The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping |
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msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535
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5. Tuscan Gold (2-1): The morning line favorite will save his bullets for the Preakness at Pimlico next weekend. After a maiden win in February at Gulfstream Park, Tuscan Gold went to Fair Grounds and ran third in the Louisiana Derby. Kentucky Derby runners Catching Freedom and Honor Marie finished ahead of Tuscan Gold. Surely you’ll read about Tuscan Gold next week with our Preakness Stakes coverage.
6. Antiquarian (6-1): Pletcher’s other entry draws John Velazquez in the irons after finishing sixth in the G2 Louisiana Derby. That race was at 1 3/16 miles, so this one will be a bit longer. Antiquarian had a rough start to the LA Derby and faded with the distance. With the extra distance here, as impressive as the connections are, it’s a tough ask. The son of four-time New York stakes winner Preservationist and lightly-raced Lifetime Memory may get the benefit of the doubt with Pletcher and Velazquez, but I don’t see a board finish.
7. Deterministic (5-1): After a stellar performance in the one-mile Gotham Stakes, Deterministic was pointed towards the Wood Memorial. He finished eighth in a race that wound up being pretty unimpressive by time and speed. Traffic was a factor for rider Joel Rosario and he never seemed to find running room or a clear path. That was a 12-horse field and more physical of a race than we’re likely to see here. After being the odds-on favorite in the Wood, we might get a nice price here with some horseplayers having trust issues with the Christophe Clement’s lone entry.
8. Native Land (12-1): This will be the stakes debut for Native Land, who rides maiden and allowance wins at Oaklawn Park and Keeneland into this one. A win as a shipper had to be a positive sign for young trainer Riley Mott, son of legendary trainer Bill Mott. The 32-year-old Mott turns to Junior Alvarado here with a horse that has hit the board in all four races and seems okay with distance. It is a big step up in class, though, and a longer trip from the far outside.
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05-11-24 04:58 PM |
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