Seattle (57-52) @ Boston (56-50)
— Kirby is 2-2, 2.17 in his last six starts.
— Seattle is 7-4 in his last 11 starts.
— under 5-2 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-22
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-4
— He is 2-1, 3.18 in five starts vs Boston.

— Seattle won four of last five games.
— Mariners are 26-29 on road.
— over 7-2 last nine road games
— scored run in first inning: 30-109
— record in first 5 innings: 49-44-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-5.1-3

— Bello is 3-0, 4.60 in his last five starts.
— Boston is 5-2 in his last seven starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 13-6
— He is 3-0, 3.94 in three starts vs Seattle.

— Red Sox lost eight of last 11 games.
— They’re 26-28 at home.
— over 9-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 33-106
— record in first 5 innings: 56-39-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.1-4.2

Colorado (38-70) @ LA Angels (47-60)
— Freeland is 2-1, 3.79 in his last six starts.
— Colorado is 2-4 in his road starts.
— over 6-4
— allowed run in first inning: 5-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6
— He is 1-0, 3.18 in three starts vs Anaheim.

— Rockies lost six of last seven games.
— They’re 14-41 on road.
— over 8-2 last ten road games
— scored run in first inning: 29-108
— record in first 5 innings: 40-55-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-x-4.1

— Daniel is 1-2, 6.35 in three starts.
— Angels are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Colorado

— Angels lost three of last five games.
— They’re 24-32 at home.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 24-107
— record in first 5 innings: 36-61-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-6.1-3

Oakland (45-64) @ San Francisco (53-56)
— Stripling is 1-4, 8.41 in his last five starts.
— A’s are 3-9 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-12
— record in first 5 innings: 2-10
— He is 2-3, 3.20 in 15 games (5 starts) vs San Francisco.

— A’s are 15-8 in last 23 games.
— Oakland is 9-20 in last 29 road games.
— over 9-4 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 23-109
— record in first 5 innings: 41-63-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.1-2

— Webb is 0-2, 8.44 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 2-5 in his last seven starts.
— over 4-0 last four home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-22
— record in first 5 innings: 8-10-4
— He is 1-2, 5.68 in five starts vs Oakland.

— San Francisco is 5-2 in its last seven games.
— Giants are 32-23 at home.
— under 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-109
— record in first 5 innings: 44-49-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 9-x-4.2

Cubs (51-58) @ Cincinnati (52-55)
— Hendricks is 1-5, 6.07 in his last six starts.
— Chicago is 4-10 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-10
— He is 3-6, 5.82 in 13 starts at Cincinnati.

— Cubs are 5-9 in their last 14 games.
— They’re 24-33 on road.
— under 9-2 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 23-109
— record in first 5 innings: 42-50-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-4-3

— Lodolo is 0-0, 5.06 in his last four starts.
— Reds are 7-3 in his last ten starts.
— under 11-5
— allowed run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-2
— He is 2-1, 3.32 in four starts vs Chicago

— Reds are 5-2 in their last seven games.
— They’re 27-28 at home.
— under 7-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 30-107
— record in first 5 innings: 49-44-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-4-5

Los Angeles (63-45) @ San Diego (58-51)
— Kershaw gave up two runs in 4 IP, in his first ‘24 start.
— Dodgers are 1-0 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 11-5, 2.08 in 21 starts at San Diego.

— Dodgers are 1-3 in last four games.
— Dodgers are 29-25 on road.
— under 6-3 last nine road games.
— scored run in first inning: 37-108
— record in first 5 innings: 54-43-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-x-2.2

— Cease is 3-0, 0.00 in his last three starts (22 IP).
— He pitched a no-hitter in Washington last week.
— San Diego is 5-2 in his last seven starts.
— under 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 9-22
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9-3
— He is 0-1, 1.80 in two starts against the Dodgers.

— Padres won eight of last nine games.
— They’re 27-28 at home.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 30-109
— record in first 5 innings: 46-48-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-x-6

Pittsburgh (55-52) @ Houston (55-52)
— bullpen game

— Pirates are 12-5 in their last 17 games.
— They’re 29-26 on road.
— under 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-107
— record in first 5 innings: 45-42-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3.2

— Valdez is 4-0, 3.19 in his last six starts.
— Houston is 11-3 in his last 14 starts.
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 2-18
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-1
— He is 1-1, 7.20 in two starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Houston lost its last three games.
— Astros are 30-24 at home.
— over 6-4 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 33-107
— record in first 5 innings: 50-45-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-6-3.1

Trend: Over the total is 15-1 (93.8%, +14.00 units) since 2019 in SEA-BOS head-to-head games in Boston
– The ROI on this trend is 87.5%
System Matches: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 9.5)

Trend: Kyle Hendricks not good in the short underdog role, +100 to +128 range, 3-14 (-10.75 units)
System Match: FADE CHICAGO CUBS (+124 at CIN)

(975) COLORADO (38-70) at (976) LOS ANGELES-AL (47-60)
Trend: COL bad on the road (14-41, -15.50 units)
System Match: FADE COLORADO (+120 at LAA)

(977) OAKLAND (45-64) at (978) SAN FRANCISCO (53-56)
Trend: OAK not as good vs. RH starters (32-53, -11.62 units)
System Match: FADE OAKLAND (+180 at SF)

(975) COLORADO (38-70) at (976) LOS ANGELES-AL (47-60)
Trend: COL is 5-15 (-6.26 units) on the road with starter Kyle Freeland in the last two seasons
System Match: FADE COLORADO (+120 at LAA)

(977) OAKLAND (45-64) at (978) SAN FRANCISCO (53-56)
Trend: Ross Stripling is 5-13 (-5.95 units) as a night underdog in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE OAKLAND (+180 at SF)

Trend: SF is 14-4 (+6.42 units) as a night favorite of -160 or higher with starter Logan Webb in the last five seasons (including 11-1 (+9.38 units) at home)
System Match: PLAY SAN FRANCISCO (-218 vs. OAK)