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highrize
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Oct 2005
Posts: 2326

*highrize* Penthouse Picks 05-25-06

Another winning night yesterday and will hope to continue today

A few interesting games on the skid but I don't feel comfortable with too much today

Record: 5-2 (71%) +3.10
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Houston (25-22) 7-13 away at Washington (18-29) 7-12 home
HOU: Pettitte(3-5, 5.03 ERA) WAS: Armas(4-2, 3.08 ERA)

WASHINGTON is 1-9 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in Home games when the total is 8 to 8.5
this season.
The average score was: WASHINGTON (3.0) , OPPONENT (6.8)

WASHINGTON is 51-22 UNDER (+26.9 Units) in Home games when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the
last 3 seasons.
The average score was: WASHINGTON (3.8) , OPPONENT (3.8)

Play Against road teams (HOUSTON) with a rested bullpen - threw 5 innings or less over last
3 games, playing on Thursday
80-48 over the last 5 seasons.
62.5% (37.1 units)

Houston
Astros are 6-13 in their last 19 overall.
Astros are 2-8 in their last 10 road games.
Astros are 1-5 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
Astros are 3-10 in Pettitte's last 13 starts.
Astros are 1-6 in Pettitte's last 7 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Astros are 0-3 in Pettitte's last 3 starts as a road favorite.
Astros are 0-5 in Pettitte's last 5 road starts.

Washington
Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Nationals are 7-21 in their last 28 games as a home underdog.
Nationals are 3-0 in Armas' last 3 starts.
Nationals are 1-4 in Armas' last 5 home starts.

OU Trends
Houston
Under is 5-1-0 in Astros last 6 overall.
Under is 5-1-0 in Astros last 6 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Under is 4-1-0 in Astros last 5 games as a favorite.
Over is 5-2-0 in Astros last 7 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Under is 5-1-2 in Pettitte's last 8 starts overall.
Under is 5-1-0 in Pettitte's last 6 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Over is 4-1-0 in Pettitte's last 5 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Over is 4-1-1 in Pettitte's last 6 road starts.

Washington
Under is 7-2-0 in Nationals last 9 overall.
Over is 6-2-0 in Nationals last 8 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Under is 5-2-0 in Nationals last 7 games as a home underdog.
Over is 3-0-0 in Armas' last 3 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Over is 4-1-0 in Armas' last 5 starts overall.
Under is 5-2-0 in Armas' last 7 home starts.

Head to Head
Current Season HOU 4-3 O/U 3-3-1
Nationals are 3-0 in Armas' last 3 home starts vs. Astros.
Over is 3-0-0 in Pettitte's last 3 starts vs. Nationals.
Under is 5-1-0 in Armas' last 6 starts vs. Astros.
Under is 4-1-0 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.

Penthouse Pick- WAS +107
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Detroit (32-14) 19-7 away at Kansas City (10-34) 8-14 home
DET: Maroth(5-2, 2.45 ERA) KAN: Bautista(0-2, 3.75 ERA)

Play Against - Home teams (KANSAS CITY) very bad AL offensive team (<=4.2 runs/game) against a
team with a good bullpen (ERA<=3.75), starting a pitcher who gave up <=2 earned runs in his
last 2 outings
29-11 since 1997. ( 72.5% | 20.7 units )

DETROIT is 24-11 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in Road games vs. excellent fielding teams
- averaging <=0.5 errors/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: DETROIT (5.2) , OPPONENT (3.5)

Play Against Road teams (DETROIT) with a rested bullpen - threw 5 innings or less over last
3 games, playing on Thursday
80-48 over the last 5 seasons.
62.5% (37.1 units)

Umpire: C MERIWETHER O/U 1-7

Detroit
Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite of -201 or greater.
Tigers are 10-1 in their last 11 games as a road favorite.
Tigers are 25-7 in their last 32 overall.
Tigers are 19-7 in their last 26 road games.
Tigers are 4-0 in Maroth's last 4 starts as a favorite.
Tigers are 6-2 in Maroth's last 8 starts.

Kansas City
Royals are 5-21 in their last 26 games as a home underdog of +201 or greater.
Royals are 0-6 in their last 6 home games.
Royals are 0-6 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
Royals are 2-5 in Bautista's last 7 starts as an underdog.
Royals are 2-5 in Bautista's last 7 starts.

OU TrendsDetroit
Under is 5-1-1 in Tigers last 7 road games.
Under is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Under is 27-13-3 in Tigers last 43 overall.
Under is 40-16-2 in Maroth's last 58 starts overall.

Kansas City
Over is 3-0-0 in Royals last 3 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 10-4-0 in Royals last 14 games as an underdog.
Over is 10-4-0 in Royals last 14 overall.
Over is 9-4-0 in Royals last 13 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Under is 4-0-0 in Bautista's last 4 home starts.
Under is 4-0-0 in Bautista's last 4 home starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

Head to Head
Current Season DET 7-0 O/U 2-5
Tigers are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Kansas City.
Tigers are 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.
Under is 5-0-1 in Maroth's last 6 road starts vs. Royals.
Under is 16-2-1 in Maroth's last 19 starts vs. Royals.
Under is 4-1-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 5-2-0 in the last 7 meetings in Kansas City.

