I was looking at the data and seemed to come up with a lot of games but the estimator didn't match. I did see only one game where it did for 45 stars. Just wanted to make sure that I didn't miss anything and that that was the play. So is the 45 star game the play for today?
I don't see how the updates will affect this. Seeing how I saw 4 other plays today that fit, BUT the estimator was in the other direction and none of the remaining games were even close. So it seems to me that the 45 star is it...
one thing to remember is that we are 7-1 this year on TSP's that are -220 or more...
The lines makers have this at a 75% chance win for Seattle. Our stats in this case give an 88% chance of winning (above scenario) which is consistent with Nicks plays which are also 88%.