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CNOTES
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Posts: 10543
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Cnotes Friday's Best Bets NBA Goes 4 - 0 Yesterday- NCAAB-NHL !
Tourneys Begin In ACC, Big Ten And SEC
College basketball betting heats up on Thursday with three major conferences starting their tourneys, plus plenty of other action.
The Big East Tournament began Tuesday with its massive 16-team field. Defending tourney and national champ UConn has wins and covers the last two days over DePaul (81-67) and West Virginia (71-67 OT). The tourney No. 9 seed can wrap up a March Madness berth when it meets top-seed Syracuse as 7-point ‘dogs at noon (ET).
Sixth-seed South Florida is also a bubble team and meets No. 3 Notre Dame at 9:00 p.m. (ET). That spread will be available shortly.
The Big 12 is also down to its quarterfinals. Tourney No. 9 Texas A&M got a nice 62-53 win over No. 8 Oklahoma on Wednesday as 1½-point dogs. The reward is an encounter with top seed Kansas at 3:00 p.m. (ET). That spread is pending at press time. The best conference tilt is No. 6 Texas (+1) against No. 3 Iowa State at 9:30 p.m. (ET). Iowa State should make the NCAA tourney either way, but bubble Texas needs a victory.
ACC aching to get going in Atlanta
NCAA tournament locks are North Carolina, Duke, Florida State and Virginia and all have first round byes until Friday. North Carolina State and Miami are bubble teams with 9-7 records in conference play.
The Thursday slate starts at noon (ET) with tourney No. 8 Maryland (-4½) taking on No. 9 Wake Forest. After that is No. 5 NC State (-13) vs. No. 12 Boston College. The night games start at 7:00 p.m. (ET) and it’s No. 7 Clemson (-2½) against No. 10 Virginia Tech, followed by No. 6 Miami (-6½) vs. No. 11 Georgia Tech. Maryland in 2004 is the last team besides Duke or North Carolina to win this tourney and it was Wake Forest (1996) before that.
Note that NC State is just 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven games as a favorite. Two of those ATS losses came against Boston College despite wins of 76-62 and 56-51. Virginia Tech was just 4-12 SU and 4-11-1 ATS in the conference, although a better 2-1-1 ATS in the final four.
Miami and Florida State is the most intriguing of the potential Friday games. It’s a great in-state rivalry that extends from the gridiron to the hardwood. Florida State is also looking for revenge after a 78-62 beating in South Beach on February 26. Miami also covered the road meeting despite losing 64-59.
Big Ten battle begins in Indianapolis
NCAA tournament locks are Michigan State, Ohio State, Michigan, Wisconsin and Indiana. The first four have first round byes and will begin play on Friday. Purdue is very likely in and Northwestern is firmly on the bubble.
The Thursday schedule begins at 11:30 a.m. (ET) with tourney No. 8 Iowa (+1½) against No. 9 Illinois. Coming 25 minutes after its completion is No. 5 Indiana (-13) vs. No. 12 Penn State. The two night games beginning at 5:30 p.m. (ET) are No. 7 Northwestern (-2) against No. 10 Minnesota, followed by No. 6 Purdue (-9½) vs. No. 11 Nebraska. The Cornhuskers are playing their first-ever Big Ten conference tournament.
Indiana finished its conference schedule strong at 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS, while Penn State was just 1-6 ATS as a double-digit ‘dog this season. Northwestern could catch a break with Minnesota center Ralph Sampson III questionable with a knee injury.
Glancing ahead to Friday, conference No. 4 Wisconsin should get Indiana in a couple of national top-15 schools. Wisconsin won the only meeting between the teams, 57-50 as 8-point favorites in Madison on January 26.
SEC starts things off in Big Easy
NCAA tournament locks are Kentucky, Florida and Vanderbilt. They all get a first round bye in addition to bubble team Tennessee. Mississippi State is another bubble team, while Alabama is very likely in.
Thursday action from New Orleans starts at 1:00 p.m. (ET) with tourney No. 8 LSU (-2½) facing No. 9 Arkansas. That is followed by No. 5 Alabama (-9) vs. No. 12 South Carolina. The night tilts commence at 7:30 p.m. (ET) and it’s No. 7 Mississippi (-4) versus No. 10 Auburn, with No. 6 Mississippi State (-5) vs. No. 11 Georgia in the nightcap.
Alabama played well down the stretch at 4-1 SU (3-2 ATS) despite second-leading scorer Tony Mitchell (13.1 PPG) getting suspended for the season. Mississippi State could be getting its second wind after surviving at South Carolina (69-67 OT) and then beating Arkansas (79-59) in its final two games. The Gamecocks had lost their previous five.
A potential Florida and Alabama matchup on Friday is very intriguing. Billy Donovan’s guys rolled over the Tide 61-52 as 3-point road favorites on February 14. However, the Gators are reeling a bit heading in, losers of three in a row and 4-straight ATS.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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03-09-12 04:18 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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Bubble Update
March 9, 2012
Although conference tournament results often do not sway the opinions of the members of the Selection Committee as some would believe, teams at the edge of the bubble can definitely play themselves into the field if 68, or play themselves out of the field of 68, in tourney action.
And having said that, Thursday definitely had more meaningful developments on the bubble than any day in recent weeks.
After the smoke cleared, here's what has transpired in our brackets:
1) Pac-12 a two-bid league? Or a 1-bid league? We've reconsidered the Pac's plight and believe it will probably be limited to two bids at most, especially after regular-season champ Washington bowed in its first outing in the conference tourney vs. Oregon State. Since the league had no marquee wins of consequence in non-conference play, it goes to reason that the Committee is not going to fish too deep in the Pac. Oregon's loss in the Thursday nightcap vs. Colorado likely bumped the Ducks off of the bubble as well, and Cal is not safe by any means if it loses to the Buffs in one of Friday's semifinals. As for Washington, it cAdvertisement
annot simply back on its regular-season crown, because that's not what gets awarded with an automatic bid. And this year in the Pac-12, nothing is automatic.
2) Northwestern? Right now we're saying "out" for the Wildcats after their Friday overtime loss vs. Minnesota in the first round of Big Ten Tourney action. An 18-13 overall mark and an 8-11 Big conference record probably aren't going to cut it.
3) South Florida? This will be a test case for the influence of the Big East. The Bulls could have likely sealed their bid with a win over Notre Dame on Thursday but instead bowed in overtime and are going to be riding the bubble all of the way to Selection Sunday.
4) Mississippi State? A bad loss vs. Georgia on Thursday in the SEC puts the Bulldogs in more bubble trouble. We're just not sure enough teams leaped ahead of the Maroon on Sunday to knock MSU out of the field.
5) NC State? The Thursday win over Boston College at the ACC Tourney in Atlanta shouldn't have moved the needle too much for the Wolfpack, but given the losses elsewhere (Northwestern and Oregon in particular), we have put the Pack back into our field of 68. For the moment.
