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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

NBA Lagniappe 3/21

Thursday, 03/21/2024 (539) ATLANTA vs. (540) PHOENIX
Favoring: PHOENIX against the spread.
ATLANTA is 4-20 ATS (-18 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
The average score was ATLANTA 119.6, OPPONENT 126 - (Rating = 4*)

Thursday, 03/21/2024 (531) CHICAGO vs. (532) HOUSTON
Favoring: HOUSTON against the spread.
HOUSTON is 9-0 ATS (+9 Units) in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.
The average score was HOUSTON 113.4, OPPONENT 106.6 - (Rating = 3*)

Thursday, 03/21/2024 (531) CHICAGO vs. (532) HOUSTON
Favoring: HOUSTON against the spread.
HOUSTON is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=13 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was HOUSTON 117, OPPONENT 109.8 - (Rating = 3*)

Thursday, 03/21/2024 (531) CHICAGO vs. (532) HOUSTON
Favoring: HOUSTON against the spread.
HOUSTON is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.
The average score was HOUSTON 119.3, OPPONENT 102.3 - (Rating = 3*)

Old Post 03-21-24 09:42 PM
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Thursday, 03/21/2024 (533) BROOKLYN vs. (534) MILWAUKEE
Favoring: Under on the total.
MILWAUKEE is 16-3 UNDER (+12.7 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 111.2, OPPONENT 111.4 - (Rating = 3*)

Thursday, 03/21/2024 (533) BROOKLYN vs. (534) MILWAUKEE
Favoring: Under on the total.
MILWAUKEE is 16-4 UNDER (+11.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 115, OPPONENT 111.1 - (Rating = 3*)

Old Post 03-21-24 09:42 PM
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Thursday, 03/21/2024 (535) UTAH vs. (536) DALLAS
Favoring: DALLAS on the first half line.
UTAH is 4-14 (-11.4 Units) against the 1rst half line versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was UTAH 56.7, OPPONENT 65.1 - (Rating = 2*)

Thursday, 03/21/2024 (537) NEW YORK vs. (538) DENVER
Favoring: NEW YORK on the first half line.
NEW YORK is 32-15 (+15.5 Units) against the 1rst half line after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 61.5, OPPONENT 55.9 - (Rating = 2*)

Old Post 03-21-24 09:46 PM
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Thursday, 03/21/2024 (531) CHICAGO vs. (532) HOUSTON
Favoring: Under on the first half line.
HOUSTON is 14-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) the 1rst half total after a win by 10 points or more this season.
The average score was HOUSTON 54.1, OPPONENT 51.2 - (Rating = 3*)

Thursday, 03/21/2024 (533) BROOKLYN vs. (534) MILWAUKEE
Favoring: Under on the first half line.
BROOKLYN is 17-4 UNDER (+12.6 Units) the 1rst half total after having lost 4 of their last 5 games this season.
The average score was BROOKLYN 51.7, OPPONENT 52.6 - (Rating = 3*)

Old Post 03-21-24 09:46 PM
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* Teams playing on 3rd Straight Home game were 64-27 SU and 55-33-3 ATS (62.5%) hosting teams playing a A2A b2b game last season.
3/21: WASHINGTON vs. Sacramento
System Match: PLAY WASHINGTON (+10.5 vs SAC)

* Home teams playing a 4th in 6 Days game were 47-23 SU and 38-31-1 ATS (55.1%) hosting teams playing in an A2A b2b game last season.
3/21: WASHINGTON vs. Sacramento
System Match: PLAY WASHINGTON (+10.5 vs SAC)

* Home teams playing an A2H b2b game were 31-26 SU and 31-26 ATS (54.4%) hosting teams playing in a 4th in 6 Days game last season.
3/21: MILWAUKEE vs. Brooklyn
System Match: PLAY MILWAUKEE (-9.5 vs BKN)

* Home teams playing a H2H b2b game were 30-30 SU and 34-26 ATS (56.7%) hosting teams playing a 3rd Straight Road game last season.
3/21: PHOENIX vs. Atlanta
System Match: PLAY PHOENIX (-9 vs ATL)

* Hosts playing in a H2H b2b game scenario were 17-13 SU and 18-12 ATS (60%) last season hosting teams playing a 4th Straight Road game.
3/21: PHOENIX vs. Atlanta
System Match: PLAY PHOENIX (-9 vs ATL)

Old Post 03-21-24 11:02 PM
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* Over the total was 74-53 (58.3%) over the last two seasons when the road team was on a A2A b2b and the host team was playing a 4th in 6 Days game.
3/21: Over the total in WASHINGTON-SACRAMENTO
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 236.5)

* Over the total was 77-53 (59.2%) over the last three seasons when the home team was on a H2H b2b and the opponent was playing a 3rdStraightRoad game.
3/21: Over the total in PHOENIX-ATLANTA
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 226.5)

Old Post 03-21-24 11:08 PM
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