Cubs (51-57) @ Cincinnati (51-55)
Steele is starts.
Chicago is 3-5 in his road starts.
over 3-1 last four starts
allowed run in first inning: 2-17
record in first 5 innings: 9-7-1
He is 2-4, 5.75 in eight starts vs Cincinnati.
Cubs are 5-8 in their last 13 games.
Theyre 24-32 on road.
under 8-2 last ten games
scored run in first inning: 23-108
record in first 5 innings: 42-49-17
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-3.2
bullpen game
Reds are 4-6 in their last ten games.
Theyre 26-28 at home.
under 6-1 last seven games
scored run in first inning: 29-106
record in first 5 innings: 48-44-14
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-1-4
Atlanta (56-49) @ Milwaukee (61-45)
Elder is 0-3, 8.53 in his last four starts.
Atlanta is 3-5 in his starts.
under 5-3
allowed run in first inning: 2-8
record in first 5 innings: 2-5-1
He is 1-0, 2.08 in two starts vs Milwaukee
Braves are 5-10 in their last 15 games.
Theyre 26-28 on road.
under 21-10 last 31 games
scored run in first inning: 28-105
record in first 5 innings: 49-42-14
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5-3
Milwaukee hasnt named a starter.
Brewers are 7-3 in their last ten games.
Theyre 31-19 at home.
over 5-0-1 last six home games
scored run in first inning: 28-106
record in first 5 innings: 50-43-13
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-5-3.2
Los Angeles (63-44) @ San Diego (57-51)
Glasnow is 0-1, 7.71 in his last three starts.
Dodgers are 4-1 in his last five starts.
over 5-1 last six
allowed run in first inning: 3-20
record in first 5 innings: 8-9-3
He is 0-0, 2.25 in two starts vs San Diego TY.
Dodgers are 7-3 in last ten games.
Dodgers are 29-24 on road.
Dodgers are 11-7 in road series openers.
under 6-2 last eight road games.
scored run in first inning: 36-107
record in first 5 innings: 53-43-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3.1-x
Waldron is 1-2, 3.79 in his last three starts.
San Diego is 4-6 in his last ten starts.
over 3-1 last four home starts
allowed run in first inning: 9-21
record in first 5 innings: 7-11-3
He is 0-1, 2.61 in two starts against the Dodgers.
Padres won seven of last eight games.
Theyre 26-28 at home.
Padres are 8-9 in home series openers.
over 4-1 last five games
scored run in first inning: 30-108
record in first 5 innings: 46-47-15
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-6-x
Washington (49-58) @ Arizona (56-51)
Corbin is 1-2, 4.00 in his last three starts.
Washington is 2-11 in his last 13 starts.
over 8-4 last 12 starts
allowed run in first inning: 4-21
record in first 5 innings: 6-14-1
He is 0-3, 8.87 in five starts vs Arizona.
Nationals are 2-5 in last seven games.
Theyre 26-31 on road.
over 5-1 last six road games
scored run in first inning: 18-107
record in first 5 innings: 43-54-10
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3-3.2
Nelson is 2-0, 3.20 in his last four starts.
Arizona is 6-1 in his last seven starts.
over 4-1 last five
allowed run in first inning: 1-17
record in first 5 innings: 7-8-2
He is 1-0, 3.00 in two starts vs Washington
Arizona is 11-4 in its last 15 games.
Diamondbacks are 29-25 at home.
over 8-2 last ten home games
scored run in first inning: 33-107
record in first 5 innings: 49-40-18
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-4
Toronto (50-57) @ Baltimore (63-44)
Bassitt is 1-3, 6.23 in his last four starts.
Toronto is 2-7 in his last nine starts.
over 5-1 last six starts
allowed run in first inning: 6-21
record in first 5 innings: 8-7-8
He is 3-2, 4.79 in six starts vs Baltimore.
Toronto is 11-8 in its last 19 games.
Blue Jays are 24-29 on road.
over 27-5 last 32 games
scored run in first inning: 26-107
record in first 5 innings: 45-49-13
bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-10.2
Burnes is 1-1, 3.26 in his last three starts.
Orioles are 14-0 with Burnes if they score 4+ runs.
Orioles are 9-3 in his last 12 starts.
over 9-3 last six starts
allowed run in first inning: 5-21
record in first 5 innings: 14-5-2
He is 1-0, 1.38 in two starts vs Toronto TY.
