Vegas-
Taking a glance ahead @ tomorrow's plays I am hoping we are taking the Twinkies @-110, over the Spankees at a mere -400. The Twins actually have the better ERA differential of 2.88 vs. Mussina at 2.14. I will post the simulation % from Stathark for both games. I don't care how bad the Royals are. I would feel better losing the equivalent of 1 game with Minny vs. 4 games with the Spanks. The Royals will eventually win won't they??
Oh I don't doubt why the line is so high, but is the risk worth it. I mean, it's not part of the 4D chase, it doesn't qualify as the Vegas357 special, so I would be taking it just becuase. -180 is a lot for a -1.5 RL. There is losing and doing just enough to lose, and that would bother be with KC. Yanks may spank them in 3 straight! I may start posting a little total chase I have found. I would like to do some more research, but I can't back track it.
that is why i am parlaying the play. It is as much of a sure shot as there is, Royals can't hold a lead to save their lives their bullpen stinks and I imagine Spankees will be watching alot of pitches and making him thro 100 by the 5th inning so they can tee off on the bullpen.