.16 units) in the last 53 games between Toronto and NY Yankees
– The ROI on this trend is -49.4%
System Matches: FADE NY YANKEES (-162 vs TOR)

Trend: Over the total is 4-1 when CLE has been a home underdog this season
System Match: PLAY OVER the total in BAL-CLE (o/u at 9)

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(953) ARIZONA (58-51) at (954) PITTSBURGH (55-53)
Trend: AZ slight Over at night (42-30 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(955) MILWAUKEE (61-47) at (956) WASHINGTON (49-60)
Trend: MIL not as good vs. NL East/West (12-20, -13.39 units)
System Match: FADE MILWAUKEE (-118 at WSH)

(957) SAN FRANCISCO (54-56) at (958) CINCINNATI (52-56)
Trend: SF bad vs. LH starters (13-21, -12.36 units)
System Match: FADE SAN FRANCISCO (+100 at CIN)

(959) MIAMI (40-69) at (960) ATLANTA (59-49)
Trend: ATL leads head-to-head season series 6-1 (including 4-0 at home)
System Match: PLAY ATLANTA (-238 vs MIA)

(961) COLORADO (40-70) at (962) SAN DIEGO (59-51)
Trend: SD trending Over in divisional play (22-12 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8)

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(965) TORONTO (50-59) at (966) NEW YORK-AL (65-45)
Trend: TOR is 4-13 (-15.69 units) vs. AL East foes with Kevin Gausman in the last two seasons
System Match: FADE TORONTO (+136 at NYY)

Trend: TOR is 3-8 (-4.81 units) as a road night underdog with Kevin Gausman since 2019
System Match: FADE TORONTO (+136 at NYY)

(969) BOSTON (57-50) at (970) TEXAS (52-57)
Trend: BOS is 4-14 (-11.30 units) in the months of August/September by starter Kutter Crawford
System Match: FADE BOSTON (-115 at TEX)

(971) TAMPA BAY (55-53) at (972) HOUSTON (56-52)
Trend: Yusei Kikuchi is 6-3 (+3.05 units) vs. Tampa Bay all-time
System Match: PLAY HOUSTON (-162 vs. TB)

Trend: Yusei Kikuchi is 13-19 (-15.31 units) as a night home favorite in career
System Match: FADE HOUSTON (-162 vs. TB)

(973) CHICAGO-AL (27-84) at (974) MINNESOTA (59-48)
Trend: MIN is 18-2 (+14.00 units) vs. teams with a winning pct of <42% with starter Joe Ryan since 2021
System Match: PLAY MINNESOTA (-298 vs. CWS)

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Friday MLB betting at BetMGM

Most bet teams to win

1. Royals +100
2. Yankees -165
3. Pirates +120
4. Twins -300
5. Orioles -115

Most bet teams to win $

1. Pirates +120
2. Twins -300
3. Yankees -165
4. Royals +100
5. Phillies -110

Old Post 08-02-24 11:23 PM
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