The Cleveland Guardians are on the road facing the New York Yankees in a critical Game 2 in the American League Championship Series on Tuesday. Both teams aces will start.

Tanner Bibee gets the start for the Guardians. During the regular season, Bibee had a 3.47 ERA with 9.7 strikeouts to 2.3 walks per nine innings. He was far better in his road appearances, with that ERA going up to 4.15 at home compared to posting a 2.76 ERA on the road.

The Guardians support him with a bullpen whose 2.57 ERA during the regular season was by far the best in baseball. No other team posted better than a 3.11 bullpen ERA, though the Yankees bullpen comes in having performed their best down the stretch.

In 15 2/3 innings of work in the previous series, the Yankees bullpen did not allow a single run. Since September 1, between the regular season and postseason, the team had a 3.15 bullpen ERA entering this series.

Gerrit Cole gets the start in Game 2 for the New York Yankees. He has a 3.36 ERA this season between the regular season and postseason, but he has been at his best recently with three earned runs or fewer allowed in 11 of his past 12 starts with a 2.38 ERA and 0.4 home runs per nine innings allowed in this stretch.

The Guardians have had difficulties scoring on the road all season, ranking 23rd with 4.1 runs per game on the road this season.

While the New York Yankees led the American League in scoring with nearly five runs per game, they notched just under 4.8 runs per game at home compared to 5.2 runs per game on the road.

With the temperatures cooling down in New York, it becomes just a bit harder to hit it out of Yankee Stadium. With this pitching matchup, Game 2 sets up for a low-scoring game.

Odds to win Yankees-Guardians series at BetMGM

Game 1
▪️ Yankees -200
▪️ Guardians +165

Game 2 (NYY up 1-0)
▪️ Yankees -375
▪️ Guardians +300

60% of bets are on Guardians to win series.

89% of money is on Yankees

Yankees-Guardians Game 2 betting at BetMGM

Yankees open -165, now -175
▪️ 53% of bets, 65% of money on Yankees

Total open 7, no movement
▪️ 63% of bets, 65% of money on Over

Guardians open +1.5 (-160), now +1.5 (-155)
▪️ 14% of bets, 17% of money on Guardians

Trend: Gerrit Cole is 32-6 (+16.40 units) vs. AL Central teams in the last six seasons
System Match (PLAY): NY YANKEES (-175 vs. CLE)

All but two of the 14 LCS Game 2 favorites of -150 or more have won their games since 2000 (+8.80 units, ROI: 62.9%).
System Match (PLAY): NY YANKEES (-175 vs. CLE)

Trend: LA Dodgers have a 5-12 record as a ROAD UNDERDOG this season
System Match (FADE): LA DODGERS (-108 at NYM)

Home field has proven somewhat advantageous in series that are even, as hosts in this situation have gone 79-74 on run lines (+17.59 units, ROI: 11.5%) since 2015.
System Match (PLAY): NY METS (+1.5 vs. LAD)