St Louis (53-48) @ Pittsburgh (51-50)
Liberatore is 1-1, 5.03 in five starts.
His last start was June 26th.
St Louis is 2-3 in his starts.
under 3-2
allowed run in first inning: 1-5
record in first 5 innings: 1-2-2
He is 1-1, 4.76 in three starts vs Pittsburgh
Cardinals are 11-7 in their last 18 games.
Theyre 27-26 on road.
under 4-1 last five games
scored run in first inning: 21-101
record in first 5 innings: 38-46-17
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-4
Perez is 0-2, 8.24 in his last four starts.
Pittsburgh is 3-10 in his last 13 starts.
under 5-1 last six
allowed run in first inning: 4-15
record in first 5 innings: 4-7-4
He is 1-0, 2.36 in four starts vs St Louis.
Pirates are 9-3 in their last 12 games.
Theyre 25-26 at home.
under 7-2 last nine games
scored run in first inning: 19-101
record in first 5 innings: 42-39-20
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-2-0.2
San Diego (53-50) @ Washington (47-54)
Waldron is 0-3, 4.63 in his last four starts.
San Diego is 3-6 in his last nine starts.
under 14-5-1
allowed run in first inning: 8-20
record in first 5 innings: 5-12-3
He is 0-1, 3.38 in two starts vs Washington.
Padres won their last three games.
Theyre 27-22 on road.
under 6-1 last seven games
scored run in first inning: 29-103
record in first 5 innings: 43-45-15
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-3
Parker is 0-2, 6.75 in his last four starts.
Washington is 4-3 in his home starts.
under 3-1 last four home starts
allowed run in first inning: 5-17
record in first 5 innings: 6-9-2
He hasnt pitched against San Diego
Nationals are 5-2 in their last seven games.
Theyre 23-25 at home.
over 8-6 last 14 games
scored run in first inning: 16-101
record in first 5 innings: 41-51-9
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-4
Cincinnati (48-53) @ Atlanta (54-45)
Montas is 1-3, 5.96 in his last four starts.
Cincinnati is 3-13 in his last 16 starts.
over 3-0 last three
allowed run in first inning: 4-18
record in first 5 innings: 5-12-1
He hasnt pitched against Atlanta
bullpen game
Reds lost four of their last five games.
Theyre 23-25 on road.
over 7-3 last ten games
scored run in first inning: 27-101
record in first 5 innings: 45-43-13
bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.1-2-x
Sale is 5-1, 2.04 in his last six starts.
Atlanta is 13-5 in his starts.
under 13-4
allowed run in first inning: 8-18
record in first 5 innings: 15-3
He gave up a run in 3.2 IP, in his one start vs Cincinnati
Winans gave up 7 runs in 5 IP in his one 24 start, April 11.
Atlanta is 0-1 in his starts.
over 1-0
allowed run in first inning: 1-1
record in first 5 innings: 0-1
He hasnt pitched against Cincinnati.
Braves are 3-6 in their last nine games.
Theyre 30-20 at home.
under 19-6 last 25 games
scored run in first inning: 27-99
record in first 5 innings: 46-39-14
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-x
Milwaukee (58-43) @ Cubs (49-54)
Milwaukee hasnt named a starter.
Brewers won four of last five games.
Theyre 29-26 on road.
over 7-4 last 11 games
scored run in first inning: 26-100
record in first 5 innings: 48-40-13
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-2.2-4
Steele is 2-1, 2.61 in his last three starts.
Chicago is 4-2 in his last six starts.
under 6-2 last eight starts
allowed run in first inning: 1-15
record in first 5 innings: 4-5-6
He is 2-2, 2.21 in 13 starts vs Milwaukee.
Cubs are 10-6 in their last 16 games.
Theyre 27-24 at home.
under 8-0 last eight home games
scored run in first inning: 21-103
record in first 5 innings: 40-46-17
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5.2-1.2
San Francisco (48-54) @ Los Angeles (61-41)
Robbie Ray is making his 2024 debut.
He started one game for Seattle LY, then got hurt.
In his career, he is 74-71, 3.96 in 222 starts.
He is 8-6, 3.39 in 21 starts against the Dodgers
San Francisco is 4-9 in its last 13 games.
Giants are 20-32 on road.
under 7-0 last seven games
scored run in first inning: 22-102
record in first 5 innings: 39-47-16
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-4.1
Glasnow is 2-0, 4.70 in his last four starts.
Dodgers are 12-6 in his starts.
over 4-1 last five
allowed run in first inning: 3-18
record in first 5 innings: 7-9-2
He is 3-0, 3.52 in four starts against the Giants
Dodgers won their last five games.
Dodgers are 33-21 at home.
over 8-4 last 12 home games.
scored run in first inning: 36-102
record in first 5 innings: 50-41-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.2-4
Tampa Bay (51-50) @ Toronto (45-55)
Eflin is 2-3, 5.10 in his last five starts.
Rays are 8-3 in his last 11 starts.
under 4-1 last five
allowed run in first inning: 4-18
record in first 5 innings: 8-8-2
He is 2-3, 6.35 in six starts vs Toronto.
