YRFI -125 (Play to -135)
Starting Pitchers: Landon Knack vs. Aaron Nola

I'm going right back to the well after this one cashed for us yesterday, with a similar line available everywhere.

Aaron Nola is good, with a 3.48 ERA and similar underlying numbers. But he has to face the Dodgers, who's first three hitters all rank in the top-25 in the MLB in wRC+.

We're also getting some value on the Phillies side against Knack, who has a 2.86 ERA through seven starts, but ERA predictors ranging from the low to high fours. That's a small enough sample size that his predictive metrics probably reveal more about his true ability than his ERA.