Guardians vs. Nationals (YRFI): There’s a ton of projected edge here, with both starting pitchers actually performing slightly worse their first time through the order.
Angels vs. Red Sox (YRFI): The Angels are probably my favorite YRFI team to bet, with the top three hitters of Taylor Ward, Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani accounting for a huge chunk of the team’s overall production. Today, the Red Sox give them a solid boost as well, since Angels’ starter is slightly worse early in games. Either team’s individual YRFI line at +200 or better is a +EV bet too, but the game line is a better value.
Orioles vs. White Sox (YRFI): This one is a function of the offenses, with the White Sox in particular disproportionately favoring the top of the order. Baltimore is solid in that regard too, especially if you include likely cleanup hitter Ryan Mountcastle, who has six home runs and 19 RBI through 13 games.
Rockies vs. Mariners (YRFI): The Mariners’ offense is doing most of the work here. If you can’t get the -105 at BetMGM, I prefer the Mariners to score in the first inning at +190 on DraftKings. That’s a better value than the -120 both team line listed there and FanDuel.