NY Mets (42-43) @ Pittsburgh (41-45)
— Severino is 3-0, 3.99 in his last six starts.
— Mets are 5-1 in his last six starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-2
— He is 3-0, 0.53 in three starts vs Pittsburgh.

— New York is 20-10 in its last 30 games.
— Mets are 21-18 on road.
— Mets are 8-2 in last 10 series openers.
— over 11-5 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-85
— record in first 5 innings: 36-35-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.1-1

— Skenes is 4-0, 2.06 in nine starts.
— Pirates are 6-3 in his starts.
— under 4-0 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 6-0-3
— He hasn’t pitched against the Mets.

— Pirates are 16-15 in their last 31 games.
— They’re 20-22 at home.
— Pirates are 8-6 in home series openers.
— under 17-7 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 17-86
— record in first 5 innings: 37-34-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5-3

St Louis (45-41) @ Washington (41-46)
— Gray is 1-1, 4.26 in his last three starts.
— St Louis is 10-5 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-2
— He is 2-1, 4.15 in seven starts vs Washington.

— Cardinals are 17-10 in their last 27 games.
— They’re 21-23 on road.
— Cardinals are 9-5 in road series openers.
— over 4-3 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 17-86
— record in first 5 innings: 32-40-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.1-3

— Corbin is 0-1, 3.47 in his last four starts.
— Washington is 1-8 in his last nine starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 2-17
— record in first 5 innings: 3-13-1
— He is 2-2, 3.64 in eight starts vs St Louis

— Nationals are 6-10 in their last 16 games.
— They’re 19-21 at home.
— Nationals are 5-8 in home series openers.
— over 8-5 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 12-87
— record in first 5 innings: 35-44-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-3-1

Philadelphia (57-30) @ Atlanta (47-38)
— Nola is 1-1, 3.20 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 13-4 in his starts.
— under 7-4 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 11-3-3
— He is 3-7, 4.35 in 14 starts at Truist Park.

— Phillies are 5-4 in their last nine games.
— They’re 24-16 on road.
— Phillies are 22-5 in last 27 series openers.
— over 8-3 last eleven road games
— scored run in first inning: 33-87
— record in first 5 innings: 55-25-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-4

— Fried is 1-0, 1.56 in his last three starts.
— Braves are 12-4 in his starts.
— under 11-2 last 13 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-5
— He is 4-4, 3.92 in 14 starts vs Philly.

— Braves are 1-3 in last four games.
— They’re 9-4 in last 13 home games.
— Braves are 10-4 in home series openers.
— under 13-3 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-85
— record in first 5 innings: 41-32-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-3-3.2

Arizona (43-44) @ San Diego (48-43)
— Cecconi is 1-2, 6.19 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 4-7 in his starts.
— under 7-4
— allowed run in first inning: 1-11
— record in first 5 innings: 2-7-2
— He is 0-1, 7.84 in two starts vs San Diego.

— Arizona is 4-1 in its last five games.
— Diamondbacks are 21-23 on road.
— Arizona is 7-2 in last nine series openers.
— over 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 28-87
— record in first 5 innings: 40-33-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-6-5

— Vasquez is 1-1, 3.93 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 4-2 in his last six starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 6-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-1
— He is 0-0, 5.00 in two games (1 start) vs Arizona.

— Padres won 11 of last 14 games.
— They’re 24-22 at home,
— Padres are 7-7 in home series openers.
— over 10-3 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-91
— record in first 5 innings: 38-39-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-5-3.2

Milwaukee (52-36) @ Los Angeles (53-35)
— Civale was 0-1, 3.72 in his last four starts for the Rays.
— Tampa Bay was 5-12 in his starts.
— under 6-4 last 10
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 5-8-4
— He hasn’t pitched against the Dodgers.

— Brewers won eight of last 11 games.
— They’re 25-23 on road.
— Brewers are 6-9 in road series openers.
— over 9-5 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-88
— record in first 5 innings: 42-36-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-2-2

— Glasnow is 2-0, 3.71 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 3-6 in his last nine starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-2
— He is 0-2, 6.14 in two starts vs Milwaukee.

— Dodgers are 2-4 in their last six games.
— Dodgers are 26-18 at home.
— Dodgers are 8-6 in home series openers.
— over 6-0 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 31-88
— record in first 5 innings: 45-33-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-6-4.2

Boston (47-39) @ Bronx (54-35)
— Houck is 0-1, 7.56 in his last three starts.
— Boston is 7-1 in his last eight starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 2-17
— record in first 5 innings: 10-5-2
— He is 3-2, 2.06 in seven starts vs New York.

— Red Sox won their last four games.
— They’re 27-16 on road.
— Red Sox are 5-13 in last 18 series openers.
— over 8-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 26-86
— record in first 5 innings: 46-31-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.1-5

— Cortes is 1-3, 3.64 in his last five starts.
— New York is 7-11 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-3
— He is 2-0, 5.59 in four starts vs Boston.