After Thursday's games, here's how our projected seeds (1 thru 16) for the Big Dance set up as of AM, Friday, March 9..
No. 1 seeds...Kentucky, Syracuse, Kansas, North Carolina.
No. 2 seeds...Duke, Missouri, Ohio State, Michigan State.
No. 3 seeds...Marquette, Michigan, Indiana, Baylor.
No. 4 seeds...Wisconsin, Florida State, Georgetown, Louisville.
No. 5 seeds...Wichita State, Temple, UNLV, Florida.
No. 6 seeds...Gonzaga, Notre Dame, Creighton, Memphis.
No. 7 seeds...Virginia, Saint Mary's, Saint Louis, Murray State.
No. 8 seeds...New Mexico, Vanderbilt, Purdue, San Diego State.
No. 9 seeds...Iowa State, Kansas State, Cincinnati, UConn.
No. 10 seeds...Alabama, BYU, Long Beach State, Colorado State.
No. 11 seeds...California, Washington, Long Beach State, Virginia Commonwealth.
No. 12 seeds...Miami-Fla., West Virginia, Texas, NC State, Southern Miss.
No. 13 seeds...Akron, Belmont, Harvard, Mississippi State, Drexel.
No. 14 seeds...Loyola-Md., Davidson, Detroit, Nevada.
No. 15 seeds...Lehigh, UT-Arlington, South Dakota State, Montana.
No. 16 seeds...Long Island, UNC-Asheville, Norfolk State, Stony Brook, Mississippi Valley State, Western Kentucky.
Last four in...NC State, Southern Miss, Mississippi State, Drexel.
First four out...South Florida, Tennessee, Seton Hall, Arizona.
Next four out...Northwestern, Oregon, Iona, Oral Roberts.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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03-09-12 04:20 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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SEC Tourney quarterfinals
March 8, 2012
The afternoon session for Friday’s SEC Tournament quarterfinals will start at 1:00 p.m. Eastern when top-ranked Kentucky takes on LSU. Florida and Alabama will square off in the second game. Let’s take a look at both of these contests and more…
**Kentucky vs. LSU**
--Most betting shops opened Kentucky (30-1 straight up, 12-17-1 against the spread) as a 16 ½-point favorite. As of early Thursday night, no total had been posted.
--Since going through a brutal 0-13-1 ATS slide that last nearly two months, John Calipari’s team has covered the number at a lucrative 9-4 ATS clip. UK wrapped up the regular season this past Sunday by going into Gainesville and knocking off Florida, 74-59, as a five-point road ‘chalk.’ Anthony Davis led the way with 22 points, 12 rebounds and six blocked shots. He made 9-of-13 shots from the field, as did Terrence Jones, who tallied 19 points, four boards, three blocks and a pair of steals.
--LSU (18-13 SU, 17-11 ATS) advanced to play another day (and probably locked up a bid to the NIT) by beating Arkansas by a 70-54 count in the tournament’s lid-lifter Thursday afternoon. The Tigers took the cash as 2 ½-point favorites. The 124 combined points fell ‘under’ the 136 ½-point total. Johnny O’Bryant III was the catalyst with 18 points and 11 rebounds in just 22 minutes of playing time off the bench.
--When these teams met in Baton Rouge on Jan. 28, Kentucky cruised to a 74-50 win as a 10-point road favorite. Jones enjoyed one of his best games of the season, finished with 27 points, nine rebounds, three blocked shots and two steals. Davis had 16 points, 10 boards and three rejections. In the losing effort, O’Bryant had 12 points and nine rebounds.
--Kentucky has been a double-digit favorite 22 times, compiling an 8-13-1 ATS ledger.
--LSU has a 1-3 spread record in four games as a double-digit underdog.
--The ‘under’ is 16-12 overall for LSU, 4-1 in its last five games.
--The ‘under’ is 17-11 overall for Kentucky.
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**Alabama vs. Florida**
--Florida (22-9 SU, 11-14-1 ATS) brings a three-game losing streak to The Big Easy, but it says here that that’s a misleading factoid. The Gators did indeed have a bad loss at Georgia (76-62 two Saturdays ago), but there’s no shame in losing at Vanderbilt or vs. Kentucky.
--Alabama (21-10 SU, 12-15 ATS) had to struggle and failed to cover in Thursday’s 63-57 win over South Carolina as a 9 ½-point favorite. Trevor Lacey came off the bench to score a game-high 15 points in just 17 minutes of action. JaMychal Green added 12 points and seven rebounds for the Tide.
--Anthony Grant’s team has won five of its last six games to almost certainly clinch an at-large invite to the NCAA Tournament regardless of the result in this game vs. UF.
--When these teams met at Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa, Alabama was without its two leading scorers Tony Mitchell and JaMychal Green. Mitchell’s suspension remains in effect, but Green has now returned. The game was tied at intermission but UF went on a 16-0 run to start the second half and went on to capture a 61-52 win as a three-point road favorite. Patric Young scored 19 points for the Gators, while Bradley Beal and Erik Murphy finished with 14 points apiece. Andrew Steele had a team-high 11 points for ‘Bama.
--Billy Donovan’s team has compiled a 6-4 spread record in 10 single-digit ‘chalk’ situations. Meanwhile, Alabama is 2-2 ATS in four games as an underdog.
--The ‘over’ is 16-10 overall for UF.
--The ‘over’ is 14-13 overall for ‘Bama, but the ‘under’ is 5-2 in its last seven games.
**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**
--I might end up being incorrect on my all-year-long assertion that South Carolina’s Darrin Horn is on his way out after a brutal campaign. The fourth-year head coach has yet to take the Gamecocks to the NCAA Tournament. However, a VegasInsider.com source that is close to the program has indicated that the chances are good that he’ll be retained because of the school’s desire to not pay the $2.4 million buyout. The logical replacement would be Wichita State’s Gregg Marshall, who spent time in the state when he was at Winthrop. But the same source told VI that Marshall, who undoubtedly wants the job, has rubbed a few important people (USC higher-ups) the wrong way. We shall see what happens with this situation…
--Northwestern: I feel your pain.
--Northwestern’s loss is Tennessee’s gain and could also benefit Mississippi St.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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03-09-12 04:22 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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NCAAB
Long Sheet
Friday, March 9
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MARYLAND (17 - 14) vs. N CAROLINA (27 - 4) - 3/9/2012, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MARYLAND is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
N CAROLINA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 2-2 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 3-1 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NC STATE (21 - 11) vs. VIRGINIA (22 - 8) - 3/9/2012, 2:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1997.
