So what does history tell us about the higher seeds going for the series win in game 6 on the road.
Capitals at Rangers....Bruins at Leafs. Game 6
The team leading 3-games-2 with site order HHVVH (Washington, Boston) has a preliminary round winning percentage of 58.1% and all rounds winning percentage of 53.7. So the Caps are a very good wager, getting +123. The B's are a -132 fave so that is pretty much a wash.
Wings at Ducks
How about a team going for a series win at home in game 7. You would think it's pretty high, wouldn't you ??
Well......it's a winning wager, but not as much as you may think. Considering site order and ignoring win order the team going for the game 7 win has a 58.2% of winning the game. If you go by all rounds it edges up to 59.7%.
Lo and behold the oddsmakers have made the Ducks a -141 fave which means you have to win 58.5% of your wagers to break even.