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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
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NCAAB Lagniappe 1/31

Tuesday, 01/31/2023 (629) NEBRASKA vs. (630) ILLINOIS
Favoring: NEBRASKA against the spread.
Play On - Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (NEBRASKA) - a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games
(53-19 since 1997.) (73.6%, +32.1 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Tuesday, 01/31/2023 (629) NEBRASKA vs. (630) ILLINOIS
Favoring: NEBRASKA against the spread.
Play On - Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (NEBRASKA) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 3 straight losses against conference rivals
(121-60 over the last 5 seasons.) (66.9%, +55 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (15-3 +11.7 units).

Tuesday, 01/31/2023 (629) NEBRASKA vs. (630) ILLINOIS
Favoring: NEBRASKA against the spread.
Play On - Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (NEBRASKA) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 3 straight losses against conference rivals
(144-76 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.5%, +60.4 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (15-3 +11.7 units).

Tuesday, 01/31/2023 (629) NEBRASKA vs. (630) ILLINOIS
Favoring: NEBRASKA against the spread.
Play On - Underdogs of 10 or more points (NEBRASKA) - a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games
(69-30 since 1997.) (69.7%, +36 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Old Post 01-31-23 08:28 AM
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Tuesday, 01/31/2023 (619) TEXAS A&M vs. (620) ARKANSAS
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams against the total (TEXAS A&M) - excellent free throw shooting team (>=73%) against a good free throw shooting team (69-73%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games
(50-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.6%, +31.3 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (9-2 +6.8 units).

Tuesday, 01/31/2023 (619) TEXAS A&M vs. (620) ARKANSAS
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams against the total (TEXAS A&M) - excellent FT shooting team (>=73%) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game)
(50-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.6%, +31.3 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (9-2 +6.8 units).

Tuesday, 01/31/2023 (619) TEXAS A&M vs. (620) ARKANSAS
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams against the total (TEXAS A&M) - excellent FT shooting team (>=73%) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games
(50-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.6%, +31.3 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (9-2 +6.8 units).

Tuesday, 01/31/2023 (607) TOLEDO vs. (608) MIAMI OHIO
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (MIAMI OHIO) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an poor defensive team (45-47.5%)
(48-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.8%, +29.3 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0 +1 units).

Old Post 01-31-23 08:30 AM
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Tuesday, 01/31/2023 (639) BOISE ST vs. (640) AIR FORCE
Favoring: AIR FORCE on the first half line.
Play Against - A road team vs. the 1rst half line (BOISE ST) - good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against an average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%), good rebounding team (+3 to +6 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 reb/game)
(39-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.0%, +26.9 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-1 +3.9 units).

Tuesday, 01/31/2023 (617) MARIST vs. (618) QUINNIPIAC
Favoring: MARIST on the first half line.
Play On - Road underdogs of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (MARIST) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (63-67 PPG), after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games
(37-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.7%, +26 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-3 +0.7 units).

Old Post 01-31-23 08:30 AM
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Tuesday, 01/31/2023 (653) SAN DIEGO ST vs. (654) NEVADA
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 (SAN DIEGO ST) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a top-level team (>= 80%) playing a good team (60% to 80%)
(44-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.6%, +27.5 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (9-4 +4.6 units).

Tuesday, 01/31/2023 (611) SAINT LOUIS vs. (612) FORDHAM
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Home teams against the total (FORDHAM) - off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals, on Tuesday nights
(54-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.0%, +30.9 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-0 +5 units).

Tuesday, 01/31/2023 (643) INDIANA vs. (644) MARYLAND
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Home teams against the total (MARYLAND) - off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals, on Tuesday nights
(54-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.0%, +30.9 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-0 +5 units).

Tuesday, 01/31/2023 (641) LOYOLA-IL vs. (642) DAYTON
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 60.5 or less (LOYOLA-IL) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45-47.5%) after 15+ games, average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO) vs. a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO) after 15+ games
(55-22 since 1997.) (71.4%, +30.8 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0 +1 units).