NC STATE is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in conference tournament games since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 49-73 ATS (-31.3 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA is 4-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 4-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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VIRGINIA TECH (16 - 16) vs. DUKE (26 - 5) - 3/9/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 3-2 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 4-1 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MIAMI (19 - 11) vs. FLORIDA ST (21 - 9) - 3/9/2012, 9:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 5-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MASSACHUSETTS (21 - 10) vs. TEMPLE (24 - 6) - 3/9/2012, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 156-115 ATS (+29.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
MASSACHUSETTS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MASSACHUSETTS is 3-0 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE is 3-0 straight up against MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ST JOSEPHS (20 - 12) vs. ST BONAVENTURE (17 - 11) - 3/9/2012, 2:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST BONAVENTURE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
ST JOSEPHS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games this season.
ST JOSEPHS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
ST JOSEPHS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
ST JOSEPHS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ST JOSEPHS is 3-1 against the spread versus ST BONAVENTURE over the last 3 seasons
ST BONAVENTURE is 2-2 straight up against ST JOSEPHS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LASALLE (21 - 11) vs. SAINT LOUIS (24 - 6) - 3/9/2012, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAINT LOUIS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less this season.
LASALLE is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
LASALLE is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
LASALLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
LASALLE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAINT LOUIS is 2-1 against the spread versus LASALLE over the last 3 seasons
SAINT LOUIS is 2-1 straight up against LASALLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DAYTON (20 - 11) vs. XAVIER (19 - 11) - 3/9/2012, 8:55 PM
Top Trends for this game.
XAVIER is 89-60 ATS (+23.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
XAVIER is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
DAYTON is 6-2 against the spread versus XAVIER over the last 3 seasons
XAVIER is 5-3 straight up against DAYTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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IOWA (17 - 15) vs. MICHIGAN ST (24 - 7) - 3/9/2012, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 3-3 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 5-1 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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INDIANA (25 - 7) vs. WISCONSIN (23 - 8) - 3/9/2012, 2:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
WISCONSIN is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
INDIANA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 5-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MINNESOTA (19 - 13) vs. MICHIGAN (23 - 8) - 3/9/2012, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 4-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PURDUE (21 - 11) vs. OHIO ST (25 - 6) - 3/9/2012, 8:55 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 3-2 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 3-2 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LSU (18 - 13) vs. KENTUCKY (30 - 1) - 3/9/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 96-68 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
LSU is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
LSU is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
LSU is 79-54 ATS (+19.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 3-0 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 3-0 straight up against LSU over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ALABAMA (21 - 10) vs. FLORIDA (22 - 9) - 3/9/2012, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 55-31 ATS (+20.9 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 3-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 3-0 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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OLE MISS (19 - 12) vs. TENNESSEE (18 - 13) - 3/9/2012, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 3-1 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 4-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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GEORGIA (15 - 16) vs. VANDERBILT (21 - 10) - 3/9/2012, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 4-3 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
VANDERBILT is 6-1 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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03-09-12 04:33 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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MARSHALL (20 - 12) vs. SOUTHERN MISS (25 - 7) - 3/9/2012, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MARSHALL is 4-0 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL is 3-2 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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UCF (22 - 9) at MEMPHIS (24 - 8) - 3/9/2012, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-2 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-1 straight up against UCF over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CINCINNATI (23 - 9) vs. SYRACUSE (31 - 1) - 3/9/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 30-52 ATS (-27.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
SYRACUSE is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
CINCINNATI is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 3-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 3-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LOUISVILLE (24 - 9) vs. NOTRE DAME (22 - 10) - 3/9/2012, 9:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 3-1 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 2-2 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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KENT ST (21 - 10) vs. AKRON (21 - 10) - 3/9/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
KENT ST is 4-3 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
AKRON is 4-3 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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OHIO U (25 - 7) vs. BUFFALO (18 - 9) - 3/9/2012, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 5-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 4-2 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BAYLOR (26 - 6) vs. KANSAS (27 - 5) - 3/9/2012, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 18-29 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 18-29 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 3-1 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 4-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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TEXAS (20 - 12) vs. MISSOURI (28 - 4) - 3/9/2012, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI is 3-1 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI is 3-1 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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OREGON ST (19 - 13) vs. ARIZONA (22 - 10) - 3/9/2012, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 5-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 3-3 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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COLORADO (21 - 11) vs. CALIFORNIA (24 - 8) - 3/9/2012, 11:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 3-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 2-1 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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COLORADO ST (20 - 10) vs. SAN DIEGO ST (25 - 6) - 3/9/2012, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO ST is 4-2 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 6-1 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NEW MEXICO (25 - 6) at UNLV (26 - 7) - 3/9/2012, 11:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
UNLV is 3-3 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
UNLV is 4-2 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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HAWAII (16 - 15) vs. NEW MEXICO ST (24 - 9) - 3/9/2012, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO ST is 4-2 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO ST is 4-2 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LOUISIANA TECH (17 - 15) vs. NEVADA (26 - 5) - 3/9/2012, 11:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 3-2 against the spread versus NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 5-1 straight up against LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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UC-IRVINE (12 - 19) vs. LONG BEACH ST (23 - 8) - 3/9/2012, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
UC-IRVINE is 5-2 against the spread versus LONG BEACH ST over the last 3 seasons
LONG BEACH ST is 5-2 straight up against UC-IRVINE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CAL POLY-SLO (18 - 14) vs. UC-SANTA BARBARA (19 - 9) - 3/9/2012, 11:59 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 4-2 against the spread versus CAL POLY-SLO over the last 3 seasons
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 5-1 straight up against CAL POLY-SLO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ALCORN ST (10 - 21) vs. TEXAS SOUTHERN (13 - 17) - 3/9/2012, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 6-0 straight up against ALCORN ST over the last 3 seasons
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ARK-PINE BLUFF (11 - 21) vs. MISS VALLEY ST (18 - 13) - 3/9/2012, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MISS VALLEY ST is 1-0 against the spread versus ARK-PINE BLUFF over the last 3 seasons
ARK-PINE BLUFF is 4-3 straight up against MISS VALLEY ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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HAMPTON (12 - 20) vs. BETHUNE-COOKMAN (17 - 16) - 3/9/2012, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BETHUNE-COOKMAN is 3-2 straight up against HAMPTON over the last 3 seasons
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FLORIDA A&M (10 - 22) vs. NORFOLK ST (23 - 9) - 3/9/2012, 8:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
NORFOLK ST is 3-0 straight up against FLORIDA A&M over the last 3 seasons
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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03-09-12 04:35 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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NCAAB
Friday, March 9
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Big 12 Tournament: Day 3 preview and picks
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Baylor Bears vs. Kansas Jayhawks (-5.5, N/A)
THE STORY: Baylor is the only team to knock off league power Kansas in the Big 12 tournament since 2005. The top-seeded Jayhawks will have to avoid the same fate to keep alive their hopes of a sixth tournament title in seven years at Kansas City. Kansas dominated two meetings during the regular season, winning by an average of 16 points. The Jayhawks have won 16 of their last 17 Big 12 tournament games, while Baylor has made the final only once, losing to Missouri in the 2009 championship.
TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, Big 12 Network, ESPNU, ESPN3.com
TRENDS:
- Baylor is 11-24 against the spread in its last 35 Big 12 games.
- The under is 8-1 in Kansas' last nine neutral-site games.
- Kansas is 1-5-1 against the spread in its last seven following an ATS win.
TIP-INS:
1. Kansas forward Thomas Robinson, the Big 12 Player of the Year, had 19 points and 10 rebounds against the Aggies for his 23rd double-double of the season.
2. Baylor is 22-1 when leading at the half.
3. Jones' 31 points against Kansas State matched Baylor's school record for a Big 12 tournament game, tying Curtis Jerrells' performance against Missouri in 2007.
PICK: Jayhawks
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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03-09-12 04:38 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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NCAAB
Friday, March 9
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ACC tournament: Day 2 preview and picks
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Maryland Terrapins vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (-15.5, N/A)
THE STORY: Conference Player of the Year Tyler Zeller (16.3 ppg, 9.3 rpg) leads the top-seeded Tar Heels into a quarterfinal matchup with No. 8 seed Maryland in the ACC tournament. If UNC can win its third ACC tournament in the Roy Williams era, the Tar Heels should secure a No. 1 seed in the NCAA tournament. UNC will have a huge edge inside with Zeller, John Henson (14.2 ppg, 10.3 rpg) and Harrison Barnes (17.4 ppg, 5.1 rpg). The Tar Heels, ranked fourth in the national polls, won both meetings this season, 83-74 in College Park, Md., and 88-64 in Chapel Hill, N.C.
TV: 12 p.m. ET, ESPN2, ACC Network
TRENDS:
- Maryland has covered in six of the last eight meetings between the two teams.
- North Carolina is 6-1 against the spread in its last seven.
- The over is 4-1 in Maryland's last five.
TIP-INS:
1. Stoglin’s 25 points vs. Wake Forest were the most by a Terp in an ACC tourney game since John Gilchrist scored 30 in Maryland’s 95-87 win over Duke in the 2004 title game.
2. Terps coach Mark Turgeon is 9-11 in conference tourney games, including his days at Texas A&M and Wichita State.
3. UNC sophomore PG Kendall Marshall, who had 10 assists in the regular-season finale against Duke, has reached double figures in assists a school-record 13 times this season.
PICK: Tar Heels
NC State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5, N/A)
THE STORY: Short-handed Virginia tries to reach the ACC semifinals for the first time since 1995 when the fourth-seeded Cavs clash with the fifth-seeded Wolfpack. Virginia learned this week that freshman guard Malcolm Brogdon has a broken bone in his foot and is done for the season, leaving the team with seven scholarship players. Sophomore forward Akil Mitchell is the only Virginia starter who hasn’t played at least 35 minutes in each of the past two games. NC State advanced with a 78-57 win over Wake Forest on Thursday as Scott Wood buried five 3-pointers en route to 22 points. Virginia won the only meeting with NC State this season, 61-60 in Raleigh, N.C.
TV: 2:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2, ACC Network.
TRENDS:
- The over is 19-7 in Virginia's last 26 overall.
- The over is 6-1 in NC State's last seven.
- Virginia has covered in six straight versus NC State.
TIP-INS:
1. The Cavaliers’ No. 4 seed is their highest since 2007 (No. 2).
2. Virginia owns nine road or neutral-site wins, most since the team posted 10 in 1990-91.
3. Leslie has scored in double figures in 25 of the 28 games he’s played. He had 11 points and 11 rebounds in Thursday’s win over Boston College.
PICK: Wolfpack
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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03-09-12 04:40 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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NCAAB
Friday, March 9
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SEC tournament: Day 2 preview and picks
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LSU Tigers at Kentucky Wildcats (-16.5, N/A)
THE STORY: LSU tries its luck at derailing a No. 1-ranked Kentucky team that’s won 22 straight games. The Tigers barely put up a fight against the Wildcats the first time, as Kentucky rolled to a 74-50 win in Baton Rouge on Jan. 28. Kentucky has dominated the SEC tournament, winning the event 27 times – 21 times more than second-place Alabama.
TV: 1 p.m. ET, SEC Network, ESPN3.com
TRENDS:
- Four of LSU's last five have played over the total.
- LSU has covered in seven straight neutral-site games.
- Kentucky has covered in eight of its last 11 overall.
TIP-INS:
1. Kentucky is 14-2 against LSU in the conference tournament, including three wins in the title game.
2. LSU’s Malcolm White was ejected from the first game between the teams because of a flagrant foul.
3. Kentucky is 74-1 under coach John Calipari when holding an opponent to 67 or fewer points.
PICK: Wildcats
Mississippi Rebels vs. Tennessee Volunteers (N/A)
THE STORY: The last time the Rebels and Volunteers met, Tennessee won. Neither team has lost since that Feb. 22 matchup in Knoxville, and both teams need to keep winning to bolster their NCAA tournament hopes. The Volunteers hope to continue their amazing turnaround from a 0-4 start in conference play to the second seed and a first-round bye in the SEC tournament. Mississippi pulled away from Auburn in the tournament’s opening round Thursday, extending its winning streak to four games behind Nick Williams’ career-high 22 points.
TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, SEC Network
TRENDS:
- Mississippi is 11-5 against the spread in its last 16 games following an ATS win.
- Tennessee has covered the number in four straight.
- Under is 15-7-1 in Tennessee's last 23 overall.
TIP-INS:
1. The Rebels lost an early 13-point lead in a 73-60 loss at Tennessee last month. Tennessee’s Jeronne Maymon scored 18 points with 13 rebounds for the Volunteers, while Henry led the Rebels with 15 points.
2. A victory would give Mississippi 20 victories for the fifth time in the past six seasons.
3. Tennessee freshman Jarnell Stokes, who joined the Volunteers at midseason, won SEC Player of the Week honors last week after averaging 14.5 points and 10.5 rebounds.
PICK: N/A
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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03-09-12 04:41 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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Friday’s betting tips: Josh Smith wants out of ATL
Who’s hot
NBA: The over is 8-0-1 in Boston’s last nine home games.
NBA: San Antonio is 13-4-1 against the spread in its last 18.
NCAAB: Arkansas is 9-3-1 against the number in its last 13 meetings with LSU.
NCAAB: The over is 17-4 in the last 21 meetings between Maryland and North Carolina.
NHL: Pittsburgh has won seven straight.
Who’s not
NBA: New York is 1-11 against the spread in its last 12 meetings with Milwaukee.
NBA: Denver has covered just two of its last 11 home games.
NCAAB: Temple has covered just once over the last four.
NCAAB: Xavier is 0-5-1 against the spread in its last six.
NHL: The Winnipeg Jets are 0-5 in their last five games in Calgary.
