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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
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MLB Lagniappe 6/21

NY Mets (35-38) @ Cubs (36-39)
— Quintana is 1-1, 4.58 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 4-3 in his road starts.
— under 10-4
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-1
— He is 0-4, 3.17 in eight starts vs Chicago.
— He pitched for the Cubs from 2017-20

— New York is 13-5 in its last 18 games.
— Mets are 17-15 on road.
— Mets are 6-6 in road series openers.
— over 12-5 last 17 road games
— scored run in first inning: 21-73
— record in first 5 innings: 30-31-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-2.1-x

— Imanaga is 2-0, 1.98 in his last two starts.
— Chicago is 11-2 in his starts.
— under 10-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-13
— record in first 5 innings: 26-3-4
— He blanked the Mets for 7 IP May 1st.

— Cubs are 5-8 in their last 13 games.
— They’re 21-16 at home.
— Cubs are 2-9 in last 11 series openers.
— under 10-2 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 15-75
— record in first 5 innings: 27-33-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3.1-x

Old Post 06-21-24 08:20 AM
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Arizona (37-38) @ Philadelphia (49-25)
— Montgomery is 2-0, 3.37 in his last two starts.
— Arizona is 7-4 in his starts, 2-2 on road.
— over 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3-1
— He gave up 5 runs in 4 IP, in his one start vs Philly.

— Arizona is 12-6 in its last 18 games.
— Diamondbacks are 18-20 on road.
— Arizona is 3-9 in road series openers.
— over 13-6 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-75
— record in first 5 innings: 35-28-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1.2-2

— Walker is 0-2, 5.13 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 1-5 in his last six starts.
— under 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— Phillies are 3-5 in their last eight games.
— They’re 29-11 at home.
— Phillies are 21-2 in last 23 series openers.
— under 12-3 last 15 home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-74
— record in first 5 innings: 47-20-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-3

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Washington (36-38) @ Colorado (26-49)
— Herz is 1-1, 3.77 in three starts.
— Washington is 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Colorado.

— Nationals won nine of their last 12 games.
— They’re 19-19 on road.
— Nationals are 7-5 in road series openers.
— under 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 11-74
— record in first 5 innings: 31-36-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-4

— Hudson is 0-2, 4.96 in his last three starts.
— Colorado is 3-11 in his starts.
— under 10-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9-1
— He is 3-1, 2.74 in 8 games (3 starts) vs Washington.

— Rockies lost 14 of last 19 games.
— They’re 15-22 at home.
— Rockies are 5-6 in home series openers.
— over 9-4 last 13 home games
— scored run in first inning: 23-75
— record in first 5 innings: 28-36-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-4-5

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Milwaukee (44-31) @ San Diego (39-40)
— Rea is 2-0, 2.45 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee is 8-3 in his starts.
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 7-12
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-2
— He gave up a run in 5.2 IP, in his one start vs San Diego.

— Brewers are 8-5 in their last 13 games.
— They’re 22-19 on road.
— under 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 21-75
— record in first 5 innings: 36-31-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3-4

— Cease is 1-3, 5.93 in his last five starts.
— Padres are 2-4 in his home starts.
— under 8-3 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 7-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-2
— He is 1-1, 2.08 in two starts vs Milwaukee.

— Padres lost five of their last seven games.
— They’re 19-21 at home.
— over 5-2 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 25-79
— record in first 5 innings: 31-34-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2-4.1

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Tampa Bay (36-39) @ Pittsburgh (36-38)
— Pepiot is 1-2, 6.48 in his last three starts.
— He is 3-1, 3.18 in four road starts.
— over 5-1 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7-1
— He threw 3 shutout IP in his one start vs Pittsburgh.

— Tampa Bay is 3-1 in its last four games.
— Rays are 17-16 on road.
— Rays are 4-7 in road series openers.
— over 8-2 last ten road games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-75
— record in first 5 innings: 25-39-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-5

— Pittsburgh hasn’t named a starter.

— Pirates are 4-2 in last six games.
— They’re 18-18 at home.
— Pirates are 8-4 in home series openers.
— under 10-2 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 15-74
— record in first 5 innings: 32-30-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-x

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Atlanta (41-31) @ Bronx (51-26)
— Sale is 8-1, 2.53 in his last 10 starts.
— Braves are 9-4 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 6-13
— record in first 5 innings: 11-2
— He is 6-9, 3.12 in 19 starts vs New York.

— Braves won six of last seven games.
— They’re 17-18 on road.
— Braves are 7-5 in road series openers.
— under 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 20-72
— record in first 5 innings: 36-26-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-x

— Rodon is 7-1, 2.98 in his last eight starts.
— New York is 11-4 in his starts.
— over 8-2 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-2
— He is 1-0, 0.75 in two starts vs Atlanta.

— New York is 2-5 in its last seven games.
— They’re 23-12 at home.
— New York is 7-4 in home series openers.
— over 14-4 last 13 home games
— scored run in first inning: 28-77
— record in first 5 innings: 44-21-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-6-6.2

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Seattle (44-33) @ Miami (25-49)
— Kirby is 2-0, 1.88 in his last four starts.
— Seattle is 2-6 in his road starts
— under 5-3 road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-4
— He gave up an unearned run in 6 IP, in his one start vs Miami.

— Seattle is 17-8 in its last 25 games.
— Mariners are 17-21 on road.
— Mariners are 5-7 in series openers.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 20-77
— record in first 5 innings: 34-32-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4-3

— Rogers is 0-2, 4.05 in his last five starts.
— Miami is 1-13 in his starts
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 3-9-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.

