Saturday, 04/27/2024 (545) BOSTON vs. (546) MIAMI
Favoring: BOSTON against the spread.
BOSTON is 32-13 ATS (+17.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 113, OPPONENT 105.3 - (Rating = 2*)
Saturday, 04/27/2024 (543) OKLAHOMA CITY vs. (544) NEW ORLEANS
Favoring: OKLAHOMA CITY against the spread.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 119.6, OPPONENT 113.3 - (Rating = 2*)
Saturday, 04/27/2024 (541) CLEVELAND vs. (542) ORLANDO
Favoring: CLEVELAND against the spread.
CLEVELAND is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 111.4, OPPONENT 104.4 - (Rating = 2*)
Saturday, 04/27/2024 (541) CLEVELAND vs. (542) ORLANDO
Favoring: ORLANDO against the spread.
ORLANDO is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=13 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was ORLANDO 110.9, OPPONENT 106.2 - (Rating = 2*)
Saturday, 04/27/2024 (541) CLEVELAND vs. (542) ORLANDO
Favoring: Under on the total.
CLEVELAND is 27-8 UNDER (+18.2 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 106.7, OPPONENT 100.7 - (Rating = 3*)
Saturday, 04/27/2024 (547) DENVER vs. (548) LA LAKERS
Favoring: Under on the total.
DENVER is 11-2 UNDER (+8.8 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was DENVER 108.7, OPPONENT 105.7 - (Rating = 2*)
Saturday, 04/27/2024 (545) BOSTON vs. (546) MIAMI
Favoring: BOSTON on the first half line.
BOSTON is 47-26 (+18.4 Units) against the 1rst half line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 62.3, OPPONENT 54.4 - (Rating = 2*
Saturday, 04/27/2024 (545) BOSTON vs. (546) MIAMI
Favoring: BOSTON on the first half line.
BOSTON is 32-13 (+17.7 Units) against the 1rst half line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 57.3, OPPONENT 52.1 - (Rating = 2*)
Saturday, 04/27/2024 (547) DENVER vs. (548) LA LAKERS
Favoring: Over on the first half line.
LA LAKERS are 55-30 OVER (+22 Units) the 1rst half total versus the first half line in all games this season.
The average score was LA LAKERS 60.2, OPPONENT 59.9 - (Rating = 3*)
Saturday, 04/27/2024 (547) DENVER vs. (548) LA LAKERS
Favoring: Over on the first half line.
LA LAKERS are 42-21 OVER (+18.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% this season.
The average score was LA LAKERS 61.6, OPPONENT 59.6 - (Rating = 3*)
Saturday, 04/27/2024 (547) DENVER vs. (548) LA LAKERS
Favoring: Over on the first half line.
LA LAKERS are 12-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) the 1rst half total on Saturday games this season.
The average score was LA LAKERS 63.5, OPPONENT 60.5 - (Rating = 3*)
Saturday, 04/27/2024 (545) BOSTON vs. (546) MIAMI
Favoring: Over on the first half line.
BOSTON is 25-9 OVER (+15.1 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was BOSTON 64.3, OPPONENT 54.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• Since 2019, the first-round Game Three home teams have been 15-23 SU and 16-22 ATS (42.1%). However, their 5-3 SU and 6-2 ATS performance in 2023 was their best in several years.
System Matches: FADE NEW ORLEANS (+1 vs OKC), FADE MIAMI (+9 vs BOS)
• The better Game Three home teams are those coming off a win in Game Two. They are 11-9 SU and 9-11 ATS (45%) in their last 20 tries, while those that lost in Game Two are on a 11-19 SU and 13-17 ATS (43.3%) skid.
System Matches: SLIGHT PLAY MIAMI (+9 vs BOS)
• Game Three point spreads most often tell the story, as hosts of 4.5 points or more are on a 16-2 SU and 14-4 ATS (77.8%) stretch since ’13, while home dogs of 4.5 points or more are just 3-16 SU and 7-11-1 ATS (38.9%) in that same span.
System Matches: FADE MIAMI (+9 vs BOS)
• Game Three home teams in the +4 to -4 line range are currently on a brutal skid of 8-18 SU and 7-18-1 ATS (28%) since 2017.
System Matches: FADE NEW ORLEANS (+1 vs OKC)