let's see what people are talking about today, feel free to chime in

CLEVELAND is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) after gaining 5 or less yards/play in their previous game

CLEVELAND is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in home games after scoring 42 points or less last game

PHILADELPHIA is 12-3 UNDER (+8.7 Units) off a road blowout win by 24 points or more

PHILADELPHIA is 11-3 OVER (+7.7 Units) 1H after a win by 14 or more points over the last 2 seasons

There’s been a consistent trend in MLB over the years where big favorites take care of business in the final game before the All-Star break. There are a few different theories on why this could be, such as good teams being more motivated to enter the break on a high note, and/or star pitchers getting the last start for solid teams. For example, historically Cole Hamels has the best record when entering the All-Star break at 5-0 for + 3.04 units.

When looking back at all the data I wanted to distinguish two things– “bigger” favorites (-135 or higher) and teams that weren’t too publicly bet (<70% of tickets). To little surprise, these teams have compiled a 40-10 record for +15.5 units while turning a profit in 9 of the 12 seasons

Of course a 50-game sample size isn’t enough to make a firm statement about– but these big favorites have consistently come through for bettors entering the All-Star break for over 10+ years, and it doesn’t matter what sort of criteria you look at– whether the teams are playing divisional opponents (21-5) or non-divisional (19-5), or if the team is playing home (33-9) or away (7-1).

Looking at Sunday’s slate of games, there’s a few teams putting their stud SP out there like the Rangers (Darvish), Dodgers (Kershaw) and Indians (Kluber). You can check out the lines and betting %’s for these games to see if they fit the criteria

Astros - Jose Altuve, Rest - is not in the starting lineup Saturday (7/8) at Toronto

Teheran 5-0 on the road this season F5

Phillies ML is very curious today.

Odds for tonight's fight against Valentina Shevchenko currently off the board. Nunes (-106) was getting 62% of tickets.

Jake Arrieta is 0-3 with a 7.81 ERA in his past 5 starts against the Pirates.

Love Harvick to win the race tonight +600

TEHERAN NOW 6-0 ON THE ROAD F5 THIS YEAR