I know that this has been talked about before but does anyone know what the % of times a team that wins straight up also covers the spread in college and pro football as well as basketball??

Thank you

NFL: 3072-631-109 (83.0%) Since 1989

NBA: 9130-2120-217 (81.2%) Since 1995

Results may vary depending on book.

It seems CFB is around 65% or so (if my memory serves me correctly) because of the enormous lines.

I can give you specific teams if you need them but not a total.

I would venture a guess that last year the NFL pct was below the 83% average because the lines were higher than average.

Being completely accurate here is tough question because of line-variances . Speaking of college basketball though its fairly common knowledge that the home-favorites win straight up a little over 75% of the time & favorites in general a tab below that , but it takes a "major" tumble to just around 50% when concerning the spread . Knowing this has proven the linesmakers are doing thier job and make it very tough to assume a winner on any night versus the line .

Early is the key to a NCAA B-Ball season , as the odds-makers will invariably slip a bit here and the lines are little soft , but given a month or so they get a hitch in thier giddy-up and tighten thier belts considerably to produce the perfect 50/50 scene they want out there .

A fair assessment on this subject would take a bit of working and undoubtly vari a % point here and there , I have found season in and season out that totals are thier Achilles heel and the least paid attention to by the general public so thereby the least paid attention to by themselves also .

G.L> on your quest , and keep us informed should you discover some good news ?

Ms>>MM

I just finished doing some analysis of the publics percentages for last years NFL season and the public was on the favorite roughly 86-93% of the time. The lines then rise in that direction and I'd guess that this probably means more favorites win by don't cover. Either way it makes the ML's for dogs look pretty good if you find one you like.

Last years NFL was around 84.3% but as we all know the dogs were 100%. Favs were 75%. I guess the other % were pick 'em affairs.