MLB favorites led 8-7 Tuesday w/ biggest upsets by MIA +210 at MIN, BAL +147 at NYY & SF +137 at AZ; road teams 9-6; Unders 9-5-1 w/ push in SEA-HOU (7); faves 1,296-971 w/ 50 PKs; home teams 1,212-1,098 w/ 7 neutral; Unders take lead at 1,112-1,109-94 w/ 2 N/A

Trend: AZ is 12-3 (+10.02 units) in the last 15 home divisional starts by Zac Gallen
System Match: PLAY ARIZONA (-230 vs. SF)

Trend: ATL trending Under at home (24-50 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total in NYM-ATL (o/u at 7.5)

Home team hitting slumps don’t last long
MLB home teams coming off a game in which they had 4 hits or fewer have rebounded quickly with a 961-830 (53.7%) record in the follow-up contest since the start of the 2018 season. This has resulted in a profit of +18.29 units for backers and an ROI of 1%.
System Matches (PLAY): DETROIT (-130 vs. TB)

(951) CHICAGO-NL (81-77) at (952) PHILADELPHIA (93-65)
Trend: CHC not as good against LH starters (14-19, -8.80 units)
System Match: FADE CHICAGO CUBS (+160 at PHI)

(953) MILWAUKEE (90-67) at (954) PITTSBURGH (73-84)
Trend: PIT worse vs. RH starters (50-61, -12.98 units)
System Match: FADE PITTSBURGH (+130 vs MIL)

(955) NEW YORK-NL (87-70) at (956) ATLANTA (86-71)
Trend: ATL trending Under at home (24-50 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 7.5)

(959) SAN FRANCISCO (79-79) at (960) ARIZONA (87-71)
Trend: AZ trending Over at home (32-14 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(963) SEATTLE (81-77) at (964) HOUSTON (86-72)
Trend: SEA worse on the road (35-45, -19.56 units)
System Match: FADE SEATTLE (-142 at HOU)

(965) TAMPA BAY (78-79) at (966) DETROIT (83-74)
Trend: TB trending Under vs. AL Central/West (21-39 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8)

(971) LOS ANGELES-AL (63-94) at (972) CHICAGO-AL (37-120)
Trend: LAA is 0-6 as a road favorite this season
System Match: FADE LA ANGELS (-118 at CWS)

(973) TEXAS (74-83) at (974) OAKLAND (68-89)
Trend: TEX bad on the road (30-46, -16.79 units)
System Match: FADE TEXAS (-120 at OAK)

(975) CINCINNATI (76-82) at (976) CLEVELAND (91-67)
Trend: CLE more Under vs. NL teams (13-28 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 7.5)

(977) KANSAS CITY (83-74) at (978) WASHINGTON (69-88)
Trend: KC worse vs. LH starters (14-20, -9.77 units)
System Match: FADE KANSAS CITY (-122 at WSH)

(953) MILWAUKEE (90-67) at (954) PITTSBURGH (73-84)
Trend: MIL is just 8-11 (-11.33 units) in September/October with starter Freddy Peralta in the last four seasons
System Match: FADE MILWAUKEE (-155 at PIT)

(957) ST LOUIS (80-77) at (958) COLORADO (60-97)
Trend: COL is 4-9 (-5.27 units) vs. NL Central opponents with starter Austin Gomber in the last four seasons
System Match: FADE COLORADO (+105 vs. STL)

(959) SAN FRANCISCO (79-79) at (960) ARIZONA (87-71)
Trend: AZ is 12-3 (+10.02 units) in the last 15 Home Divisional starts by Zac Gallen
System Match: PLAY ARIZONA (-230 vs. SF)

(963) SEATTLE (81-77) at (964) HOUSTON (86-72)
Trend: SEA is 17-7 (+5.45 units) as a road favorite of -125 or higher with George Kirby in the last three seasons
System Match: PLAY SEATTLE (-142 at HOU
Trend: Yusei Kikuchi is 16-8 (+13.94 units) as a day game underdog of +105 or more in career
System Match: PLAY HOUSTON (+120 vs. SEA)

(967) BALTIMORE (87-70) at (968) NEW YORK-AL (92-65)
Trend: Zach Eflin is 17-8 (+6.18 units) vs. AL East opponents since 2020
System Match: PLAY BALTIMORE (+130 at NYY)

(969) BOSTON (80-78) at (970) TORONTO (73-85)
Trend: TOR is 6-13 (-13.24 units) vs. AL East foes with Kevin Gausman in the last two seasons
System Match: FADE TORONTO (-142 vs. BOS)