The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping |
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msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535
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NHL Scheduling Scenarios
In most daily sports, a team’s schedule and rest play an important role in how well they play from day to day. Naturally, the level of fatigue a team faces can have a huge impact on the effort level it brings to the field, court, or, for the purposes of this article, the ice. I have tracked these scheduling scenarios and compared the situations of two teams in any given hockey game, which is a key part of my handicapping routine. It proved to be a very fruitful exercise over the last two seasons, as you’ll see below as I unveil six different NHL Scheduling Scenarios that produced definitive results. I believe they all have a foundation to them as well, which I explain. As an added bonus, I will also reveal upcoming matchups in which these scenarios will be in play in the near future for you to take advantage on a chart at the end of this article.
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10-07-24 11:12 PM |
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msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535
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For the second straight season in 2023-24, simply playing the NHL team coming in more rested on a single game-to-game basis in any given contest where the scenarios were unequal was advantageous. The results in the 2023-24 season were somewhat dramatic, with the more rested team posting a record of 347-277 for +13.96 units of profit (ROI 2.2%), and the less rested team going 277-347 for -66.83 units of loss (ROI -10.7%). This is regardless of home/road scenario.
Sometimes, the best way to win, or at least maintain, in sports betting is to stick with the basics. Every NHL team has professional players, and while there are obvious talent differences throughout the ranks, collectively, when assembled on teams, they are not all that separated. They all suffer from the same scheduling scenarios where long road trips are tough, too many games in too few days cause fatigue, etc. This particular system that thrived in the 2023-24 season could easily be the starting point for any bettor looking to succeed with the grind of daily NHL betting. Taking the more rested team in an uneven game-to-game schedule scenario gave bettors a 12.9% ROI edge.
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10-07-24 11:14 PM |
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