Old Post 01-31-23 08:32 AM
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Virginia Tech @ Miami
— Virginia Tech (13-8, 3-7) ranked #50 by KenPom
— Tempo: #238
— Experience: #104
— Continuity: #177
— Virginia Tech won its last two games, after an 0-7 skid.
— Virginia Tech is 0-5 SU/0-4-1 ATS on ACC road, 0-1-1 as road dog.
— Hokies are shooting 54.2% inside arc (#42).
— Virginia Tech is 5-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Hokies are 6-7 against top 100 teams.
— Virginia Tech’s schedule, to this point: #60
— bench minutes: #314
— Virginia Tech’s best win: 78-75 over #28 Duke

— Miami (16-5, 7-4) ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #143
— Experience: #29
— Continuity: #142
— Miami is 3-4 in its last seven games, after a 13-1 start.
— Miami is shooting 54.7% inside arc (#30), 76.1% on line (#27)
— Hurricanes are #309 team in country on defensive boards.
— Hurricanes are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in ACC home games, 2-1 as home faves.
— Miami is 7-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Miami’s schedule, to this point: #70
— bench minutes: #318
— Miami’s best win: 66-64 over #13 Virginia

— Virginia Tech won six of last nine series games.
— Tech won last two visits to Miami, by 1-4 points.
— Last five series games were decided 3 or fewer points, or in OT
— ACC home favorites of 4 or less points are 7-5 ATS.

Old Post 01-31-23 08:32 AM
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Wake Forest @ Duke
— Wake Forest (11-9, 5-4) ranked #59 by KenPom
— Tempo: #129
— Experience: #304
— Continuity: #274
— Wake Forest lost its last three games, by 9-2-2 points.
— Last four games, Wake Forest allowed 78.3 ppg
— Deacons have #22 eFG% in country.
— Deacons are #76 team in country on defensive boards.
— Wake Forest is 5-7 against top 100 teams.
— Wake Forest’s schedule, to this point: #32
— bench minutes: #282
— Wake Forest’s best win: 81-70 over over #28 Duke

— Duke (13-7, 4-5) ranked #28 by KenPom
— Tempo: #272
— Experience: #291
— Continuity: #341
— Duke is 5-4 in last nine games, after 10-2 start .
— Duke is 4-0 SU/1-2-1 ATS as an ACC home favorite.
— Blue Devils are 2-7-1 ATS in its ACC games.
— Blue Devils are #1 team on offensive boards.
— Duke has #36 eFG% defense in country.
— Duke’s schedule, to this point: #42
— bench minutes: #118
— Duke’s best win: 71-64 over #22 Xavier.

— Wake Forest beat Duke 81-70 at home December 20.
— Duke won 15 of last 17 series games.
— Since 2004, Deacons are 0-18 in Cameron (76-74 last year)
— ACC home favorites of 8 or fewer points are 12-17 ATS

Old Post 01-31-23 08:32 AM
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Texas A&M @ Arkansas
— Texas A&M (15-6, 7-1) ranked #41 by KenPom
— Tempo: #227
— Experience: #92
— Continuity: #82
— Texas A&M won nine of its last ten games.
— Aggies are 3-1 SU/ATS on SEC road, 2-1 as road underdogs.
— Texas A&M is #12 team in country on offensive boards.
— Texas A&M is shooting 52.8% inside arc (#77), 31.5% on arc (#300)
— Opponents are shooting 44.7% inside arc (#20)
— Texas A&M’s schedule, to this point: #94
— bench minutes: #124
— Texas A&M’s best win: 79-63 at #29 Auburn

— Arkansas (14-7, 3-5) ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #78
— Experience: #261
— Continuity: #333
— Arkansas is 3-6 in its last nine games, after an 11-1 start.
— Arkansas is 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS in SEC home tilts. 2-1 as a home favorite.
— Hogs are shooting 53.7% inside arc (#48), 30.7% on arc (#316)
— Hogs are #57 team in country on defensive boards.
— Arkansas has #32 eFG% defense in country.
— Arkansas schedule, to this point: #37
— bench minutes: #301
— Arkansas best win: 78-74 in OT over #24 San Diego State

— Teams split their last ten meetings.
— Aggies lost last three visits to Arkansas, by 10-7-3 points.
— SEC home favorites of 4 or less points are 5-2 ATS.