Baltimore lost six of last nine games.
Orioles are 32-25 at home.
over 11-1 last dozen games
scored run in first inning: 26-107
record in first 5 innings: 57-39-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.1-7.2
Seattle (56-52) @ Boston (56-49)
Castillo is 2-1, 1.40 in his last four starts.
Seattle is 4-6 in his road starts.
under 3-1 last four starts
allowed run in first inning: 7-22
record in first 5 innings: 9-12-1
He is 1-2, 5.06 in three starts vs Boston.
Seattle won three of last four games.
Mariners are 25-29 on road.
over 6-2 last eight road games
scored run in first inning: 29-108
record in first 5 innings: 48-44-16
bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2.2-5.1
Paxton was 1-1, 8.66 in his last four starts for LA.
Dodgers were 14-4 in his starts.
over 8-3 last 11
allowed run in first inning: 6-18
record in first 5 innings: 10-6-2
He gave up 2 runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs Seattle.
He pitched for Seattle from 2013-18.
Red Sox lost seven of last ten games.
Theyre 26-27 at home.
over 8-1 last nine games
scored run in first inning: 33-105
record in first 5 innings: 56-38-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-3-2.1
Kansas City (58-49) @ White Sox (27-82)
Wacha is 3-0, 2.89 in his last five starts.
Kansas City is 4-1 in his last five starts.
under 6-4 last 10 starts
allowed run in first inning: 3-18
record in first 5 innings: 7-7-4
He is 2-1, 0.90 in three starts vs Chicago TY.
Royals lost four of last six games.
Royals are 23-27 on road
over 4-1 last five games
scored run in first inning: 29-107
record in first 5 innings: 50-41-16
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3.1-4.1
Cannon is 0-3, 4.13 in his last four games.
Chicago is 3-7 in his starts.
under 6-4
allowed run in first inning: 3-10
record in first 5 innings: 4-5-1
He is 0-1, 4.09 in two starts vs Kansas City TY.
White Sox are 1-18 in last 19 games.
Chicago is 17-38 at home.
over 5-1 last six games
scored run in first inning: 21-109
record in first 5 innings: 42-52-15
bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-6-3
Bronx (63-45) @ Philadelphia (65-41)
Cole is 2-1, 4.15 in his last three starts.
New York is 4-3 in his starts.
over 5-2
allowed run in first inning: 2-7
record in first 5 innings: 4-3
He is 6-3, 2.90 in nine starts against the Phillies.
New York won its last three games, scoring 33 runs.
Theyre 36-22 on road.
over 24-9 last 33 games
scored run in first inning: 36-108
record in first 5 innings: 55-40-13
bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.2-2.2-3.2
Nola is 2-0, 3.52 in his last four starts.
Phillies are 15-6 in his starts.
over 3-1 last four starts
allowed run in first inning: 4-21
record in first 5 innings: 14-3-4
He is 1-2, 2.88 in four starts vs New York
Phillies are 4-9 in their last 13 games.
Theyre 38-19 at home.
under 6-3 last nine games
scored run in first inning: 39-106
record in first 5 innings: 63-32-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: x-5-4
Minnesota (58-48) @ NY Mets (56-50)
Festa is 1-1, 8.16 in three games (2 starts).
Twins are 1-1 in his starts.
over 2-0
allowed run in first inning: 0-2
record in first 5 innings: 1-1
He hasnt pitched against the Mets.
Twins are 4-3 in their last seven games.
Twins are 29-26 on road.
over 7-2 last nine games.
scored run in first inning: 29-105
record in first 5 innings: 46-46-13
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1-4.2
Manaea is 1-1, 5.40 in his last three starts.
New York are 5-1 in his last six starts.
over 3-0 last three starts
allowed run in first inning: 3-20
record in first 5 innings: 10-6-4
He is 5-1, 2.48 in six games (5 starts) vs Minnesota
New York is 14-6 in its last 20 games.
Mets are 29-28 at home.
over 6-2 last eight home games
scored run in first inning: 27-106
record in first 5 innings: 46-43-17
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-3
Miami (39-66) @ Tampa Bay (54-52)
Cabrera is 0-1, 7.41 in his last four starts.
Marlins are 5-4 in his starts.
over 8-1
allowed run in first inning: 1-9
record in first 5 innings: 4-4-1
He is 0-2, 10.80 in two starts vs Tampa Bay.
