Group F at Caesars Sportsbook, which looks like this:
Todd Gilliland: +120
Carson Hocevar: +260
Josh Berry: +260
Harrison Burton: +500
I can't argue that Gilliland shouldn't be the favorite here, but +120 in a group of four drivers at a track as unpredictable as Atlanta seems quite short.
In addition, Hocevar and Berry, both Cup Series rookies, sitting at +260 each forces Burton all the way to +500 in a four driver group.
I wish I could spend this portion of the article waxing poetic about how Burton has performed at Atlanta and similar tracks, but I can't.
This pick is solely based on the fact that an experienced Cup Series driver, in terms of this grouping, in very good superspeedway equipment has the longest NASCAR odds, by far.
Give me Williams for a top 10 (from earlier in the week) and give me Burton at 5-1 to win Group F at Caesars and I'll call it a day.