Tampa Bay is 7-4 in its last 11 games.
Rays are 24-23 on road.
over 4-1 last five games.
scored run in first inning: 26-101
record in first 5 innings: 37-49-15
bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-2.1-9
Rodriguez is 1-1, 1.62 in his last three starts.
Toronto is 4-4 in his starts.
under 5-3
allowed run in first inning: 2-8
record in first 5 innings: 4-4
He hasnt pitched against Tampa Bay.
Toronto split its last 12 games.
Blue Jays are 22-27 at home.
over 20-5 last 25 games
scored run in first inning: 21-100
record in first 5 innings: 41-46-13
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-x-4.1
Detroit (50-52) @ Cleveland (60-39)
Flaherty is 6-1, 2.08 in his last seven starts.
Detroit is 7-3 in his road starts.
over 6-4 last 10
allowed run in first inning: 4-17
record in first 5 innings: 9-5-3
He is 1-2, 2.89 in five starts vs Cleveland.
Detroit is 11-4 in its last 15 games.
Tigers are 26-28 on road.
over 11-2 last 13 road games
scored run in first inning: 31-102
record in first 5 innings: 42-43-17
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-2-8
Bibee is 2-2, 3.86 in his last four starts.
Cleveland is 15-5 in his starts.
under 10-5 last 15
allowed run in first inning: 6-20
record in first 5 innings: 12-5-3
He is 0-3, 6.86 in four starts vs Detroit.
Cleveland lost eight of last 12 games.
Guardians are 11-5 in last 16 home games.
under 6-2 last eight games
scored run in first inning: 26-100
record in first 5 innings: 47-40-13
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3.2-4.2
White Sox (27-76) @ Texas (49-52)
Flexen is 0-3, 6.67 in his last five starts.
Chicago lost his last 13 starts.
under 5-2 last seven
allowed run in first inning: 6-21
record in first 5 innings: 6-10-5
He is 6-0, 3.14 in seven starts vs Texas
White Sox are 1-12 in last 13 games.
Chicago is 10-42 on road.
under 11-3 last 14 games
scored run in first inning: 20-103
record in first 5 innings: 42-47-14
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-4
Eovaldi is 2-1, 3.12 in his last four starts.
Texas is 8-4 in his last 12 starts.
over 6-2 last eight starts
allowed run in first inning: 5-17
record in first 5 innings: 5-6-6
He is 2-2, 5.67 in five starts vs Chicago.
Rangers are 10-4 in last 14 games.
Theyre 27-23 at home.
under 10-5 last 15 home games
scored run in first inning: 33-101
record in first 5 innings: 43-41-17
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5-1.1
LA Angels (44-57) @ Seattle (54-49)
Canning is 0-2, 8.50 in his last four starts.
Angels are 3-6 in his last nine starts.
under 7-3 last ten
allowed run in first inning: 11-20
record in first 5 innings: 7-12-1
He is 2-2, 2.97 in six starts vs Seattle
Angels are 7-3 in last ten games.
Theyre 22-28 on road.
under 7-3 last ten road games
scored run in first inning: 22-101
record in first 5 innings: 33-58-10
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-3.1-1.1
Castillo is 2-1, 1.83 in his last three starts.
Seattle is 6-2 in his last eight home starts.
over 4-2 last six starts
allowed run in first inning: 7-21
record in first 5 innings: 8-12-1
He is 2-0, 0.00 in two starts (13 IP) vs Anaheim TY.
Seattle lost seven of last eight games.
Mariners are 31-22 at home.
under 6-1 last seven games
scored run in first inning: 27-103
record in first 5 innings: 44-43-16
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2-2.1
Houston (51-50) @ Oakland (41-62)
Brown is 3-1, 3.38 in his last four starts.
Houston is 7-1 in his last eight starts.
under 9-2 last 11 starts
allowed run in first inning: 6-19
record in first 5 innings: 11-7-1
He is 2-0, 1.88 in four starts vs Oakland.
Houston lost its last three games.
Astros are 24-28 on road.
under 5-2 last seven games
scored run in first inning: 32-101
record in first 5 innings: 47-42-12
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-2-4
Sears is 3-0, 2.20 in his last three starts.
Oakland won his four starts.
under 7-3 last ten starts
allowed run in first inning: 6-20
record in first 5 innings: 9-10-1
He is 1-0, 1.64 in two starts vs Houston TY.
As are 11-6 in last 17 games.
Oakland is 11-6 in last 17 home games.
over 6-1 last seven games
scored run in first inning: 21-103
record in first 5 innings: 38-60-5
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2.1-4
NY Mets (52-48) @ Bronx (60-43)
Manaea is 1-1, 3.60 in his last four starts.
Mets are 11-5 in his last 16 starts.
under 5-3 last eight
allowed run in first inning: 2-19
record in first 5 innings: 9-6-4
He is 2-3, 3.89 in seven starts vs New York.
New York is 10-4 in its last 14 games.