Key stat
14 – The Oklahoma City Thunder head into Friday’s home date against Cleveland having won 14 consecutive games on their home floor. The Thunder are 9-5 against the spread during the streak while shooting 49. 1 percent and averaging 105.4 points per game at home this year.
Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked
Jimmy Howard, Detroit Red Wings - Howard suffered a lower body injury Sunday and didn't play in Tuesday's loss to Chicago and isn't expected to play Friday against the Kings either. Look for Joey MacDonald, who has lost his last two starts, to get the call.
Game of the day
Baylor Bears at Kansas Wildcats (-5.5, N/A)
Notable quotable
"(There is) lack of concentration, overconfidence and a certain level of selfishness, in general. I'm not a person or a selfish player, but we have to move the ball more, and we have to look further the team game, because we have enough talent to use different players.” – Los Angeles Lakers big man Pau Gasol on a Spanish radio station about the Lakers’ selfish play after they blew a 21-points lead against the Washington Wizards on Wednesday. Interesting note: Kobe Bryant hit just nine of his 31 attempts in the loss. The Lakers opened as 1-point underdogs at Minnesota.
Notes and tips
Los Angeles Clippers star forward Blake Griffin suffered a mild sprained left ankle and a sore left knee during the fourth quarter of Wednesday's game against the New Jersey Nets. Griffin and Nets forward Kris Humphries were chasing a loose ball as the former went down hard on the court. "I had a rebound and I guess he wanted to dive after it and took my legs out, rolled my ankle and rolled my knee. The knee is good, but the ankle might be a little bit swollen." Griffin is averaging 21.4 points and 11.2 rebounds this season for the Clippers, and said he does expect to suit up Friday against San Antonio. The Clips are pegged as 5.5-point underdogs.
Atlanta Hawks All-Star Josh Smith has asked the team to trade him prior to the March 15 trade deadline, according to sources cited in an Atlanta Journal-Constitution report. Smith is said to be upset that the Hawks didn’t support him more to be selected to the All-Star game and doesn’t feel the Hawks are committed to winning a championship. Smoove is averaging 16.9 points, 9.9 rebounds and 2.1 blocks per game. Atlanta visits Detroit Friday.
Peyton Manning doesn't intend to stay unemployed for long. The four-time NFL MVP plans to make a decision on where he'll play next season within the next week, ESPN's Adam Schefter reported on Thursday, citing sources. Schefter noted that while the former Indianapolis Colts quarterback would prefer to remain in the AFC, he is not excluding NFC clubs. After the 35-year-old Manning was released on Wednesday, 12 NFL teams have reportedly contacted his representatives. ESPN confirmed that AFC East clubs Miami and New York, AFC West teams Denver and Kansas City, NFC West clubs Arizona and Seattle have joined Washington are in the mix.
While golf's biggest names struggled in the windy conditions, Adam Scott shot a 6-under-par 66 Thursday to grab a share of the first-round lead in the Cadillac Championship at Doral, Fla. Scott had an eagle and six birdies in his round at the Blue Monster to join Jason Dufner atop the leaderboard on a day when only a dozen players managed to break 70. Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson were not among them, each shooting even-par 72, putting them one shot ahead of new world No. 1 Rory McIlroy. Woods, who closed with a blistering final-round 62 at last week's Honda Classic, opened his round with an eagle but gave the shots back with bogeys at Nos. 4 and 5.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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03-09-12 05:00 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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Armadillo: Friday's six-pack
-- You can bet the NFL would like Peyton Manning to choose his next stop before the 2012 schedule is released. Am guessing his first game in his new city is on Sunday Night Football.
-- Matt Lauer makes $25M a year to host the Today Show? Really? And we thought Vernon Wells is overpaid........
-- SEC football games averaged 75,832 fans LY, and that includes the games at Vanderbilt, where capacity is 39,773.
-- The Joe Pesci Snickers commercial is very good; if it makes me laugh when I'm having my worst day handicapping in ten years, its funny.
-- Wally Szczerbiak is way better doing analysis on games than he is in the CBS Sports Network studio. He's not afraid to offer opinions.
-- Orlando ended the Bulls' eight-game win streak; Dwight Howard had 29 points, 18 rebounds. Would be a shame the Magic traded him.
*****************
Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Wrapping up a basketball Thursday........
13) Louisville scored 84 points despite shooting 37.7% from the floor in a 84-71 win over Marquette, which turned ball over 26 times. Cardinals had 23 offensive rebounds and nine blocked shots.
12) Its tiring listening to ESPN announcers shilling for the Big East every game; when Central Florida/SMU/Houston are in the league next season, are they still going to tell us how great every team is? South Florida has a winning conference record, but they're a horrible offensive team. Letting Pitt/Syracuse get away will eventually be regarded as a huge mistake.
11) Pac-12 tournament doesn't draw well in LA, so looks like its going to be at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas next season, which would make them the fourth league to play a conference tournament in Vegas.
10) Referee Karl Hess is working the Big East tournament; refs at ACC tournament in Atlanta were wearing "KH" on their shoes Thursday, so it looks like Hess was banished to NYC as punishment for the kerfuffle at NC State a few weeks ago, when Hess tossed a couple Wolfpack alumni out of the arena for heckling him. Alumni who played in the NBA.
9) Illinois didn't take any foul shots Thursday in a game they lost 64-61, game Illini led by 4 at the half. ESPN researchers said they're first team from a BCS league in at least fifteen years to play conference tournament game and not shoot a foul shot.
8) Erratic Washington lost 86-84 to Oregon State, making 12-26 on foul line. Beavers were just 17-32. You wonder why our Olympic team can't win the gold medal much anymore? Our kids don't shoot the ball or pass the ball as well as kids from other countries. Simple as that. Its getting to be all dribble penetration, ball screens and pick 'n roll.
7) Game of the Day was definitely in Memphis, where Marshall beat Tulsa 105-100 in triple OT, in a game where nine players fouled out and 101 free throws were taken. Tulsa took 58 foul shots and lost. Of course they missed 18 of them. Marshall plays Southern Miss Friday; the Eagles won in OT too, 81-78 over East Carolina.
6) Cal-State Fullerton handed Long Beach State its first conference loss on Saturday, then went out and laid an egg on Thursday, losing to Cal-Irvine in the first round of the Big West tournament. That not good.
5) Then there is Texas-Arlington, which went 17-1 in the Southland, but lost by 20 to McNeese State in the conference semifinals. McNeese now plays Pat Knight's Lamar Cardinals for the league championship, after Knight ripped his team publicly for being screw-ups off the court. .
4) Arizona outscored UCLA 31-10 from the foul line in its 66-58 win at the Pac-12 tournament. Very few teams looked like they were having less fun than this year's Bruins. Have a nice summer.