— New York is 5-14 in its last 19 games.
— They’re 24-17 at home.
— New York lost its last four series openers.
— over 14-3 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-89
— record in first 5 innings: 46-31-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3.2-4

Tampa Bay (44-43) @ Texas (39-48)
— Baz is making his first 2024 start.
— He hasn’t pitched in majors since 2022.
— Baz is 3-2, 4.02 in nine big league starts.
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.

— Tampa Bay is 10-4 in its last 14 games.
— Rays are 21-18 on road.
— Rays are 6-3 in last nine road series openers.
— under 8-3 last eleven games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-87
— record in first 5 innings: 30-43-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-4

— Lorenzen is 1-1, 4.30 in his last four starts.
— Texas is 2-10 in his last 12 starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 2-14
— record in first 5 innings: 8-3-3
— This is his first start vs Tampa Bay.

— Rangers lost eight of last ten games.
— They’re 21-21 at home.
— Rangers are 2-8 in last 10 series openers.
— under 4-1 last five home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-87
— record in first 5 innings: 36-37-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5-2.2

Houston (45-42) @ Minnesota (49-38)
— bullpen game

— Houston won 12 of last 14 games.
— Astros are 21-23 on road.
— Astros are 6-8 in road series openers.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 29-87
— record in first 5 innings: 41-36-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.1-3

— Lopez is 3-0, 3.13 in his last four starts.
— Minnesota is 5-3 in his home starts
— over 3-2 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-1
— He is 1-0, 2.38 in two starts vs Houston.

— Twins are 14-6 in their last 20 games.
— Twins are 25-17 at home.
— Twins are 8-2 in last 10 home series openers.
— over 16-5 last 21 games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-87
— record in first 5 innings: 39-39-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4-1

Baltimore (55-32) @ Oakland (33 -55)
— Suarez is 2-2, 3.60 in his last four starts.
— Orioles are 6-4 in his starts.
— under 8-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-1
— He is 0-1, 4.50 in 3 games (1 start) vs Oakland.

— Baltimore won six of its last eight games.
— Orioles are 26-15 on road.
— Orioles are 9-3 in last 12 series openers.
— over 13-7 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 19-87
— record in first 5 innings: 48-28-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-4-2

— Harris is 1-2, 4.06 in six starts.
— Oakland is 2-4 in his starts.
— under 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.

— A’s won their last three games.
— Oakland is 21-23 at home.
— Oakland is 8-4 in last 12 home series openers.
— under 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 16-88
— record in first 5 innings: 29-54-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-x-4

Toronto (39-48) @ Seattle (48-41)
— Gausman is 1-3, 8.14 in his last four starts.
— Toronto won his last five road starts.
— over 9-2 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-8
— He is 1-3, 2.75 in nine starts vs Seattle.

— Toronto is 6-14 in its last 20 games.
— Blue Jays are 18-24 on road.
— Blue Jays are 6-12 in last 18 series openers.
— over 13-4 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 19-87
— record in first 5 innings: 39-38-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.1-4

— Castillo is 1-3, 6.49 in his last five starts.
— Seattle is 5-1 in his last six home starts
— over 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-18
— record in first 5 innings: 6-11-1
— He is 0-2, 4.50 in three starts vs Toronto.

— Seattle is 4-10 in its last 14 games.
— Mariners are 29-16 at home.
— Mariners are 12-2 in home series openers.
— under 9-3 last dozen home games
— scored run in first inning: 22-89
— record in first 5 innings: 37-38-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-2.2-3.1

LA Angels (36-50) @ Cubs (40-48)
— Canning is 1-1, 6.00 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 0-7 in his road starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 10-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-10-1
— He hasn’t pitched against the Cubs.

— Angels lost last four games, got shut out last two days.
— They’re 18-24 on road.
— Angels are 8-6 in road series openers.
— over 11-6 last 17 road games
— scored run in first inning: 20-86
— record in first 5 innings: 29-50-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2.2-5.1

— Steele is 0-0, 2.42 in his last four starts.
— Chicago is 3-9 in his starts.
— under 3-2 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-12
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-6
— He hasn’t pitched against the Angels.

— Cubs are 9-17 in their last 26 games.
— They’re 23-20 at home.
— Cubs are 2-8 in last 10 home series openers.
— over 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 18-88
— record in first 5 innings: 32-40-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-2

White Sox (25-64) @ Miami (30-57)
— Thorpe is 2-0, 1.50 in his last two starts.
— Chicago is 2-2 in his starts
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Miami.

— White Sox are 4-3 in last seven games.
— Chicago is 9-35 on road.
— White Sox are 0-14 in road series openers.
— over 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 17-89
— record in first 5 innings: 37-41-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-4

— bullpen game

— Marlins are 1-5 in their last six games.
— Miami is 16-31 at home.
— Marlins are 5-3 in last eight home series openers.
— over 4-0-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 20-87
— record in first 5 innings: 27-50-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-6-6.2

Detroit (39-48) @ Cincinnati (42-45)
— Olson is 1-0, 1.96 in his last three starts.
— Detroit is 3-13 in his starts
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 0-16
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8-4
— He gave up a run in 6 IP, in his one start vs Cincinnati

— Detroit is 8-17 in its last 25 games.
— Tigers are 20-26 on road.
— Tigers are 3-7 in last ten road series openers.
— over 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 27-87
— record in first 5 innings: 35-37-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2.2-2.1

— Spiers is 2-1, 4.50 in three starts.
— Reds are 2-1 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit.

