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AussieRules


Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 396

Soccer for the weekend

Guys,
Here are my plays for the weekend. I have translated from units to dollars of a $10,000 bankroll using a moving Kelly style money management.

System 1 (hitting 88+%, Roll at $12760)
Norway 1: Stabaek to Win - $130 @ $1.19

System 2 (hitting 29+%, Roll at $11090)
USA MLS: San Jose to Win - $319.7 @ $5.00

System 3 (hitting 77+%, Roll at $10910)
Norway 1: Sandefjord to win - $84.91 @ $1.70
Norway 1: Bryne to win - $60.36 @ $1.55

Good luck to all. The Stabaek pick has very little value in it (about a 1-2% overlay) which is why it is such a small bet for such a large favourite.

Good luck to all.
Oz

Old Post 07-02-05 01:02 AM
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AussieRules


Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 396

Mistake

System 3 should have read:

System 3 (hitting 77+%, Roll at $10910)
Norway 1: Sandefjord to win - $849.10 @ $1.70
Norway 1: Bryne to win - $603.60 @ $1.55


As an aside these are all 3rd of July games.

Oz

Old Post 07-02-05 04:18 AM
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AussieRules


Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 396

Results

System 1 - (roll now at $12785)
Stabaek $130 @ $1.19 - winner

System 2 - (roll now at $10771)
San Jose $319.7 @ $5.00 - lost

System 3 - (Roll now at $10901)
Sandefjord to win - $849.10 @ $1.70 - winner
Bryne to win - $603.60 @ $1.55 - lost

A losing weekend (-$300) courtesy of Bryne's downfall. But this will happen. Still up a total of $4450 since June 1.

Oz

Old Post 07-03-05 08:52 PM
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megabump


Registered: Jun 2005
Posts: 491

6-1 favorites winning in the last 10 minutes is bad for my health =)

2-2 isn't the end of the world, we'll get em next round.

gl
mb

Old Post 07-03-05 09:49 PM
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