The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping |
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msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535
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4:10 p.m. ET: Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins (-130, 8.5)
The Marlins (7-7) won last night's series opener 5-1, cruising as -155 home favorites. In today's rematch, the Diamondbacks (8-6) turn to righty Ryne Nelson (1-0, 4.91 ERA) while Miami rebuttals with southpaw Braxton Garrett (0-0, 4.70 ERA). This line opened with the Marlins listed as a short -115 home favorite and Arizona +105 road dog. The public is relatively split here, with both sides receiving roughly 50% of tickets. However, despite this even bet count we've seen Miami move from -115 to -130. This signals pro money siding with the Marlins, triggering sharp line movement in their favor. Non-division favorites receiving 10-cents of steam or more are 38-24 (61%) this season. Non-division favorites off a win are 45-25 (64%). The Diamondbacks have struggled against lefties in recent years, going just 35-65 (35%) against southpaws since 2021. Pros are also leaning over, as the the total is 8.5 with the over juiced to -120, signaling a possible rise up to 8.5. The over is receiving 50% of bets but 62% of money, a sharp bet discrepancy.
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04-15-23 04:10 PM |
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