Tuesday, 03/28/2023 (57) NASHVILLE vs. (58) BOSTON
Favoring: BOSTON on the money line.
Play On - Home Favorites of -200 to -300 against the money line (BOSTON) - extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, with a winning record on the season
(64-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (91.4%, +49.6 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (12-2 +7.1 units).

Tuesday, 03/28/2023 (55) TAMPA BAY vs. (56) CAROLINA
Favoring: TAMPA BAY on the money line.
Play On - Road underdogs against the money line (TAMPA BAY) - off a close road loss by 1 goal, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the second half of the season
(32-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (66.7%, +30.5 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-4 -0.4 units).

Tuesday, 03/28/2023 (69) EDMONTON vs. (70) VEGAS
Favoring: EDMONTON on the money line.
Play Against - Home teams against the money line (VEGAS) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) in the 2nd half of the season
(32-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.3%, +30.3 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-3 +3.6 units).

Tuesday, 03/28/2023 (63) VANCOUVER vs. (64) ST LOUIS
Favoring: ST LOUIS on the money line.
Play Against - Any team against the money line (VANCOUVER) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days
(35-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.4%, +28.1 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-2 +2.3 units).

Tuesday, 03/28/2023 (69) EDMONTON vs. (70) VEGAS
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams where the total is 6 or more (EDMONTON) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games
(84-36 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.0%, +44.6 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (20-11 +8.6 units).

Tuesday, 03/28/2023 (71) WINNIPEG vs. (72) SAN JOSE
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Any team against the total (SAN JOSE) - off 3 consecutive losses against division rivals, with a losing record in the second half of the season
(53-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.6%, +31.7 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-1 +4.2 units

Tuesday, 03/28/2023 (67) LOS ANGELES vs. (68) CALGARY
Favoring: LOS ANGELES on the money line.
CALGARY is 8-19 (-27.1 Units) against the money line after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
The average score was CALGARY 2.7, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 6*)

Tuesday, 03/28/2023 (67) LOS ANGELES vs. (68) CALGARY
Favoring: LOS ANGELES on the money line.
CALGARY is 12-20 (-27.8 Units) against the money line off a win or tie in their previous game this season.
The average score was CALGARY 3, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 4*)

Tuesday, 03/28/2023 (67) LOS ANGELES vs. (68) CALGARY
Favoring: LOS ANGELES on the money line.
CALGARY is 5-12 (-17.3 Units) against the money line after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
The average score was CALGARY 3.2, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 4*)

Tuesday, 03/28/2023 (67) LOS ANGELES vs. (68) CALGARY
Favoring: LOS ANGELES on the money line.
CALGARY is 12-20 (-27.8 Units) against the money line after a game where they covered the spread this season.
The average score was CALGARY 3, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 4*)

Tuesday, 03/28/2023 (71) WINNIPEG vs. (72) SAN JOSE
Favoring: Under on the total.
WINNIPEG is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) this season.
The average score was WINNIPEG 2.5, OPPONENT 2.2 - (Rating = 5*)

Tuesday, 03/28/2023 (71) WINNIPEG vs. (72) SAN JOSE
Favoring: Under on the total.
WINNIPEG is 12-1 UNDER (+11 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was WINNIPEG 2.1, OPPONENT 2.4 - (Rating = 5*

Tuesday, 03/28/2023 (71) WINNIPEG vs. (72) SAN JOSE
Favoring: Under on the total.
WINNIPEG is 22-4 UNDER (+17.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders this season.
The average score was WINNIPEG 2.8, OPPONENT 2.5 - (Rating = 5*)

Tuesday, 03/28/2023 (71) WINNIPEG vs. (72) SAN JOSE
Favoring: Under on the total.
WINNIPEG is 27-7 UNDER (+19.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders this season.
The average score was WINNIPEG 2.8, OPPONENT 2.5 - (Rating = 5*)

Los Angeles Kings (+115) at Calgary Flames (-135)
Since February 1st, the Kings rank third in expected goals percentage (all situations) and have scored 62 percent of the goals. That’s a 20-game stretch where Los Angeles has been one of the best teams in the league, and it couldn’t have come at a better time as the team has a chance to capture the Pacific Division crown and head into the playoffs on a hot streak. The Kings recently received two of their more impactful players, Kevin Fiala and Sean Durzi, back from injury, too.

As far as Calgary is concerned, it’s the same old story. They drive play, but often don’t have anything to show for it and it seems as if that’s starting to catch up. The Flames underlying numbers are not as strong over the last month as they were prior, and Los Angeles is just a better team.

The Kings are scoring a goal more than the Flames per 60 minutes right now, and they’re allowing a goal less (per 60) and they’ve won their last two meetings, including an 8-2 victory last week at home. The Flames are 6-10 at home since January 1st.

Vancouver Canucks at St. Louis Blues
I don’t know if Vancouver Canucks fans are ever going to forgive Rick Tocchet for absolutely ruining their chances at drafting Connor Bedard No. 1 overall in the 2023 NHL Entry Draft. The Canucks are 16-9-2 since firing Bruce Boudreau and they’re 10-3-0 over the last month. The Blues have a winning record over the last month as well, but unlike Vancouver, it’s not because they have been playing exceptionally well. St. Louis has had an easy schedule.

Vancouver ranks seventh in expected goals percentage since Feb. 28th and they’ve scored almost 62 percent of the goals in those games, but the biggest reason they’ve been able to go on this run is goaltender Thatcher Demko, who has saved the team more than six goals above average since returning. He’s posted a .922 save percentage.