Old Post 01-31-23 08:34 AM
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VCU @ Davidson
— VCU (16-6, 7-2) ranked #78 by KenPom
— Tempo: #96
— Experience: #260
— Continuity: #194
— VCU won six of its last seven games SU.
— VCU 3-1 SU/ATS on A-14 road, 2-0 as a road favorite.
— Rams are forcing turnovers 25% of time (#7)
— Rams are turning ball over 21.7% of time (#328)
— VCU is getting 23.1% of its points on foul line (#10)
— VCU’s schedule, to this point: #193
— bench minutes: #103
— VCU’s best win: 63-62 at #58 Dayton

— Davidson (10-11, 3-6) ranked #140 by KenPom
— Tempo: #246
— Experience: #188
— Continuity: #192
— Davidson lost 10 of its last 14 games.
— Davidson is 1-3 SU/ATS in A-15 home tilts, 0-2 as home underdog.
— Wildcats are #264 team on defensive boards.
— Wildcats are shooting 30.1% on arc (#330), 51.7% inside arc (#113)
— Davidson is 4-7 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Davidson’s schedule, to this point: #114
— bench minutes: #315
— Davidson’s best win: 89-80 over #97 San Francisco

— Davidson is 5-3 in last eight series games.
— VCU lost four of last five visits to Davidson
— A-15 home underdogs of 4 or less points are 6-7 ATS.

Old Post 01-31-23 08:34 AM
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Kansas State @ Kansas
— Kansas State (18-3, 6-2) ranked #25 by KenPom
— Tempo: #86
— Experience: #32
— Continuity: #317
— K-State is 6-2 SU in Big X games, with three overtime wins.
— K-State is 2-1 SU/ATS as a Big X road underdog.
— Wildcats are forcing turnovers 21.6% of time (#43)
— K-State have #43 eFG% defense.
— Wildcats are #258 team on defensive boards.
— K-State’s schedule, to this point: #39
— bench minutes: #326
— K-State’s best win: 83-82 in OT over #9 Kansas

— Kansas (17-4, 5-3) ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #115
— Experience: #235
— Continuity: #225
— Kansas lost three of its last four games SU.
— Kansas is 3-1 SU/0-4 ATS as a Big X home favorite.
— Jayhawks are shooting 52.4% inside arc (#85), 35.8% on arc (#86)
— Opponents are shooting 46.5% inside arc (#57), 31.6% on arc (#75)
— Jayhawks are forcing turnovers 20.8% of time (#62)
— Kansas schedule, to this point: #1
— bench minutes: #346
— Kansas best win: 62-60 over #17 Iowa State

— K-State beat Kansas 83-82 in OT January 17.
— Kansas won seven of last nine series games.
— Wildcats lost their last 16 visits to Lawrence (102-83 LY)
— Big X home favorites of 7 or less points are 9-15 ATS.

Old Post 01-31-23 08:34 AM
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UConn @ DePaul
— UConn (16-6, 5-6) ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #162
— Experience: #113
— Continuity: #255
— UConn lost six of its last eight games, after a 14-0 start.
— Huskies are 1-4 SU/ATS as a Big East road favorite.
— UConn has #12 eFG% defense in country.
— UConn is #13 team in country on offensive boards, #35 on defensive end.
— Big East opponents are getting 25.4% of their points on foul line (#11 of 11)
— UConn’s schedule, to this point: #23
— bench minutes: #160
— UConn’s best win: 82-67 over #5 Alabama

— DePaul (9-13, 3-8) ranked #135 by KenPom
— Tempo: #105
— Experience: #24
— Continuity: #296
— DePaul lost 10 of its last 13 games SU.
— DePaul is 2-3 ATS as a Big East home underdog.
— Blue Demons are #339 team in country on defensive boards.
— Blue Demons are shooting 35.9% on arc (#75), 46.6% inside arc (#308)
— DePaul is 2-10 against top 100 teams.
— DePaul’s schedule, to this point: #25
— bench minutes: #293
— DePaul’s best win: 73-72 over #22 Xavier

