Milwaukee (19-11) @ Cubs (19-13)
— Ross is 0-3, 9.60 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee is 1-4 in his starts.
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He is 0-4, 4.25 in seven starts vs Chicago.

— Brewers split their last 10 games.
— They’re 12-4 on road.
— Brewers are 6-4 in series openers.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 11-30
— record in first 5 innings: 16-9-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3-x

— Wesneski gave up 2 runs in 4 IP (63 PT) in his first ’24 start.
— Chicago is 0-1 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— This is his first start vs Milwaukee.

— Cubs lost four of their last six games.
— They’re 10-3 at home.
— Cubs are 4-0 in home series openers.
— under 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 8-32
— record in first 5 innings: 14-12-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-5.1

Colorado (7-24) @ Pittsburgh (14-18)
— Quantrill is 0-2, 3.91 in his last four starts.
— Colorado is 1-5 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 0-4-2
— He is 0-1, 3.60 in three starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Rockies are 7-24 in their first 31 games.
— They’re 2-16 away from home.
— Rockies are 3-7 in series openers.
— under 13-7 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 9-31
— record in first 5 innings: 7-17-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.1-2.1-6.1

— Perez is 0-1, 3.42 in his last four starts.
— Pittsburgh is 3-3 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
— He is 2-2, 3.74 in six starts vs Colorado.

— Pirates are 5-15 in their last 20 games.
— They’re 5-7 at home.
— Pirates are 4-6 in series openers.
— under 10-1 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 7-31
— record in first 5 innings: 12-15-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-x

San Francisco (15-17) @ Philadelphia (21-11)
— Hicks is 2-0, 1.85 in six starts.
— San Francisco is 3-3 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
— He is 3-0, 2.25 in 12 relief stints (12 IP) vs Philadelphia

— San Francisco is 3-4 in its last seven games.
— Giants are 6-10 on road.
— Giants are 5-5 in series openers.
— under 9-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 5-32
— record in first 5 innings: 10-16-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-9-4

— Nola is 4-0, 2.06 in his last five starts.
— Phillies are 5-1 in his starts.
— under 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
— He is 3-2, 6.81 in seven starts vs San Francisco.

— Phillies are 16-5 in their last 21 games.
— Phillies are 10-6 at home.
— Phillies are 7-3 in series openers.
— under 18-9 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-32
— record in first 5 innings: 22-8-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4-x

San Diego (16-18) @ Arizona (14-18)
— Cease is 3-1, 3.24 in his last four starts.
— San Diego is 3-3 in his starts.
— over 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-3
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He gave up 2 runs in 8 IP, in his one start vs Arizona

— Padres are 5-9 in their last 14 games.
— They’re 8-6 on road.
— Padres are 5-6 in series openers.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 12-34
— record in first 5 innings: 14-15-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-x

— Cecconi is 1-1, 2.25 in two starts.
— Arizona is 1-1 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— This is his first start vs San Diego.

— Arizona is 2-5 in its last seven games.
— Diamondbacks are 8-8 at home.
— Diamondbacks are 1-9 in series openers.
— under 16-6 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 13-32
— record in first 5 innings: 14-12-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 10-6-x

Atlanta (20-9) @ Los Angeles (20-13)
— Morton is 2-0, 3.72 in five starts.
— Atlanta is 3-2 in his starts.
— under 2-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0-2
— He is 1-4, 5.70 in seven starts vs Los Angeles.

— Braves are 2-3 in their last five games.
— They’re 9-5 on road.
— Braves are 8-2 in series openers.
— under 9-0 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 8-29
— record in first 5 innings: 16-9-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-x

— Stone is 2-0, 2.65 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 3-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He gave up 5 runs in 4 IP in his one start vs Atlanta.

— Dodgers won eight of last ten games.
— Dodgers are 9-8 at home.
— Dodgers are 7-4 in series openers.
— under 5-2 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 14-33
— record in first 5 innings: 19-12-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-3

Detroit (18-13) @ Bronx (20-13)
— Olson is 0-4, 4.76 in five starts.
— Detroit is 1-4 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 0-4-1
— He gave up a run in 4.1 IP, in his one start vs New York.

— Detroit is 8-4 in its last 12 games.
— Tigers are 10-4 on road.
— Tigers are 6-4 in series openers.
— under 7-4 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 11-31
— record in first 5 innings: 13-14-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.2-3-x

— Stroman is 1-1, 5.95 in his last four starts.
— New York is 4-2 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-2
— He is 2-1, 1.75 in five starts vs Detroit.

— New York split its last ten games.
— They’re 8-5 at home.
— New York is 5-5 in series openers.
— under 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 8-33
— record in first 5 innings: 14-12-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-4-x

LA Angels (11-20) @ Cleveland (20-11)
— Soriano is 1-2, 6.48 in four starts.
— Angels are 0-4 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— This is his first start vs Cleveland.

— Angels are 2-11 in their last 13 games.
— They’re 7-9 on road.
— Angels are 5-5 in series openers.
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 9-31
— record in first 5 innings: 8-21-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-4

— Bibee is 1-0, 1.53 in his last three starts.
— Guardians are 6-0 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1
— He is 0-1, 1.84 in two starts vs Anaheim.
— Cleveland is 8-5 in its last 13 games.

— Guardians are 8-4 at home.
— Guardians are 6-4 in series openers.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 6-31
— record in first 5 innings: 17-9-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-3-2.1

Texas (17-15) @ Kansas City (19-13)
— Lorenzen is 2-1, 4.24 in four starts.
— Texas is 2-1 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He is 1-1, 2.75 in three starts vs Kansas City.