Penthouse Pick- UNDER 9.5 -110
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Philadelphia (23-22) 10-9 away at NY Mets (28-17) 16-7 home
PHI: Myers(2-2, 2.75 ERA) NYM: Gonzalez(0-0, 10.13 ERA)

B MYERS is 32-10 (+22.6 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game
on the season since 1997.
The average score was: B MYERS (5.4) , OPPONENT (3.7)

Philadelphia
Phillies are 10-3 in their last 13 games as a favorite.
Phillies are 17-8 in their last 25 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150.
Phillies are 1-7 in their last 8 overall.
Phillies are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Phillies are 0-5 in their last 5 road games.
Phillies are 5-1 in Myers' last 6 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150.
Phillies are 8-2 in Myers' last 10 road starts.
Phillies are 4-1 in Myers' last 5 starts as a favorite.
Phillies are 5-2 in Myers' last 7 starts.

NY Mets
Mets are 3-0 in their last 3 home games.
Mets are 3-0 in their last 3 overall.
Mets are 5-2 in their last 7 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150.
Mets are 15-7 in their last 22 games as an underdog.

OU Trends
Philadelphia
Under is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 games as a road favorite.
Over is 7-3-0 in Phillies last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 3-0-0 in Myers' last 3 road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Under is 4-0-0 in Myers' last 4 starts as a road favorite.
Under is 4-1-0 in Myers' last 5 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

NY Mets
Over is 6-2-0 in Mets last 8 home games.
Over is 12-5-0 in Mets last 17 overall.
Over is 9-4-0 in Mets last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Head to Head
Current Season NYM 3-2 O/U 3-2
Phillies are 3-0 in Myers' last 3 road starts vs. Mets.
Over is 3-0-0 in Myers' last 3 road starts vs. Mets.
Over is 6-0-0 in Myers' last 6 starts vs. Mets.
Over is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in New York.
Phillies are 5-2 in Myers' last 7 starts vs. Mets.
Over is 12-5-1 in the last 18 meetings.
Phillies are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in New York.

Penthouse Picks- OVER 9.5 -110 ****************************************
************
Good Luck Everybody and remember "Let's GO BUFFALO"

Old Post 05-25-06 06:32 PM
highrize is offline Click Here to See the Profile for highrize Click here to Send highrize a Private Message Edit post   Report post
highrize
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Oct 2005
Posts: 2326

I didn't like this game much at first but the more I looked the more I liked

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Baltimore (21-26) 7-14 away at Seattle (22-26) 14-14 home
BAL: Lopez(1-7, 8.07 ERA) SEA: Meche(4-2, 4.64 ERA)

BALTIMORE is 19-6 OVER (+12.6 Units) vs. a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save
opportunities this season.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (5.5) , OPPONENT (6.3)

Baltimore
Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
Orioles are 3-13 in their last 16 road games.
Orioles are 1-10 in their last 11 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Orioles are 1-4 in Lopez's last 5 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150.
Orioles are 0-6 in Lopez's last 6 starts as an underdog.
Orioles are 0-6 in Lopez's last 6 starts.
Orioles are 0-3 in Lopez's last 3 road starts.

Seattle
Mariners are 3-0 in their last 3 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Mariners are 3-0 in Meche's last 3 starts.
Mariners are 6-1 in Meche's last 7 starts as a home favorite.
Mariners are 10-3 in Meche's last 13 home starts.

OU Trends
Baltimore
Over is 3-0-0 in Orioles last 3 games as a road underdog.
Over is 3-0-0 in Orioles last 3 overall.
Over is 9-3-0 in Orioles last 12 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Over is 6-2-0 in Orioles last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 7-0-2 in Lopez's last 9 road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Under is 6-1-2 in Lopez's last 9 road starts.
Under is 9-4-2 in Lopez's last 15 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

Seattle
Over is 5-0-0 in Mariners last 5 games as a home favorite.
Over is 6-0-0 in Mariners last 6 home games.
Over is 7-0-0 in Mariners last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 10-1-0 in Mariners last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 13-3-0 in Mariners last 16 overall.
Over is 7-2-0 in Mariners last 9 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Over is 7-2-0 in Meche's last 9 home starts.
Under is 10-3-0 in Meche's last 13 home starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Over is 16-5-1 in Meche's last 22 starts overall.
Over is 8-3-1 in Meche's last 12 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

Head to Head
Current Season SEA 4-2 O/U 4-2
Over is 3-0-0 in the last 3 meetings.
Over is 4-0-0 in the last 4 meetings in Seattle.
Mariners are 4-0 in Meche's last 4 home starts vs. Orioles.
Over is 4-0-0 in Meche's last 4 home starts vs. Orioles.
Over is 5-2-0 in Meche's last 7 starts vs. Orioles.
Mariners are 5-2 in Meche's last 7 starts vs. Orioles.
Orioles are 10-26 in the last 36 meetings in Seattle.
Orioles are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

Penthouse Picks- SEA -140 & OVER 9.5 -110

Old Post 05-25-06 10:29 PM
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highrize
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Oct 2005
Posts: 2326

1-4

-3.63 units. Damn not even close 2nite. Back at it tomorrow.

Record: 6-6 (50%) -0.53

Old Post 05-26-06 05:57 AM
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zbt
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 2738

Can't win em all, keep your head up!

Old Post 05-26-06 06:04 AM
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