3) The noise you heard during the last few minutes of South Florida's win over Notre Dame was James Naismith turning over in his grave, after a series of dumb fouls, careless turnovers and hoisted-up bricks created a very chaotic ending. .
2) Was totally surprised at how easily Colorado State trounced TCU; had thought that was going to be one of the better games of the day, but Rams hung an 81-60 beating on the Horned Frogs.
1) Level of play was way better Thursday than Wednesday, unless you root for Northwestern, then level of play was same underachieving junk they've been giving for the last five decades. Duke wins, Vanderbilt wins, Stanford wins; they're all good schools, just like Northwestern- can't use the crutch that being a good academic school hurts the ballclub.
All Northwestern had to do was beat a Minnesota team that had lost six of last seven games, and didn't appear terribly interested in playing any more this season, but the Wildcats went and gagged away another game, another season. Time for a new coach, a different system; you're close to Chicago. Recruit an athletic point guard. I dare you.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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03-09-12 05:02 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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Massachusetts vs Temple When: 12:00 PM ET, Friday, March 9, 2012
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Massachusetts vs Temple
When: 12:00 PM ET, Friday, March 9, 2012
Where: Boardwalk Hall, Atlantic City, New Jersey
THE STORY: Before leaving the league for the Big East, top-seeded Temple will attempt to win its 10th Atlantic-10 tournament. The 24th-ranked Owls won’t have it easy in the quarterfinals against Massachusetts at Atlantic City, N.J. The Minutemen led Temple by six in overtime Feb. 29, but fell 90-88 in Philadelphia. Massachusetts averaged 75.2 points in A-10 games, second only to Temple. The Minutemen, allowing 74.5 points in A-10 games, will have to play better defense if they are to make a run. Temple has won 13 of its last 14 games.
TV: Noon ET; CBS Sports Network (regional), Comcast Sportsnet.
ABOUT MASSACHUSETTS (21-10, 9-7 Atlantic-10): The Minutemen have rebounded from a 1-4 stretch with two straight victories, including a 92-83 triumph over Duquesne in the first round of the tournament. UMass shot 50.8 percent from the field in that game, far better than its season average (43.3). Sophomore Chaz Williams, a first-team Atlantic-10 pick, leads the Minutemen, averaging 16.4 points and 6.4 assists. Fellow sophomore Raphiael Putney is next at 10.5 points. UMass was third in field-goal percentage defense (41.0) in the A-10, but only two teams allowed more field goals made during league play.
ABOUT TEMPLE (24-6, 13-3 Atlantic-10): The Owls won their first outright A-10 regular-season championship since 1989-90 and their 10th overall. Temple has done it by being very efficient on offense, shooting 47.2 percent from the field and 40.2 from 3-point range. First-team A-10 selection Ramone Moore averages 17.8 points, closely followed by Khalif Wyatt (17.1), who makes almost 40 percent of his 3-point attempts. Point guard Juan Fernandez averages 11.4 points and makes 43.1 percent of his 3-pointers. Center Micheal Eric averages 9.2 points and a team-best 8.7 rebounds and 2.1 blocks.
TIP-INS
1. Temple has won five of the last six meetings – three in overtime.
2. Massachusetts has had at least two players scoring 20 points or more in back-to-back games for the first time since 2007.
3. Temple has had four or more players in double figures 16 times this season.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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03-09-12 05:25 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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Iowa vs Michigan St When: 12:00 PM ET, Friday, March 9, 2012
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Iowa vs Michigan St
When: 12:00 PM ET, Friday, March 9, 2012
Where: Bankers Life Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana
THE STORY: For whatever reason, top-seeded Michigan State hasn’t had much success in the Big Ten tournament through the years. Despite being highly ranked and having first-round byes on several occasions, the Spartans haven’t won the tourney since 2000. In fact, over the last 10 years, they’re one of only five teams that hasn’t even reached the championship game. No. 8 seed Iowa, meanwhile, is trying to keep its slim NCAA Tournament hopes alive. The Hawkeyes defeated Illinois 64-61 in the opening round, but they’ve struggled against the Spartans. Michigan State has won eight of the last nine in the series, including three straight.
TV: Noon ET, ESPN
ABOUT IOWA (17-15): Matt Gatens had a team-high 20 points against Illinois as the Hawkeyes rallied from a four-point halftime deficit. Iowa snapped its five-game losing streak in the Big Ten tournament. The Hawkeyes, who won the crown in 2006, struggled in the first meeting against the Spartans, a 95-61 thumping in East Lansing. In that game, head coach Fran McCaffery received a technical for arguing with an official and also slammed a chair during a timeout. But Iowa is feeling much more confident now, winning four of its last six games including a pair of victories over ranked opponents.
ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (24-7): After blowing its chance at winning an outright regular-season title with a 72-70 loss to Ohio State on Sunday, the Spartans will try to bounce back without one of their best players. Branden Dawson, a freshman guard who averaged eight points and four rebounds, suffered a season-ending knee injury against the Buckeyes. Brandon Wood, a senior, is expected to start in his place for the Spartans, who are 5-2 all-time in the quarterfinal round. Last year, Michigan State defeated Iowa 66-61 in an opening-round game before eventually falling to Penn State in the semifinals.
TIP-INS:
1. The winner will advance to play either Wisconsin or Indiana on Saturday in the semifinals.
2. Tom Izzo is 23-9 against Iowa. However, the Spartans are just 2-2 against the Hawkeyes in the Big Ten tournament.
3. Iowa is 4-3 against Top 25 opponents.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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03-09-12 05:26 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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Indiana vs Wisconsin When: 2:25 PM ET, Friday, March 9, 2012
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Indiana vs Wisconsin
When: 2:25 PM ET, Friday, March 9, 2012
Where: Bankers Life Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana
THE STORY: After going one-and-done in three straight Big Ten tournaments, No. 4 seed Wisconsin will try to end that drought when it takes on the fifth-seeded Hoosiers in the quarterfinals at Indianapolis. Indiana defeated 12th-seeded Penn State 75-58 in its opening-round game, but has struggled against the Badgers the last several years. Wisconsin has won nine straight in the series, including a 57-50 win in late January. The winner will advance to play either top-seeded Michigan State or No. 8 Iowa in the semifinals Saturday.
TV: 2:30 p.m. ET, ESPN
ABOUT INDIANA (25-7): While Indiana was thrilled to snap its five-game Big Ten tournament losing streak, the victory came with a heavy cost. Verdell Jones III, a senior guard who plays a prominent role, sustained a right knee injury late in the first half. The team called the injury a “sprain,” but coach Tom Crean didn’t sound optimistic in his post-game news conference. Even without Jones, the Hoosiers remain a dangerous opponent. They’ve won eight of their last nine, including five straight victories by 11 points or more. Jordan Hulls had a team-high 20 points against Penn State, and Cody Zeller added 19 points and 10 rebounds.
