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copperblue
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2006
Posts: 6756

NCAAF 1H 4 Plays 10/27/07

Found a few plays I like

Colorado at Texas Tech UNDER 31

Colorado is coming off one of their best defensive 1H this season holding Kansas to just 3 1H points. Colorado in theie last 3 have given up on average 9 points in the 1H. Texas Tech's last 3 1H's have gone under. In fact the last 4 between these two have gone under in the 1H.

COLORADO is 15-5 UNDER (+9.5 Units) the 1rst half total as an underdog of 6 to 11.5 points vs. the first half line since 1992.

TEXAS TECH is 9-0 UNDER (+9.0 Units) the 1rst half total after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.

Akron at Buffalo - AKRON +1

Akron is 7-0 ATS in the 1H this season. That includes 1st half victories against Army, Ohio St, Indiana and Connecticut. Buffalo stepped it up against Penn St but wilted getting blown out in the 1H by Ball St and Rutgers. Akron makes it 8 straight.

Kansas at Texas A&M - KANSAS -2

Kansas is 6-1 verus the 1H this season while A&M is just 3-4 and dropping 4 of the last 5. The Kansas offense which averages 6.5 YPP should be able to move the ball on Texas A&M who has given up 6.8 YPP in their last 3. Over those last 3 games Texas has given up on average 17 points in the 1H. Kansas takes the half.

TEXAS A&M is 0-6 against the 1rst half line (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons

TEXAS A&M is 0-7 against the 1rst half line (-7.7 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Duke at Florida St OVER 24.5

Duke's D is poorous but especially so in the 1H where they have given up on average 23 in the 1H. The bad has led to 4 of the last 5 1H's going over. Florida St home games have averaged 28 points in the 1H. Nice trends too.

DUKE is 10-0 OVER (+10.0 Units) the 1rst half total after playing 2 straight conference games over the last 3 seasons.

DUKE is 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.

FLORIDA ST is 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) the 1rst half total as a home favorite of 8.5 to 12 points vs. the 1rst half line since 1992.

Old Post 10-27-07 06:11 AM
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Bromoe
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Registered: Sep 2005
Posts: 6020

Looks good. I'm only looking at O/U's today and had two of these listed .

GL

Old Post 10-27-07 06:13 AM
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copperblue
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Registered: Apr 2006
Posts: 6756

adding

Utah at Colorado State - UTAH -3

COLORADO ST is 1-12 against the 1rst half line (-12.2 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons

UTAH is 7-0 against the 1rst half line (+7.0 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Ole Miss at Auburn - Ole Miss +10

Play Against - Any team (AUBURN) - average offensive team (330 to 390 YPG) against a poor defense (390 to 440 YPG) after 7+ games, after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game.
(32-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (78%, +22.1 units. Rating = 3*)

Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-3).

AUBURN is 2-11 against the 1rst half line (-10.1 Units) versus the 1rst half line in home games over the last 2 seasons.

OLE MISS is 18-5 against the 1rst half line (+12.5 Units) vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.75 or less passing yards/att. since 1992.


6 Plays total
Colorado at Texas Tech UNDER 31
Akron at Buffalo - AKRON +1
Kansas at Texas A&M - KANSAS -2
Duke at Florida St OVER 24.5
Utah at Colorado State - UTAH -3
Ole Miss at Auburn - OLE MISS +10

Old Post 10-27-07 08:58 AM
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dodgerfan
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Registered: Oct 2006
Posts: 5558

GL

today. Like them all!

Old Post 10-27-07 04:47 PM
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wojo12212
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Registered: Jul 2006
Posts: 12317

Good luck

Wojo

Old Post 10-27-07 04:58 PM
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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

copperblue

well atleast we're on the same games, let's have a good day
GL

Old Post 10-27-07 05:05 PM
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