Anyone have any idea why the moneyline is so far out of the norm for the superbowl? I always thought a 7 point favorite should be -320 or -330. On Sportsinteraction the colts are -200 on the moneyline. While the bears are only +170 ml . Seems like they want us to take the colts. Any thoughts?
for the Super Bowl. You cannot compare to status quo or normal ML's during the regular season. This has been the case in major public sports wagering events for years.
Oddly enough, the betting pattern of squares IS the ML in these games so the "burden of proof" is shifted. Bottom line, the +ev players, true sharps, are on Colts -205/-210 as they are shopping while I type. They also played Bears +7- (-05) or ev days ago.