ABOUT WISCONSIN (23-8): The Badgers closed out the regular season with three straight victories and pursue their first Big Ten title since 2008. They can’t possibly perform as poorly as they did in last year’s quarterfinal against Penn State. In that game, a 36-33 loss, Wisconsin shot 29 percent from the field and nine percent from 3-point range. Jordan Taylor, who averages a team-best 14.6 points, has been the offensive catalyst of late. The senior guard scored 57 points during the three-game win streak and had 19 in a 63-60 victory over Ohio State on Feb. 26.
TIP-INS:
1. A victory would give Indiana its most since posting a 31-4 record in the 1992-93 season.
2. Six of Wisconsin’s nine straight victories in the series have come by at least 10 points.
3. The Badgers have received a first-round bye in 12 straight tournaments, a conference record. They are 14-12 all-time in the event.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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03-09-12 05:28 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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Lakers And Clippers Face Friday Road Tests
The Dallas Mavericks will be the only squad involved in the 10-game NBA betting card on Friday night playing in a back-to-back situation.
One of the most pivotal of those games pits the Portland Trail Blazers against the Boston Celtics. These two teams are going to tip from TD Garden in Beantown at 7:30 p.m. (ET).
Both teams are trying to figure out whether they are buyers or sellers as the NBA trade deadline draws near in about a week. Portland is on the outside of the playoffs right now, but the way the Western Conference is going, there are any number of about a dozen teams that could still get into the postseason. Boston is still trying to run down the top spot in the Atlantic Division, though there is a big difference between winning the Atlantic and really having a team that could beat the Miami Heat or the Chicago Bulls, the two teams that seem destined to be playing each other in the Eastern Conference Finals for the second straight season.
Boston has ruled the series against the spread recently with 10 covers in the last 13, though the Blazers did cover the last meeting in Beantown, a 99-95 loss in December 2010.
More bad news for Portland: The Blazers are just 6-16 ATS in their last 22 road games, and are in just the second test of a seven-game road trip.
Both teams from Tinseltown are going to be involved in road clashes against teams that they might meet in the playoffs this year. The Los Angeles Clippers are taking on the San Antonio Spurs, while the Los Angeles Lakers are facing the upstart Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Spurs haven't played all that well at home since coming back from their Rodeo Road Trip, as they are just 2-2 SU and ATS in these first four of a seven-game homestand. The Clippers are finishing up a road trip that has resulted in a 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS mark, though this is clearly the toughest of the five games.
Blake Griffin does have a mild ankle sprain that might be worth watching, but no one figures that he is going to miss this game despite being listed on the injury report as questionable.
Injury matters aren't nearly as good for the Timberwolves. They don't expect Jose Barea to suit up against the Lakers, and Nikola Pekovic is listed as questionable with a foot injury that has kept him out of back-to-back games.
The Lakers have already lost two games on this roadie, and those two losses were brutal against the Detroit Pistons and Washington Wizards.
The Lakers and T-Wolves get started at 8:00 (ET) on Friday night, while the Clippers and Spurs tip a half hour later at 8:30 (ET).
NBA TV features a doubleheader on Friday night as well. At 7:00 (ET), the New Jersey Nets take on the Charlotte Bobcats in a battle of two of the Eastern Conference cellar dwellers, while the nightcap at 10:00 (ET) pits the defending NBA champion Mavericks against the Sacramento Kings.
At 7:00 (ET), the Philadelphia 76ers hope to take down the Utah Jazz in the City of Brotherly Love. The other early tip at 7:30 (ET) features the Atlanta Hawks on the road against the Detroit Pistons. The Cleveland Cavaliers travel to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder, who are trying to build up their 17-1 SU home record at 8:00 (ET).
The New York Knicks and Milwaukee Bucks get it on at 8:30 (ET) from the Bradley Center, and at 9:00 (ET), the New Orleans Hornets will take on another of the Western Conference contenders, the Denver Nuggets.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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03-09-12 10:42 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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Friday Tips
March 8, 2012
Championship week continues around college basketball, but there is plenty of action to wager on inside the NBA on Friday night. Ten games take place, including several key Western Conference matchups between the Lakers and Wolves, while the Spurs host the Clippers. We'll start in Philadelphia as the 76ers try to prove that Wednesday's blowout of the Celtics wasn't a fluke as the Jazz comes to town.
Jazz at 76ers - 7:05 PM EST
Utah has picked up consecutive away victories for the first time all season after winning at Cleveland and Charlotte. The Jazz continues a five-game road swing at the Wells Fargo Center on Friday, battling a Philadelphia squad that is 3-8 SU/ATS the previous 11 contests. The Sixers blew away the Celtics, 103-71 as six-point favorites, as Philadelphia led by 22 points at the half. Philadelphia is playing with revenge after losing at Utah in late December, 102-99, as the Jazz cashed in the home underdog role. The Jazz is 4-1 ATS the last five games, while Utah failed to cover as seven-point favorites in Wednesday's six-point road triumph at Charlotte.
Nets at Bobcats - 7:05 PM EST
Less than a week ago, Deron Williams lit up Charlotte with an NBA season-high 57 points in a 104-101 road victory. The Nets go for their third win of the season over the Bobcats, while seeking back-to-back victories for the second time this season. The Clippers fell at New Jersey on Wednesday as seven-point favorites, 101-100, as the Nets have alternated wins and losses in each of their last 10 games. The Bobcats have quietly covered three straight games, while knocking off the Magic as nine-point 'dogs on Monday. The Nets own a 1-11 SU and 2-10 ATS record off a victory this season, as New Jersey has failed to cash in its last four opportunities as a favorite.
Hawks at Pistons - 7:35 PM EST
The Pistons pulled off one of their bigger upsets of the season by knocking off the Lakers in overtime on Tuesday as 5 ½-point home underdogs. Detroit welcomes in an Atlanta club that is fresh off consecutive road 'dog covers at Indiana and Miami. The Hawks couldn't come through against the Heat, but cashed as 12 ½-point 'dogs in an 89-86 defeat on Wednesday, the fourth straight cover for Atlanta. The last time the Hawks invaded the Palace, Atlanta rallied past Detroit, 107-101 in overtime, while Marvin Williams drilled five treys in the win. The Pistons are on fire against the number at home by cashing in 10 of their past 13 games at the Palace.
Blazers at Celtics - 7:35 PM EST
Boston returns home after getting thrashed at Philadelphia, as the Celtics host the Blazers. Portland owns a dreadful 6-12 ATS record away from the Rose Garden, capped off by Wednesday's defeat at Minnesota as short favorites. The Celtics head to the West Coast for an eight-game road trip starting Sunday against the Lakers, as Boston has won five of six games since the All-Star break. Portland has failed to cover as an underdog of 3 ½ points or less this season by compiling an 0-8 ATS ledger. Boston is 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS the previous 10 meetings with Portland, including five straight wins at TD Garden.
