Play from System 3 (76+%, Roll @ $10901)

Swedish S. : AIK to win - $839 @ $1.70.

AIK is the in form team in the superettan, going 5-1-0 (W-D-L) in their last 6 and a solid 4-1-1 on the road this season. Looking at their opposition, Frolunda is a pretty dismal 2-1-3 at home this season picking up a measly 10 of a possible 39 points (3-1-9 record overall). In terms of rate form, AIK is the leader. GF:GA looks very favourable for AIK too. AIK has gone 25:9 versus Frolunda's 14:25 on the season. On the road AIK is 12:4 and Frolunda a pretty poor 8:10 at home. While Frolunda is a little stingy at home, they certainly let the goals in and AIK can put them away, with the overall goal edge (patent-pending formula :) ) of 1.7 for AIK - which makes this one good play.

History is also on AIK's side with them winning the last four league matches (although this is low key info as the last league match was 5 years ago ;) )

If you're not feeling that brave because Frolunda is a little stingy at home, you could consider the under 2.5 goals (although AIK has been slapping the goals in recently so I would be a little leary of that decision) or you might throw a unit at the "X2" (draw or AIK win) double-chance which is currently at about $1.15-1.20. But I will personally only play for the win.

Good luck.
Oz

Quick question...

Are you risking $839 or playing to win $839?

Thanks

mb

RISKING my bet sizes, no matter whether dog or favourite.

Oz

AIK 3
Frolunda 0

Thanks for the post!
Keep up the good analysis.

DeepDraw

Play from System 3 (76+%, Roll @ $10901)

Swedish S. : AIK to win - $839 @ $1.70 - Winner (+$587)

Roll now at $11488 for System 3.

Have good one.
Oz

They scored that last goal in the 90th minute or you would have nailed the under prediction, too.