Marlins are 7-4 in their last 11 games.
Miami is 17-33 on road.
over 16-6-1 last 23 games.
scored run in first inning: 24-106
record in first 5 innings: 33-63-10
bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-x
Springs is making his first 24 start.
He was 2-0, 0.56 in three starts LY, before he got hurt.
In his career, he is 21-10, 3.40 in 138 games (30 starts).
This is his first start vs Miami.
Tampa Bay is 10-6 in its last 16 games.
Rays are 29-28 at home.
under 6-0 last six home games.
scored run in first inning: 26-106
record in first 5 innings: 39-51-16
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-9-x
Texas (52-55) @ St Louis (54-52)
Scherzer is 1-1, 4..82 in his last four starts.
Texas is 4-3 in his starts.
under 5-2
allowed run in first inning: 0-7
record in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
He is 5-6, 2.50 in 15 starts vs St Louis.
Rangers lost three of last four games.
Theyre 23-32 on road.
over 5-1 last six games
scored run in first inning: 36-107
record in first 5 innings: 47-43-17
bullpen IP last 3 days: 7.1-5.2-3
Lynn is 1-0, 1.64 in his last two starts.
St Louis is 9-3 in his last 12 starts.
under 7-4 last 11 starts
allowed run in first inning: 6-20
record in first 5 innings: 6-10-4
He is 0-1, 1.74 in two starts vs Texas
Cardinals are 2-5 in last seven games.
Theyre 27-25 at home.
under 5-3 last eight games
scored run in first inning: 22-106
record in first 5 innings: 39-49-18
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-4
Pittsburgh (54-52) @ Houston (54-52)
Pittsburgh hasnt named a starter.
Pirates are 11-5 in their last 16 games.
Theyre 28-26 on road.
under 9-5 last 14 games
scored run in first inning: 21-106
record in first 5 innings: 44-42-20
bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-3-3
Brown is 3-0, 1.00 in his last three starts.
Houston is 8-1 in his last nine starts.
over 3-1 last four
allowed run in first inning: 7-20
record in first 5 innings: 12-7-1
He hasnt pitched against Pittsburgh.
Houston is 9-7 in its last 16 games.
Astros are 30-23 at home.
over 6-3 last nine games
scored run in first inning: 33-106
record in first 5 innings: 50-44-12
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-3-6
Colorado (38-69) @ LA Angels (46-60)
Quantrill is 1-1, 6.16 in his last four starts.
Colorado is 10-5 in his last 15 starts.
over 6-2 last eight
allowed run in first inning: 2-21
record in first 5 innings: 9-8-4
He is 1-1, 2.18 in five starts vs Anaheim.
Rockies lost five of last six games.
Theyre 14-40 on road.
Rockies lost their last six road series openers.
over 7-2 last nine road games
scored run in first inning: 28-107
record in first 5 innings: 40-54-13
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.1-x
Canning is 0-2, 6.88 in his last four starts.
Angels are 5-2 in his last seven home starts.
under 8-3 last 11 starts
allowed run in first inning: 9-21
record in first 5 innings: 7-13-1
He is 1-0, 2.31 in two starts vs Colorado
Angels lost three of last four games.
Theyre 23-32 at home.
Angels are 1-6 in last seven series openers.
under 5-2 last seven games
scored run in first inning: 23-106
record in first 5 innings: 35-61-10
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2-6.1
Oakland (44-64) @ San Francisco (53-55)
Sears is 3-1, 4.98 in his last four starts.
As are 4-1 in his last five starts.
over 4-2 last six starts
allowed run in first inning: 7-21
record in first 5 innings: 9-11-1
He hasnt pitched against San Francisco.
As are 14-8 in last 22 games.
Oakland is 8-20 in last 28 road games.
As are 8-3 in last 11 series openers.
over 9-3 last dozen games
scored run in first inning: 23-108
record in first 5 innings: 40-63-5
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-4.1
Ray gave up a run in 5 IP, in his first 24 start.
Giants are 1-0 in his starts.
over 1-0
allowed run in first inning: 0-1
record in first 5 innings: 1-0
He is 2-2, 2.72 in seven starts vs Oakland.
San Francisco is 5-1 in its last six games.
Giants are 32-22 at home.