— Since re-joining Big East, UConn is 5-0 against DePaul.
— Huskies won 60-53/57-50 in their last two visits here.
— Big East home underdogs are 10-12 ATS

Old Post 01-31-23 08:36 AM
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West Virginia @ TCU
— West Virginia (13-8, 2-6) ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #125
— Experience: #78
— Continuity: #331
— West Virginia won three of last four games, after an 0-5 skid.
— WVU is 1-3 SU/2-2 ATS as a Big X road underdog.
— West Virginia is #28 team in country on offensive boards.
— WVU is forcing turnovers 21.8% of time (#40)
— West Virginia is 1-5 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— West Virginia’s schedule, to this point: #10
— bench minutes: #76
— West Virginia’s best win: 74-65 over #15 TCU

— TCU (16-5, 5-3) ranked #15 by KenPom
— Tempo: #47
— Experience: #71
— Continuity: #3
— TCU is 3-4 in its last seven games, after a 13-1 start.
— TCU star Miles hurt his knee Saturday (check status)
— Frogs are 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS as Big X home favorites.
— TCU is forcing turnovers 23.4% of time (#15)
— Frogs have #24 eFG% defense in country.
— TCU’s schedule, to this point: #62
— bench minutes: #22
— TCU’s best win: 83-60 at #9 Kansas

— West Virginia beat TCU 74-65 at home January 18
— WVU won six of last eight series games.
— Mountaineers lost four of last five visits to TCU.
— Big X home favorites of 4 or less points are 8-8 ATS

Old Post 01-31-23 08:36 AM
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Indiana @ Maryland
— Indiana (15-6, 6-4) ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #108
— Experience: #66
— Continuity: #39
— Indiana won its last five games, giving up 61.2 ppg.
— Hoosiers are 2-3 SU/1-4 ATS on Big 14 road, 1-2 ATS as road dog.
— Indiana has the #10 eFG% in the country.
— Opponents are shooting 45.3% inside arc (#27)
— Hoosiers have played only 4 games (2-2) decided by less than 12 points.
— Indiana’s schedule, to this point: #43
— bench minutes: #92
— Indiana’s best win: 81-79 at #22 Xavier.

— Maryland (14-7, 5-5) ranked #32 by KenPom
— Tempo: #268
— Experience: #13
— Continuity: #159
— Maryland won three of its last four games SU.
— Maryland won/covered all five of its Big 14 home games.
— Maryland is shooting 53.7% inside arc (#49), 30.7% on arc (#314)
— Terps have #35 eFG% defense in country.
— Terps are 3-5 vs top 50 teams.
— Maryland’s schedule, to this point: #36
— bench minutes: #296
— Maryland’s best win: 71-66 over #23 Illinois.

— Indiana won last three meetings, by 8-13-10 points.
— Hoosiers lost four of last five visits to Maryland.
— Big 14 home favorites of 4 or less points are 21-4 ATS.

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Northwestern @ Iowa
— Northwestern (15-5, 6-3) ranked #43 by KenPom
— Tempo: #224
— Experience: #70
— Continuity: #68
— Northwestern won five of its last seven games.
— Wildcats are 3-1 SU on Big 14 road, 2-1 ATS as a road dog.
— Northwestern has #45 eFG% defense in country.
— Wildcats have #310 eFG% in country.
— Wildcats are forcing turnovers 22.5% of time (#28)
— Northwestern’s schedule, to this point: #79
— bench minutes: #297
— Northwestern’s best win: 84-83 at #19 Indiana

— Iowa (13-8, 5-5) ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #42
— Experience: #131
— Continuity: #47
— Iowa won five of its last seven games.
— Hawkeyes won/covered their last four home games.
— Iowa has 54.3% eFG% defense in Big 14 games, worst in league.
— Hawkeyes are 13-4 if they score 74+ points, 0-4 if they don’t.
— Iowa is 8-7 against top 100 teams.
— Iowa’s schedule, to this point: #17
— bench minutes: #200
— Iowa’s best win: 75-56 over #17 Iowa