— Reds are 5-2 in last seven games.
— They’re 20-23 at home.
— Reds are 12-2 in last 14 series openers.
— over 3-1 last four home games
— scored run in first inning: 24-87
— record in first 5 innings: 37-38-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2.2-4

San Francisco (43-45) @ Cleveland (54-31)
— San Francisco hasn’t named a starter.

— San Francisco is 7-3 in its last ten games.
— Giants are 18-26 on road.
— Giants are 6-2 in last eight series openers.
— under 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 17-88
— record in first 5 innings: 32-43-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-2

— Bibee is 3-0, 2.00 in his last three starts.
— Guardians are 14-3 in his starts.
— under 8-4 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 11-3-3
— He hasn’t pitched against the Giants.

— Cleveland is 3-5 in its last eight games.
— Guardians are 28-10 at home.
— Guardians are 10-3 in home series openers.
— over 8-1 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 24-85
— record in first 5 innings: 43-31-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-3

Kansas City (48-41) @ Colorado (30-57)
— Ragans is 1-2, 3.28 in his last six starts.
— Royals are 2-5 in his last seven starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-5
— This is his first start vs Colorado.

— Royals are 6-4 in their last ten games.
— Royals are 1-6 in last seven road games.
— Royals are 4-9 in road series openers.
— under 11-4 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 23-89
— record in first 5 innings: 40-36-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-6

— Freeland is 0-0, 1.50 in his last two starts.
— Colorado is 2-4 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4
— He is 0-2, 6.17 in two starts vs Kansas City

— Rockies are 9-22 in their last 31 games.
— They’re 18-26 at home.
— Rockies are 6-7 in home series openers.
— under 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 25-87
— record in first 5 innings: 35-41-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.1-4

Friday MLB betting at BetMGM

Most bet teams

1. Angels +165
2. Pirates -130
3. Reds -110

Most bet teams $

1. Cubs -200
2. Yankees -140
3. Reds -110

Trend: Favorites are 14-1 (93.3%, +12.52 units) in the last 15 games between Pittsburgh and NY Mets
– The ROI on this trend is 83.5%
System Matches: PLAY PITTSBURGH (-130 vs NYM)

Trend: Favorites are 16-1 (94.1%, +13.4 units) in the last 17 games between Milwaukee and LA Dodgers
– The R.O.I. on this trend is 78.8%
System Matches: PLAY LA DODGERS (-192 vs MIL)

OAKLAND letdown after series vs. LA ANGELS: 10-18 (35.7%) -12.85 units, ROI: -45.9%
System Matches: FADE OAKLAND (+140 vs. BAL)

Trend: PHI is 2-11 (-9.10 units) in road Divisional games as a -110 or worse line with starter Aaron Nola in the last five seasonsSystem Match: FADE PHILADELPHIA (+120 at ATL)

(951) NEW YORK-NL (42-43) at (952) PITTSBURGH (41-45)
Trend: PIT trending Under vs. RH starters (22-34 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 7.5)

(955) PHILADELPHIA (57-30) at (956) ATLANTA (47-38)
Trend: ATL trending Under at NIGHT (14-36 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 7.5)

(957) ARIZONA (43-44) at (958) SAN DIEGO (48-43)
Trend: H2H on a 5-2 Over run this season
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(959) MILWAUKEE (52-36) at (960) LOS ANGELES-NL (53-35)
Trend: MIL not as good vs. NL East/West (8-12, -5.44 units)
System Match: FADE MILWAUKEE (+164 at LAD)

(963) TAMPA BAY (44-43) at (964) TEXAS (39-48)
Trend: TEX trending Under at home (12-28 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(965) HOUSTON (45-42) at (966) MINNESOTA (49-38)
Trend: HOU more Under at night (21-31 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8)

(967) BALTIMORE (55-32) at (968) OAKLAND (33-56)
Trend: OAK not as good vs. AL East/Central (12-27, -7.82 units)
System Match: FADE OAKLAND (+160 vs BAL)

(969) TORONTO (39-48) at (970) SEATTLE (48-41)
Trend: SEA trending Under at home (14-29 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 7)

(971) LOS ANGELES-AL (36-50) at (972) CHICAGO-NL (40-48)
Trend: LAA slight Over vs. LH starters (10-5 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 9.5)

(973) CHICAGO-AL (25-64) at (974) MIAMI (30-57)
Trend: MIA goes Over at home (31-13 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(975) SAN FRANCISCO (43-45) at (976) CLEVELAND (54-31)
Trend: CLE good at home (28-10, +11.99 units)
System Match: PLAY CLEVELAND (-175 vs SF)

(979) KANSAS CITY (48-41) at (980) COLORADO (30-57)
Trend: KC more Under on the road (14-23 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 10)

OVERs are 7-2 on Paul Skenes strikeout props this season

69% of bets are on Skenes OVER 7.5 Ks on Friday at BetMGM