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kctatum
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2005
Posts: 2436

This is stupid

There must be 800 ways to bet on the Super Bowl.
I have enough trouble trying to pick a winner and the O/U but now there is about 798 prop bets. Its going to take me 3 hours just to read them then i have to figure out the best ones. Oh well.
But i have won all my props this playoffs season and i would like to keep it going.So no sleep for me tonight.

GLTA

Old Post 02-04-07 07:19 AM
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duckman
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 2703

kc

read brian_n_bama's sims play. It breaks down what individuals are projected to get and I'm thinking of going with plays where there is a 20-25 yard variance for over/unders on those props.




All things being equal, when in doubt, take the underdog.

Old Post 02-04-07 08:17 AM
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PhilliePhan


Registered: Dec 2006
Posts: 297

Warning

The sim plays had Mike Brown getting 3 INTs in the 20 games.

Old Post 02-04-07 08:19 AM
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brian_n_bama
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: May 2005
Posts: 20449

PhilliePhan - That was Alex Brown that had 3 INTs. I failed to put the A. Sorry about the confusion.

Old Post 02-04-07 09:58 AM
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ChargerDave


Registered: Aug 2006
Posts: 184

Some of what I like:

Total INT Under 2.5
24 of the 37 combined Colts/Bears games this season have gone under 2.5. 5 of the last 7 Colts games under, 5 of the last 6 Bears games under.

Total Sacks Over 3.5
More of a hunch here, since just 16 of their 37 games went over. 5 of the last 7 Bears games have gone over. 15 of the past 20 Super Bowl games over 3.5.

May take Total Passes Completed Under 40.5
24 of the 37 games have gone under. 8 of the last 11 Bears games under. 9 of the last 12 Colts games under.

Total Rush Yards Over 238.5
Total average is 245.1 for the 37 Colts/Bears games. 6 of the last 9 Colt games over. 8 of the last 12 Bear games over.

May take Total FG Made Over 3.5
90% of the time I take under, but another hunch on over here.

Old Post 02-04-07 10:59 AM
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