The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping |
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osk
StatFox Hall Of Famer
Registered: May 2005
Posts: 4175
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NCAA Football **Top Play** (Friday, November 24, 2006)
**Top Play** (BEST BET)
LSU (-1.5) (-110) over Arkansas*
*This line is currently available at cascade. LSU remains a Top Play at -2.5 or less.
LSU has one of the best defenses in the country as they have limited opponents to 11.3 points per game, 13.4 first downs, 75 yards rushing (2.5 ypc) and 228 total yards (3.9 ypp). LSU should have success containing Arkansas' ground game which is their bread and butter with McFadden (5.8 ypc).
LSU has also played a more dififcult schedule and outgained Auburn, Florida and Tennessee earlier this season despite losing two of those games. Arkansas will have no success throwing the ball and, as a result, LSU will stack the box and eliminate the Hog's ground attack.
Conversely, LSU QB J. Russell has completed 70% of his passed with a 24-7 ratio on the season and will utilize his highly talented wide receivers to move the chains throughout the afternoon. Meanwhile, Arkansas' secondary has only 8 interceptions on the year so they don't present a major threat to this Tiger offense.
Finally, LSU is 20-6 SU against winning teams and 16-6 SU on the road versus SEC opponents. LSU will secure their tenth win of the season this afternoon on foreign soil.
This is my only Top Play today. However, I will have my strongest (and largest) investment tomorrow in college football. I will be investing 7.5% of my bankroll on this game as it's the best investment opportunity I've seen since 2004.
Good luck today and hope everyone had a terrific Thanksgiving. I'm taking the lady for a little hiking excursion so I won't be around this afternoon. Good luck!
"Don't give up. . .Don't Ever Give Up!" --Jimmy Valvano
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11-24-06 04:29 PM |
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osk
StatFox Hall Of Famer
Registered: May 2005
Posts: 4175
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Updated Record
2005-2006 Records:
Basketball (NBA & NCAA): 110-63-3 ATS (64%)
Basketball (NBA & NCAA) (2006-2007): 4-4-1
Major League Baseball: 128-99-0 (56.4%) (+8.8 units)
NFL Preseason: 16-13-0 ATS (55.2%) (+5.0 units)
NCAA Football: 61-37-4 ATS (62.2%); 8-3 ML (72.7%); 2-1 O/U
National Football League: 41-27-1 ATS (60.6%); 2-5 ML; 0-1 O/U
National Hockey League: 12-7 (63.2%) (+9.91 units)
Overall Record (2005-2006): 385-255-7 (60.1%)
"Don't give up. . .Don't Ever Give Up!" --Jimmy Valvano
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11-24-06 04:30 PM |
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douglas
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Oct 2005
Posts: 17915
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osk......
This is one of those type of games I love to watch .....I liked LSU today before I saw your pick ......Just Jumped All over them @ 1.5 after picking up the hook @ pinny ......
gl
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11-24-06 04:38 PM |
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douglas
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Oct 2005
Posts: 17915
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way to shoot
nice call .........
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11-25-06 12:21 AM |
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osk
StatFox Hall Of Famer
Registered: May 2005
Posts: 4175
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Final Update
LSU--Winner
Hope everyone is having a nice weekend.
msudogs--always great to be on the same side. I just got home with the lady and enjoyed looking at the score.
Touch base later. . .it's been a busy few days.
"Don't give up. . .Don't Ever Give Up!" --Jimmy Valvano
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11-25-06 12:35 AM |
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iama2x4x8
Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 14
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oskiem thanks for all your hard work also when are you going to post that pick for tommorow
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11-25-06 01:34 AM |
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osk
StatFox Hall Of Famer
Registered: May 2005
Posts: 4175
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I will be posting my Top Plays, including the Best Bet, tomorrow morning after 9 a.m. eastern time.
In the meantime, I recommend investing now on:
Tennessee and USC. They are both Top Plays.
For tracking purposes, I have Tennessee at (-20) (-120) and USC at (-8) (-120).
Good luck and see you all tomorrow morning!
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11-25-06 01:55 AM |
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