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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

WNBA Lagniappe 6/15

Saturday, 06/15/2024 (621) NEW YORK vs. (622) LAS VEGAS
Favoring: NEW YORK against the spread.
NEW YORK is 8-0 ATS (+8 Units) in road games off an home win scoring 85 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 92.7, OPPONENT 79.7 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 06/15/2024 (619) CONNECTICUT vs. (620) DALLAS
Favoring: DALLAS against the spread.
DALLAS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) against Eastern conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 88.1, OPPONENT 83.8 - (Rating = 1*)

Old Post 06-15-24 01:52 PM
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msudogs
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Saturday, 06/15/2024 (621) NEW YORK vs. (622) LAS VEGAS
Favoring: Over on the total.
LAS VEGAS is 7-0 OVER (+7 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season.
The average score was LAS VEGAS 93.1, OPPONENT 90.9 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 06/15/2024 (619) CONNECTICUT vs. (620) DALLAS
Favoring: Over on the total.
DALLAS is 17-6 OVER (+10.4 Units) versus teams who are called for 18 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 85.9, OPPONENT 89.9 - (Rating = 2*)

Old Post 06-15-24 01:54 PM
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Saturday, 06/15/2024 (619) CONNECTICUT vs. (620) DALLAS
Favoring: DALLAS on the first half line.
DALLAS is 30-16 (+12.4 Units) against the 1rst half line as an underdog vs. the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 40.4, OPPONENT 41.5 - (Rating = 1*)

Saturday, 06/15/2024 (619) CONNECTICUT vs. (620) DALLAS
Favoring: CONNECTICUT on the first half line.
CONNECTICUT is 15-5 (+9.5 Units) against the 1rst half line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 47.1, OPPONENT 37.9 - (Rating = 1*)

Old Post 06-15-24 01:58 PM
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msudogs
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Saturday, 06/15/2024 (619) CONNECTICUT vs. (620) DALLAS
Favoring: Over on the first half line.
CONNECTICUT is 9-0 OVER (+9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after a game where a team made 80% of their free throws or better over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 43.7, OPPONENT 44.6 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 06/15/2024 (621) NEW YORK vs. (622) LAS VEGAS
Favoring: Over on the first half line.
NEW YORK is 24-6 OVER (+17.4 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 75 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 47.4, OPPONENT 41.1 - (Rating = 4*)

Old Post 06-15-24 01:58 PM
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msudogs
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The tempo in this one should be fast if it is controlled by the home favorite.

Aces are 1st in Tempo
Las Vegas has been pushing the pace this year and this has led to a 7-4 record to the Over for them thus far. When it comes to offensive efficiency, these two teams are the best.

Aces are 1st in 3pt Efficiency
Liberty are 2nd in 3pt Efficiency
The two most valuable shots in basketball are the three pointer and shots at the rim. Not only are the great from deep, but they excel at the other valuable shot.

Aces are 3rd in Rim Efficiency
Liberty are 1st in Rim Efficiency
Taking advantage of the most valuable shots should help our over bet. If it comes down to it, they also rank as the top free throw shooting teams in the league.

Aces are 1st in FT Efficiency
Liberty are 2nd in FT Efficiency
If the game is faster paced then hopefully those extra possessions get these teams into the bonus because they both shoot about 85% from the stripe. The spread is a one possession game so if somebody has a late lead, we could always have the potential for late free throws.

Old Post 06-15-24 08:22 PM
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