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primetime24K
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2007
Posts: 5522
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Primetime NBA PLAYOFFS 5/18
3-0 yesterday, lets get this rolling once again
5* Phoenix Suns +3 ( If the line moves to 3.5, I will buy it to 4 and make this a 5*+ play)
I also may have a ML play later in the day as well.
First off let me start by saying that Oskiem's writeup on the Phoenix Suns is outstanding. I will try to pitch in with information, but if you read this, make sure you check Oskiem's post as well; there is truly some valuable information included.
As we all know, the Suns were without Stoudemire and Diaw in game 5. Despite the suspensions, they were in control of the game nearly the entire time.
Those of us who watched game 5 know how much the Suns truly missed Amare Stoudemire. Although Kurt Thomas played extremely well, the Suns are not the same without Amare. His ability to finish near the basket is an invaluable asset to the Phoenix Suns.
Not only do I think Phoenix WILL win this game, I believe they are the better team, and will ultimately win this series.
In game 4, the Spurs shot 48% from the field, made 9 threes while shooting 39% from beyond the arc, and shot 93% from the free throw line. In addition, they turned the ball over less than the Phoenix Suns. Despite all of these aspects, The Phoenix Suns came out on top.
'Every time you go through some tough times, and we have this year, we've snapped back from it,' D'Antoni said.
Coach D'Antoni is right on point with this statement. The Suns are an impressive 6-1 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent, and 19-7 ATS revenging a loss vs an opponent.
In addition, the Phoenix Suns are 4-1 ATS in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points this year and 14-3 ATS over the past 3 years.
All of the scenarios the Phoenix Suns are in today favor them as well. They are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 playoff games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.
I have a lean on the UNDER in this game as well, but will probably lay off.
I will most likely have a ML play later on in the day as well.
Take Phoenix +3 and enjoy the Outright WINNER
Record
2006-07 NCAAB: 111-78-4
2006-07 NBA: 110-90-2
Boxing: 4-1, +13 units
NCAA Baseball:3-0
2007-08 NFL: 70-90-3, -28.6 units
2007 NCAAF: 129-100-3, +154.9 units
2007-08 NBA: 68-72-3, +.6 units
2007-2008 NCAAB: 97-78 +34.6 units
2007-2008 NCAAF Bowls: 16-12 +8 units
2008 NCAAF: 48-38-3, +27.3 units
2008-2009 NFL: 28-17 +44 units
2009 NCCAF: 53-40, +64.37 units
2008-2009 NFL: 32-21, +41.96 units
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05-18-07 07:35 PM |
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osk
StatFox Hall Of Famer
Registered: May 2005
Posts: 4175
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Paul, great analysis. So good, in fact, that I added a few extra coins on Steve Nash & Co.
GO SUNS!!
Good luck tonight.
"Don't give up. . .Don't Ever Give Up!" --Jimmy Valvano
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05-18-07 07:40 PM |
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primetime24K
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2007
Posts: 5522
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Adding:
3* Suns/Spurs UNDER 201
As many of you know, I already had a lean on the UNDER. There are many convincing trends and reports out there that pushed me over the edge.
For info on the UNDER I recommend viewing MSUdogs, Oskiems, or Mattk's thread. All three have provided EXCELLENT writeups
Record
2006-07 NCAAB: 111-78-4
2006-07 NBA: 110-90-2
Boxing: 4-1, +13 units
NCAA Baseball:3-0
2007-08 NFL: 70-90-3, -28.6 units
2007 NCAAF: 129-100-3, +154.9 units
2007-08 NBA: 68-72-3, +.6 units
2007-2008 NCAAB: 97-78 +34.6 units
2007-2008 NCAAF Bowls: 16-12 +8 units
2008 NCAAF: 48-38-3, +27.3 units
2008-2009 NFL: 28-17 +44 units
2009 NCCAF: 53-40, +64.37 units
2008-2009 NFL: 32-21, +41.96 units
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05-18-07 10:47 PM |
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