— Marlins are 6-14 in their last 20 games.
— Miami is 14-26 at home.
— Marlins are 5-8 in home series openers.
— over 5-3 last eight home games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-74
— record in first 5 innings: 24-40-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-4-x

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Boston (40-35) @ Cincinnati (35-39)
— Crawford is 1-4, 7.62 in his last five starts.
— Red Sox are 4-11 in his starts.
— under 8-4 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-4
— This is his first start vs Cincinnati.

— Red Sox are 7-1 in their last eight games.
— They’re 22-15 on road.
— Red Sox are 7-5 in road series openers.
— over 13-5 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 23-75
— record in first 5 innings: 40-26-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-x

— Abbott is 2-1, 3.71 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 3-3 in his home starts.
— under 11-3
— allowed run in first inning: 7-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Boston.

— Reds lost four of last five games.
— They’re 18-19 at home.
— Reds are 7-5 in home series openers.
— under 11-2 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-74
— record in first 5 innings: 29-33-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-1.2

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LA Angels (29-45) @ Los Angeles (47-30)
— Sandoval is 0-0, 4.86 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 4-3 in his road starts.
— over 5-2 road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 4-10-1
— He is 0-3, 5.40 in four starts against the Dodgers.

— Angels are 5-7 in their last 12 games.
— They’re 17-20 on road.
— Angels are 7-5 in series openers.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 18-74
— record in first 5 innings: 26-42-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-x

— bullpen game

— Dodgers are 9-5 in their last 14 games.
— Dodgers are 24-15 at home.
— Dodgers are 7-5 in home series openers.
— under 8-2 last ten home games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-77
— record in first 5 innings: 40-30-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2.1-3.2

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(951) NEW YORK-NL (35-38) at (952) CHICAGO-NL (36-39)
Trend: NYM heavy Over on the road (21-8 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(953) ARIZONA (37-38) at (954) PHILADELPHIA (49-25)
Trend: PHI good at home (29-10, +13.88 units)
System Match: PLAY PHILADELPHIA (-135 vs AZ)

(957) MILWAUKEE (44-31) at (958) SAN DIEGO (39-40)
Trend: MIL trending Over vs. RH starters (33-20 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 7.5)

(959) CHICAGO-AL (20-56) at (960) DETROIT (34-40)
Trend: CWS awful on the road (7-31, -19.87 units)
System Match: FADE CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+145 at DET)

(961) TORONTO (35-39) at (962) CLEVELAND (46-26)
Trend: TOR trending Under vs. AL Central/West (10-21 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(963) KANSAS CITY (42-34) at (964) TEXAS (34-40)
Trend: TEX trending Under at night (16-28 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8)

Old Post 06-21-24 09:52 PM
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(967) MINNESOTA (41-34) at (968) OAKLAND (28-49)
Trend: OAK not good vs. RH starters (20-39, -12.28 units)
System Match: FADE OAKLAND (+140 vs MIN)

(969) TAMPA BAY (36-39) at (970) PITTSBURGH (36-38)
Trend: PIT worse start in interleague play (8-14, -8.38 units)
System Match: FADE PITTSBURGH (-120 vs TB)

(971) ATLANTA (41-31) at (972) NEW YORK-AL (51-26)
Trend: ATL trending Under vs. AL teams (6-20 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8)

(973) SEATTLE (44-33) at (974) MIAMI (25-49)
Trend: SEA trending Under vs. NL teams (5-15 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 7.5)

(975) BOSTON (40-35) at (976) CINCINNATI (35-39)
Trend: BOS not as good vs. LH starters (9-12, -4.89 units)
System Match: FADE BOSTON (-108 at CIN)

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(953) ARIZONA (37-38) at (954) PHILADELPHIA (49-25)
Trend: Taijuan Walker is 19-4 (+12.48 units) as a home favorite of -130 or higher in the last four seasons
System Match: PLAY PHILADELPHIA (-135 vs AZ)

(957) MILWAUKEE (44-31) at (958) SAN DIEGO (39-40)
Trend: MIL has been good in the -120 to +135 line range with starter Colin Rea (12-2 record, +11.10 units last season) (4-1, +3.54 units this season)
System Match: PLAY MILWAUKEE (+130 at SD)

(959) CHICAGO-AL (20-56) at (960) DETROIT (34-40)
Trend: Jack Flaherty has taken care of business against lesser opponents, going 24-8 (+7.95 units) against teams with a 45% or lower win percentage in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY DETROIT (-175 vs CWS)

(965) BALTIMORE (49-25) at (966) HOUSTON (35-40)
Trend: BAL is 15-2 (+12.47 units) with starter Grayson Rodriguez against below .500 teams
System Match: PLAY BALTIMORE (-162 at HOU)

(973) SEATTLE (44-33) at (974) MIAMI (25-49)
Trend: SEA is 13-5 (+4.68 units) as a road favorite of -125 or higher with George Kirby in last two seasons
System Match: PLAY SEATTLE (-166 at MIA)

Trend: MIA is 8-31 (-20.86 units) as an underdog within line range -109 to +154 with Trevor Rogers since 2020
System Match: FADE MIAMI (+140 vs SEA)

(977) LOS ANGELES-AL (29-45) at (978) LOS ANGELES-NL (47-30)
Trend: LAA is 3-13 (-11.23 units) following up a team win in his previous outing with starter Patrick Sandoval in the last two seasons
System Match: FADE LA ANGELS (+160 at LAD)

Old Post 06-21-24 10:44 PM
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