— Iowa won last eight meetings.
— Wildcats lost their last eight visits to Iowa City.
— Big 14 home favorites of 7 or less points are 30-9 ATS

Old Post 01-31-23 08:38 AM
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Kentucky @ Ole Miss
— Kentucky (14-7, 5-3) ranked #34 by KenPom
— Tempo: #264
— Experience: #103
— Continuity: #199
— Kentucky won four of its last five games.
— Wildcats are 2-2 SU on SEC road, 1-1 ATS as road favorite.
— Kentucky is #5 team in country on offensive boards.
— Wildcats are shooting 36.2% on the arc (#65)
— Kentucky is 3-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Kentucky’s schedule, to this point: #69
— bench minutes: #174
— Kentucky’s best win: 63-56 at #1 Tennessee.

— Ole Miss (9-12, 1-7) ranked #100 by KenPom
— Tempo: #263
— Experience: #156
— Continuity: #204
— Ole Miss lost nine of its last ten games.
— Rebels are 0-4 SU in SEC home tilts, 1-2 ATS as home underdog.
— Rebels are shooting 30.2% on the arc (#328)
— Ole Miss is #250 team in country on defensive boards.
— Ole Miss is 2-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Ole Miss schedule, to this point: #29
— bench minutes: #14
— Ole Miss best win: 80-67 over #38 Florida Atlantic

— Kentucky won 12 of last 13 series games.
— Wildcats won four of last six visits to Oxford.

Old Post 01-31-23 08:38 AM
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UNLV @ Colorado State
— UNLV (14-7, 3-6) ranked #81 by KenPom
— Tempo: #62
— Experience: #53
— Continuity: #257
— UNLV won its last two games, after a 1-6 skid.
— Rebels are 1-3 SU on MW road; underdogs covered all four games.
— UNLV is forcing turnovers 26.5% of time (#2)
— Rebels are #289 team on defensive boards.
— UNLV is 8-3 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
— UNLV’s schedule, to this point: #89
— bench minutes: #146
— UNLV’s best win: 84-77 at #45 New Mexico.

— Colorado State (10-12, 2-7) ranked #113 by KenPom
— Tempo: #217
— Experience: #109
— Continuity: #179
— Colorado State lost eight of its last ten games.
— Rams are 1-3 SU/ATS in MW home games, 1-2 ATS as home fave.
— Colorado State has #278 eFG% defense in country.
— Colorado State is shooting 56.2% inside arc (#13)
— Rams are f3-5 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Colorado State’s schedule, to this point: #52
— bench minutes: #106
— Colorado State’s best win: 62-60 at #7 Saint Mary’s

— Colorado State won 82-81 in OT at UNLV January 14.
— Rams banked in a long 3-pointer at end of regulation to force OT.
— UNLV won three of its last four visits to Fort Collins.
— Mountain West home favorites of 5 or less points are 9-4 ATS

Old Post 01-31-23 08:38 AM
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Boise State @ Air Force
— Boise State (17-5, 7-2) ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #186
— Experience: #185
— Continuity: #106
— Boise State won seven of its last eight games.
— Broncos are 2-2 SU/3-0-1 ATS on Mountain West road.
— Boise State is 4-2 ATS as a Mountain West favorite.
— Broncos are #6 team in country on defensive boards.
— Boise State is shooting 36.9% on arc (#42)
— Boise State’s schedule, to this point: #74
— bench minutes: #351
— Boise State’s best win: 86-71 over #41 Texas A&M

— Air Force (12-10, 3-6) ranked #156 by KenPom
— Tempo: #347
— Experience: #314
— Continuity: #65
— Air Force lost its last three games, scoring 61.7 ppg.
— Air Force is 1-3 SU/0-3-1 ATS in MW home games.
— Falcons are shooting 55.2% inside arc (#22)
— Air Force is #222 team in country on defensive boards.
— Falcons are 6-5 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Air Force’s schedule, to this point: #238
— bench minutes: #104
— Air Force’s best win: 85-74 in OT at #113 Colorado State

