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jkaul
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2005
Posts: 3658

Dog Series Chase (31-2 +27.49 units)

Looks like a busy weekend for us this weekend.


atl/pit - pirates favored in game 1, but Atlanta will be favored in game 2. NO PLAY

fla/was - marlins favored in game 1, nats on 8 game loss streak. NO PLAY

az/hou - dbacks favored in game 1, houston will be favored in game 2. NO PLAY

cin/lad - dodgers favored in game 1, cincy 3-7 last 10. NO PLAY

bal/bos - both teams on 3 game win streaks, can't play against either of them. NO PLAY

tb/tor - both teams on big loss streaks, tb 4, tor 9 NO PLAY

laa/tex - angels favored in game 1, Rangers have been awful against LA (17-36 overall, 9-16 in Texas) NO PLAY

kc/cws - white sox favored in game 1, royals 3-7 last 10 games NO PLAY

nyy/sea - yankees favored in game 1, and are 7-3 last 10 games so cant play against them. NO PLAY

cle/oak - indians favored in game 1, but Oakland should be favored in game 2 and/or game 3. NO PLAY

The rest are all "possible" plays.
Cubs/Phi - Cubs should be dogs for all 3 games. Despite their sub 400 records against Philly the last 3 years (7-12 overall and 3-6 in Philly), I am making the Cubs a play. The 3-6 last 3 years in Philly is too small of a sample to eliminate this play, so I used the secondary filter (adding the 7-12, 3-6, chi 8-5 road record and the reverse of Philly 6-7 home record) and got a win pct of .462 which is above the .450 cutoff. CUBS ARE A PLAY.

mil/nym - Brewers are likely dogs for the entire series, only question is Saturday's game with Sheets on the hill against Pelfrey. This one will have to wait for Saturday's odds to be posted before making them a play.

stl/sd - Cardinals will be dogs for all 3 games. Have had recent success against the Padres (9-10, 4-5 inSD). CARDINALS ARE A PLAY

det/min - Tigers are dogs for game 1, should be dogs with Durbin in game 2 and now that Bonderman will likely miss Sunday's start against Bonser, they should be dogs then as well. The Tigers lackluster performance in Minnesota (10-16) is overshadowed by their 11-5 road record this season. If Durbin is dog on Saturday, this chase is on.

Will update tomorrow morning, but will not be able to do an afternoon update as I will be out of town. These 4 plays are totally dependent on the fact that they will be dogs for Saturday as well.

GLTA

Old Post 05-11-07 05:36 AM
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HoustonFan
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 6159

Thanks

Thanks - This is really the only thing I am doiong in Bases. Your hard work is really appreciated.

Old Post 05-11-07 12:47 PM
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pshinnamon
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Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 6463

Re Chase

Looks like JKAUL will be out today. If anyone can check the odds for Saturdays game MIl. vs Mets to see if Mil is dog I would greatly appreciate it.

thanks

Pete




Terpman

Old Post 05-11-07 02:02 PM
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AngryBeavers
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Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 1555

Just checked

odds not up yet - I am traveling today as well but ought to get a chance to check this afternoon

Old Post 05-11-07 03:59 PM
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maineroad


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 72

You 'da man, Kaul! Thanks.

Old Post 05-11-07 04:21 PM
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jkaul
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2005
Posts: 3658

current odds for today

CUBS +109 - Game 1 - (1 unit to win 1.09 units)
BREWERS +120 - Game 1 - (1unit to win 1.20 units)
CARDINALS +185 - Game 1 - (1 unit to win 1.85 units)
TIGERS +183 - Game 1 - (1 unit to win 1.83 units)

Heading out, so this is what I am playing. If Saturday odds come up as favorites, I will just cancel the series and not include in the record (win or lose).

GLTA

Will be back later tonight.

Old Post 05-11-07 04:30 PM
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tmc771
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Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 3527

thanks for the hard work jkaul, i owe u big!

Old Post 05-11-07 05:57 PM
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Dark Horse
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Registered: May 2005
Posts: 3765

Opening lines:
Neither MIL or DET are dogs on Saturday.

Old Post 05-11-07 07:12 PM
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jerseyguy


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 289

To ALL...........

It is now 2:55pm E.D.S.T.

Dark Horse just to backup your observation:

Saturday line find:

DET - Durbin -115 (no dog chase)
MIL - Sheets -121 (no dog chase)


Therefore ONLY 2 Dog Chases left.
CUBS
STL

GO Go Go............................

Old Post 05-11-07 08:58 PM
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austintx05


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 188

good teamwork guys...lets do this!

Old Post 05-11-07 10:16 PM
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wojo12212
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Registered: Jul 2006
Posts: 12317

Jkaul

Good luck

Wojo

Old Post 05-11-07 10:24 PM
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tmc771
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Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 3527

good teamwork is right, it is good to see even in the absence of jkaul, everyone carries on and picks up the slack thanks guys

Old Post 05-11-07 10:45 PM
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pinkpastrami
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Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 2029

jkaul, AngryBeavers and all

Why doesnt someone get all the bandwagoners of the chase program's cell #'s and text everyone as new developments arise???

Old Post 05-11-07 10:49 PM
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jerseyguy


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 289

Can't think of anything after that picture

What-a-great-idea..................Count me in......................


Joe

Old Post 05-11-07 10:57 PM
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playtowin
Restricted User

Registered: Apr 2006
Posts: 8329

Jkaul

GL Tonight

Old Post 05-12-07 03:00 AM
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RogieKingsFan


Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 44

Jkaul

I'm in on that also..

Thanks

Old Post 05-12-07 04:20 AM
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RayFreez


Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 305

Do we bet the Cubs and STL again?

They both got plastered yeterday. This is my first time trying the dog chase. Guess I started at a bad time. Play em both?

Thanks and GL




Ray Freez

I Post my opinion - because I can.

Old Post 05-12-07 11:15 AM
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HoustonFan
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 6159

Ray

Yes - play both teams for 2 units.
I got Cubs +!20 and Cards + 131 at betmamaca.com

Old Post 05-12-07 12:57 PM
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jkaul
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2005
Posts: 3658

Game 2

Thanks for the help guys. The Cubs and Cardinals are the only chases.

CUBS +125 - Game 2 - (2 units to win 2.50 units)
CARDINALS +128 - Game 2 - (2 units to win 2.56 units)

GLTA

Old Post 05-12-07 05:21 PM
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austintx05


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 188

why do I get the feeling that these worthless ******* cubs are going to lose this series

Old Post 05-12-07 10:52 PM
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