Giants are 8-2 in last 10 home series openers.
under 9-4 last 13 games
scored run in first inning: 25-108
record in first 5 innings: 44-48-16
bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-9-x
Umpires
Chi-Cin- Home favorites are 10-4 in Hoye games.
Atl-Milw- Road underdogs are 10-9 in Barrett games.
Wsh-Ariz- Favorites are 11-8 in Fairchild games.
Tor-Balt- Under is 8-5 in Parra games
Clev-Det- Home underdogs are 4-3 in Morales games.
Sea-B0s- Over is 13-7 in Visconti games.
KC-CWS- Over is 10-5 in Wegner games.
NYY-Phil- Under is 9-7 in Barber games
Minn-NY- Road underdogs are 10-8 in Miller games
Tex-StL- Home favorites are 12-4 in Mackay games.
Pitt-Hst- Jones is a rookie ump; no trends yet.
Trend: Over the total is 14-1 (93.3%, +13.00 units) since 2019 in SEA-BOS head-to-head games in Boston
The ROI on this trend is 86.7%
System Matches: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 10)
Trend: MIA awful vs. LH starters (7-29, -22.13 units)
System Match: FADE MIAMI (+142 at MIA)
(901) CHICAGO-NL (51-57) at (902) CINCINNATI (51-55)
Trend: Under the total is 7-2 in the last nine head-to-head meetings in Cincinnati
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 9)
(903) ATLANTA (56-49) at (904) MILWAUKEE (61-45)
Trend: ATL is 11-5 in the last 16 head-to-head meetings vs. MIL
System Match: PLAY ATLANTA (+105 at MIL)
(905) WASHINGTON (49-58) at (906) ARIZONA (56-51)
Trend: AZ not as good vs. LH starters (17-21, -9.00 units)
System Match: FADE ARIZONA (-180 vs WSH)
(907) LOS ANGELES-NL (63-44) at (908) SAN DIEGO (57-51)
Trend: Under the total is 3-0 in the head-to-head series at SD this season
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 7.5)
(909) CLEVELAND (64-42) at (910) DETROIT (52-56)
Trend: Over the total is 6-2 in the last eight head-to-head meetings in Detroit
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8)
(911) TORONTO (50-57) at (912) BALTIMORE (63-44)
Trend: TOR trending Over vs. divisional teams (23-10 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)
(915) KANSAS CITY (58-49) at (916) CHICAGO-AL (27-82)
Trend: CWS awful vs. RH starters (20-68, -40.32 units)
System Match: FADE CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+164 vs KC)
(917) NEW YORK-AL (63-45) at (918) PHILADELPHIA (65-41)
Trend: NYY is 14-4 this season as a ROAD underdog
System Match: PLAY NY YANKEES (+100 at PHI)
(919) MIAMI (39-67) at (920) TAMPA BAY (54-52)
Trend: MIA awful vs. LH starters (7-29, -22.13 units)
System Match: FADE MIAMI (+142 at MIA)
(921) MINNESOTA (58-47) at (922) NEW YORK-NL (56-50)
Trend: NYM slight Over vs. AL teams (14-8 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)
(923) TEXAS (52-55) at (924) ST LOUIS (54-52)
Trend: STL is pretty good as home underdog this season (10-6 record)
System Match: CONSIDER PLAYING ST LOUIS (+100 vs TEX)
(929) OAKLAND (44-64) at (930) SAN FRANCISCO (53-55)
Trend: SF not as good vs. LH starters (13-20, -10.44 units)
System Match: FADE SAN FRANCISCO (-205 vs OAK)
(907) LOS ANGELES-NL (63-44) at (908) SAN DIEGO (57-51)
Trend: Tyler Glasnow is just 5-9 (-7.00 units) as a short ROAD favorite (in line range of -115 to -140) in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE LA DODGERS (-135 at SD)
(909) CLEVELAND (64-42) at (910) DETROIT (52-56)
Trend: CLE is 0-3 (-5.28 units) against divisional opponents with starter Gavin Williams this season
System Match: CONSIDER FADING CLEVELAND (-162 at DET)
(923) TEXAS (52-55) at (924) ST LOUIS (54-52)
Trend: Max Scherzer is 36-15 (+14.57 units) on the ROAD vs NL teams in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY TEXAS (-120 at STL)
Trend: Lance Lynn is 12-2 (+9.70 units) at home within line range of +100 to -130 in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY ST LOUIS (+100 vs. TEX)