— Boise State won last five series games.
— Teams split their last six meetings played here.
— Mountain West home underdogs are 6-8 ATS

Old Post 01-31-23 08:40 AM
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San Diego State @ Nevada
— San Diego State (17-4, 8-1) ranked #23 by KenPom
— Tempo: #171
— Experience: #20
— Continuity: #42
— San Diego State won four in row, 10 of last 11 games.
— Aztecs are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS as a Mountain West road favorite.
— Opponents are shooting 30.7% on arc (#44), 51.6% inside arc (#248)
— San Diego State is #40 team in country on defensive boards.
— Aztecs are 5-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— San Diego State’s schedule, to this point: #35
— bench minutes: #44
— San Diego State’s best win: 88-77 over #27 Ohio State

— Nevada (16-6, 6-3) ranked #56 by KenPom
— Tempo: #237
— Experience: #153
— Continuity: #172
— Nevada lost three of its last five games.
— Wolf Pack is 4-0 SU/3-0-1 ATS in Mountain West home games.
— Opponents are shooting 47% inside arc (#69)
— Nevada is #63 team in country on defensive boards.
— Nevada is 6-2 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Nevada’s schedule, to this point: #27
— bench minutes: #329
— Nevada’s best win: 74-72 over #26 Boise State

— Aztecs beat Nevada 74-65 at home January 10.
— San Diego State won last nine series games.
— Aztecs wan 83-76/79-78 in last two visits to Reno.
— MW home teams are 10-6 ATS in games with spread of 4 or less points.

Old Post 01-31-23 08:40 AM
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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

9 p.m. ET: UNLV at Colorado State (-3, 144.5)

UNLV (14-7) has won two straight games and just took down Nevada 68-62, covering as 1.5-point home favorites. On the other hand, Colorado State (10-12) has lost three straight games and just fell to Boise State 80-59, failing to cover as 8-point road dogs. This line opened with Colorado State listed as a short 1.5-point home favorite. Right off the bat, this line speaks volumes. Why is a 10-12 team favored over a 14-7 team? Shouldn't it be the other way around? Currently 60% of bets are taking the points with trendy UNLV, yet we've seen the line move further to Colorado State -1.5 to -3. This signals smart money laying the points with the fishy contrarian home favorite. Colorado State is only receiving 40% of bets but 74% of money, a sharp bet discrepancy. Colorado State has the edge in shooting (49% vs 45%). Colorado State is 7-4 at home. UNLV is 2-3 on the road. Ken Pom has Colorado State winning by one point (74-73). Colorado State is -140 on the moneyline.

Old Post 01-31-23 10:30 PM
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Tuesday, 01/31/2023 (635) VANDERBILT vs. (636) ALABAMA
Favoring: VANDERBILT against the spread.
VANDERBILT is 9-0 ATS (+9 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was VANDERBILT 74.7, OPPONENT 71 - (Rating = 4*)

Tuesday, 01/31/2023 (623) BALL ST vs. (624) BOWLING GREEN
Favoring: BALL ST against the spread.
BOWLING GREEN is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds this season.
The average score was BOWLING GREEN 70.5, OPPONENT 82.2 - (Rating = 4*)

Old Post 01-31-23 11:06 PM
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Tuesday, 01/31/2023 (629) NEBRASKA vs. (630) ILLINOIS
Favoring: Under on the total.
NEBRASKA is 11-0 UNDER (+11 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season.
The average score was NEBRASKA 59.7, OPPONENT 65.9 - (Rating = 6*)

Tuesday, 01/31/2023 (601) MISSISSIPPI ST vs. (602) S CAROLINA
Favoring: Under on the total.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 14-1 UNDER (+12.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
The average score was MISSISSIPPI ST 66.1, OPPONENT 53.6 - (Rating = 6*)

Old Post 01-31-23 11:06 PM
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