— Rangers are 4-2 in their last six games.
— They’re 7-6 on road.
— Rangers are 7-3 in series openers.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 11-32
— record in first 5 innings: 13-11-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.2-x

— Singer is 0-1, 4.50 in his last three starts.
— Kansas City is 4-2 in his starts.
— under 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He is 0-3, 8.10 in three starts vs Texas.

— Royals won six of last nine games.
— Royals are 12-5 at home.
— Royals are 5-5 in series openers.
— under 17-6 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 11-32
— record in first 5 innings: 16-9-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-2-x

Boston (18-14) @ Minnesota (17-13)
— Houck is 1-1, 1.25 in his last three starts.
— Boston is 4-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1
— He is 2-0, 3.12 in three starts vs Minnesota.

— Red Sox won eight of last 12 games.
— They’re 11-5 on road.
— Boston is 4-5 in series openers.
— under 8-4 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 13-32
— record in first 5 innings: 19-7-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-4.2

— Paddack is 2-0, 3.00 in his last two starts.
— Minnesota is 4-1 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He gave up 6 runs in 2.1 IP, in his one start vs Boston.

— Twins won their last ten games.
— They’re 6-6 at home.
— Twins are 4-6 in series openers.
— over 7-2 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 8-30
— record in first 5 innings: 11-16-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-3-x

“9” is a magic run number for fading a team in the next game
Since 2018, doesn’t matter if the team is playing at home or on the road, if they scored 9 runs or more in the previous contest, they are posting a winning record at 1483-1384 (51.7%), but oddsmaker overpricing has resulted in a loss of -169.47 units. This represents a ROI of -5.9%, which is significant in the grand scheme of baseball daily betting.
System Matches (FADE): MINNESOTA (-115 vs BOS)

Road teams that didn’t score well last game are a bad bet in the next outing
You’re going to want to consider fading teams playing on the road that scored two runs or fewer in their last contest. They have proven to be bankroll-busting options over their last 4+ seasons. These road teams are just 1348-1759 (43.4%) for -179.65 units and an ROI of -5.8% since the start of the 2019 season.
System Matches (FADE ALL): TORONTO (-180 at WSH), SEATTLE (-108 at HOU), LA ANGELS (+154 at CLE), BOSTON (-105 at MIN)

Losing Streak Betting System #6:
Teams that have lost their last four games but are getting reasonably good pitching during the skid have been solid wagers in game #5, as those that allowed 6.0 RPG or fewer during the streak are on a 140-115 run (+50.61 units, ROI: 19.8%).
System Matches: PLAY PITTSBURGH (-180 vs COL)

Losing Streak Betting System #7:
The matchup most likely to find a team ending a four-game losing streak is a non-divisional league matchup, as these teams are 108-103 (+22.62 units, ROI: 10.7%) in such games since the start of the 2021 season.
System Matches: *COL and PIT play each other today*

Winning Streak Betting System #1:
Teams on winning streaks of five games or more are on an 168-88 (+12.23 units, ROI: 4.8%) run in the next game when playing as home favorites.
System Matches: PLAY MINNESOTA (-115 vs BOS)

Winning Streak Betting System #4:
Teams on winning streaks of five games or more and playing against non-divisional league opponents are 154-101 in their last 255 tries (+24.37 units, ROI: 9.6%).
System Matches: PLAY MINNESOTA (-115 vs BOS)

(903) COLORADO (7-24) at (904) PITTSBURGH (14-18)
Trend: COL not good vs. LH starters (1-7, -5.51 units)
System Match: FADE COLORADO (+145 at PIT)

(905) SAN FRANCISCO (15-17) at (906) PHILADELPHIA (21-11)
Trend: PHI has been good vs RH starters (14-5, +6.38 units)
System Match: PLAY PHILADELPHIA (-162 vs SF)

(907) SAN DIEGO (16-18) at (908) ARIZONA (14-18)
Trend: AZ trending Under vs RH starters (3-14 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 9)

(909) ATLANTA (20-9) at (910) LOS ANGELES-NL (20-13)
Trend: LAD trending Over at home (11-4 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 9)

(911) DETROIT (18-13) at (912) NEW YORK-AL (20-13)
Trend: NYY good vs RH starters (16-7, +8.39 units)
System Match: PLAY NY YANKEES (-162 vs DET)

(913) LOS ANGELES-AL (11-20) at (914) CLEVELAND (20-11)
Trend: CLE trending Over vs AL East/West (15-6 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 7.5)

(903) COLORADO (7-24) at (904) PITTSBURGH (14-18)
Trend: Cal Quantrill is 1-12 (-10.40 units) as an underdog of +150 or more in L4 seasons
System Match: FADE COLORADO (+154 at PIT)

(905) SAN FRANCISCO (15-17) at (906) PHILADELPHIA (21-11)
Trend: PHI is 20-3 (+15.15 units) as a home favorite from -150 to -198 with starter Aaron Nola in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY PHILADELPHIA (-162 vs SF)

(909) ATLANTA (20-9) at (910) LOS ANGELES-NL (20-13)
Trend: Charlie Morton is 1-6 (-5.52 units) in the last five seasons against LA Dodgers
System Match: FADE ATLANTA (-102 at LAD)

(919) BOSTON (18-14) at (920) MINNESOTA (17-13)
Trend: BOS is 2-12 (-10.55 units) in the -120 to +100 line range by starter Tanner Houck
System Match: FADE BOSTON (-105 at MIN)

(925) NEW YORK-NL (16-15) at (926) TAMPA BAY (14-18)
Trend: Aaron Civale is 17-5 (+7.65 units) in home night games as a favorite in L5 seasons
System Match: PLAY TAMPA BAY (-142 vs NYM)