Lakers at Wolves - 8:05 PM EST
Los Angeles melted down twice against sub-.500 teams on its three-game road swing with losses at Detroit and Washington. The Lakers look to close things out with a victory over a Minnesota squad that is riding a five-game home winning streak. The Wolves are 0-2 SU/ATS this season against the Lakers, including a loss at Staples Center without Kevin Love last week, 104-85 as seven-point 'dogs. Minnesota owns a 9-4 ATS record the last 13 games in the underdog role, while putting together a 6-2 ATS mark as a home 'dog this season.
Cavaliers at Thunder - 8:05 PM EST
Oklahoma City continues a five-game homestand as the Thunder goes for their 10th win in 11 tries against the Cavs. Cleveland pulled off a solid upset as 10-point 'dogs on Wednesday at Denver, 100-99 to halt a six-game losing streak. The Cavs improved to 3-4 ATS as a double-digit underdog with the victory over the Nuggets, but Cleveland is 2-7 ATS the previous nine games off a cover. The Thunder has put together a 17-1 SU record at Chesapeake Energy Arena, but OKC is barely profiting at home with a 10-8 ATS ledger.
Knicks at Bucks - 8:35 PM EST
New York is reverting back to its old ways with four straight losses on the road, while going 2-5 the last seven games. The Knicks attempt to wrap up this four-game away swing with a victory over a Bucks' team that has covered both games as a home 'dog against the Sixers and Bulls. Milwaukee lost to Chicago for the fourth time this season on Wednesday, falling short at the buzzer in a 106-104 defeat as 7 ½-point underdogs. The Bucks have won six of the last seven meetings in the series, while covering all seven times.
Clippers at Spurs - 8:35 PM EST
San Antonio is just 3-3 since pulling out 11 straight victories as the Spurs look to beat the Clippers for the third time this season. Los Angeles is trying to snap a two-game skid after losing in the final seconds at Minnesota and New Jersey. The Clippers are a strong 11-4 SU and 10-3 ATS off a loss this season, including a 4-1 ATS mark as an underdog. The Spurs rallied past the Clips in overtime at Staples Center, 103-100 on February 18, as San Antonio drilled a late three-pointer to force OT. Playing at the AT&T Center has been a house of horrors for the Clippers over the years, as L.A. is 0-17 since 2002 on the road in this series.
Hornets at Nuggets - 9:05 PM EST
Denver has failed to cover as 'chalk' of nine points or more in the last two games against Sacramento and Cleveland, as the Nuggets host the Hornets. New Orleans is a covering machine as a large 'dog, going 5-1 ATS the last six times when receiving at least nine points. The Hornets fell short in Wednesday's one-point defeat at Sacramento, the fifth loss in six games since the All-Star break. New Orleans upset Denver at the Pepsi Center, 94-81 as 13-point underdogs in early January, one of three outright wins as a 'dog of nine or more. The Nuggets haven't been a great look at home off a loss, posting a 2-7 ATS record.
Mavericks at Kings - 10:05 PM EST
Dallas plays the second game in a three-night stretch as the Mavs head to Northern California to battle the Kings. Sacramento has won five of its past seven contests at Power Balance Pavilion, while squeaking by New Orleans on Wednesday. The Kings are playing with revenge here after getting drubbed at Dallas by 36 points on January 14, while Sacramento has lost 10 straight meetings in the series. The Mavs are just 2-5 ATS their last seven games as a road favorite, including losses at Cleveland and New Orleans.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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03-09-12 10:49 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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Spurs worth a look?
March 7, 2012
Looking For NBA Futures Value? Head West
The San Antonio Spurs are old and injured, but they're far from irrelevant. Three Spurs starters are 29 years or older, and that's not including injured 34-year-old Manu Ginobili, who missed most of the first half of the season after suffering an injury to his shooting hand and is now coming off the bench.
At 25-12 overall, the Spurs are a near lock (99.8 percent) to advance to the NBA playoffs for a 15th consecutive season. In a wide open Western Conference, the Spurs currently have the second-best chance of winning the championship at 6.0 percent, behind only the Oklahoma City Thunder (14.4 percent). It might be a different story if the Spurs were in the Eastern Conference, where it'd be hard to consider the Spurs as a contender when the Bulls and Heat have distanced themselves from the field. The Spurs are projected to win 44 games, which would earn them a No. 2 seed and give them an outside chance at prying the top seed away from the Thunder. Either way, a Thunder-Spurs Western Conference final seems like a definite possibility.
If that's the case, the Spurs' futures odds - currently 15/1 - could provide value to bettors who try for a pre-planned hedge. You'd only need the Spurs to win their first two playoff series before you can lock in profit by hedging on the opponent (in this case, the Thunder and possibly the Bulls or Heat in the NBA Finals). San Antonio has held its own at less than full strength against the league's third-hardest schedule. Ginobili has returned, and the Spurs could make a deal at the trade deadline to increase their depth; it's possible they could make a run at a fifth championship.
San Antonio has already played the toughest schedule to date and is 25-12 straight up. The Spurs are 11-9 SU away from home and 14-3 SU at home. As stated above, they could get home court up to West Finals before likely traveling to OKC. As of right now the Spurs would match up with Houston in the first round (2-0 at home vs. Houston so far this season) and either LA Clippers or Dallas in the 2nd round (3-1 SU combined against both this season).
They wrapped up a nine game road trip right before the All-Star break and went 8-1 SU. That road trip wrapped up the first half of the season that was dominated by road games - 20 of first 34 games this year on the road so majority of second half at home. The Spurs are 13-3 SU their last 13 overall and 15-8 SU versus teams with a current .500 or better record.
With Ginobili back, the Spurs get arguably their best playmaker with the ball in his hands. He's only played in 10 games this year. He's averaged 15+ points per game over the last seven years and his veteran leadership will be huge in the playoffs. Ginobili's injury may have been a blessing in disguise. His injury allowed the development of younger players like DeJuan Blair, Tiago Splitter, Danny Green, and Kawhi Leonhard. They now have a strong core of veteran leaders plus a handful of capable young players to add depth for the rest of the season and a long playoff run.
Many people forget that the Spurs were the top seed in the West last season before being upset in the first round by Memphis. Division rival Dallas then was the most experienced team remaining in the West and was able to advance to the NBA Finals where they upset the Heat. San Antonio should hold off Dallas for top spot in Southwest this season. Dallas sputtered out of the gates and is just 7-9 SU versus current .500+ teams, and just 8-7 overall SU on road. Dallas has shown no sign of a late-season surge as the Mavs are just 3-6 over their last nine games.
Obviously San Antonio is a safe bet to advance to the playoffs, and from there we don't see any team unseating the Spurs before they advance to play OKC in the conference finals. And at 15/1 odds to reach the finals, you'll have your choice to ride those odds to the end, or hedge your bet accordingly.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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03-09-12 10:59 PM |
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