Mets are 26-22 on road.
under 3-1 last four games
scored run in first inning: 25-100
record in first 5 innings: 43-40-17
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-4
Cole is 3-0, 2.95 in his last four starts.
New York is 4-2 in his starts.
over 4-2
allowed run in first inning: 2-6
record in first 5 innings: 4-2
He is 2-3, 6.64 in eight starts vs New York
New York is 10-21 in its last 31 games.
Theyre 27-22 at home.
over 19-9 last 28 games
scored run in first inning: 33-103
record in first 5 innings: 53-37-13
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-2-4
Baltimore won three of its last five games.
Orioles are 30-18 on road.
over 4-1 last five games
scored run in first inning: 23-100
record in first 5 innings: 53-36-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-x-6
Cabrera is 0-2, 9.88 in his last four starts.
Marlins are 4-4 in his starts.
over 7-1
allowed run in first inning: 1-8
record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1
He hasnt pitched against Baltimore
Marlins are 6-12 in their last 18 games.
Miami is 21-33 at home.
over 12-6 last 18 games.
scored run in first inning: 22-101
record in first 5 innings: 31-60-10
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-4-4.1
Philadelphia (64-37) @ Minnesota (55-45)
Nola is 2-0, 4.24 in his last three starts.
Phillies are 15-5 in his starts.
over 5-0 last five road starts
allowed run in first inning: 4-20
record in first 5 innings: 14-3-2
He gave up 8 runs in 3 IP, in his one start vs Minnesota.
Phillies are 3-5 in their last eight games.
Theyre 27-21 on road.
under 5-2 last seven road games
scored run in first inning: 38-101
record in first 5 innings: 62-30-9
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.2-2
bullpen game
Twins are 2-5 in their last seven games.
Twins are 28-21 at home.
over 9-2 last eleven home games.
scored run in first inning: 26-100
record in first 5 innings: 43-45-12
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-3
Arizona (52-50) @ Kansas City (55-46)
Nelson is 2-0, 2.33 in his last three starts.
Arizona is 5-1 in his last six starts.
over 3-1 last four
allowed run in first inning: 1-16
record in first 5 innings: 7-7-2
He gave up 4 runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs Kansas City.
Arizona is 11-6 in its last 17 games.
Diamondbacks are 26-26 on road.
over 12-6 last 18 games
scored run in first inning: 32-102
record in first 5 innings: 47-37-18
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-5-4
Wacha is 3-0, 2.50 in his last three starts.
Kansas City is 7-3 in his last ten starts.
under 4-1 last five starts
allowed run in first inning: 3-17
record in first 5 innings: 6-7-4
He is 2-1, 4.58 in eight starts vs Arizona
Royals won eight of last 11 games.
Royals are 35-19 at home.
under 12-4 last 16 home games
scored run in first inning: 28-102
record in first 5 innings: 47-40-15
bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-4
Boston (54-45) @ Colorado (37-65)
Pivetta is 0-2, 3.47 in his last four starts.
Boston is 8-7 in his starts.
under 10-5
allowed run in first inning: 4-15
record in first 5 innings: 8-6-1
He is 0-4, 13.85 in 4 games (3 starts) vs Colorado.
Red Sox lost four of last five games.
Theyre 30-21 on road.
under 8-4 last 12 games
scored run in first inning: 31-100
record in first 5 innings: 53-36-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5.1-2
Quantrill is 0-3, 6.37 in his last six starts.
Colorado is 6-2 in his home starts.
over 5-2 last seven
allowed run in first inning: 2-20
record in first 5 innings: 8-8-4
He is 0-1, 5.01 in four starts vs Boston.
Rockies won four of last six games.
Theyre 23-29 at home.
under 9-2 last eleven home games
scored run in first inning: 27-102
record in first 5 innings: 39-50-13
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-6.1-6.2
Umpires
SD-Wsh- Under is 13-8 in Wolcott games.
StL-Pitt- Home team is 10-7 in Porter games.
Cin-Atl- Over is 11-6 in Hudson games..
Under is 14-6 in Wendelstedt games.
Mil-Chi- Under is 14-6 in Additon games.
SF-LA- Road underdogs are 7-8 in Carlson games
TB-Tor- Under is 12-6 in Libka games
Det-Clev- Home favorites are 8-2 in Cuzzi games.
Chi-Tex- Over is 12-8 in Hamari games.
LAA-Sea- Home favorites are 10-3 in Diaz games.
Hst-As- Favorites are 14-6 in Iassogna games.
NY-NYY- Over is 16-3 in Fletcher games
Balt-Mia- Under is 11-7 in Ortiz games
Phil-Minn- Under is 10-8 in Lentz games.
Az-KC- Home favorites are 6-3 in ONora games.
Bos-Colo- Under is 11-7 in Rehak games.
Trend: Zach Eflin is 17-4 (+12.23 units) in the last five seasons as a road pick em/short favorite between -110 to -140 line range
System Match: PLAY TAMPA BAY (-115 at TOR)
Losing Streak Betting System #2:
Teams on losing streaks of seven games or more and winning fewer than 43% of their games on the season are on a 50-106 skid (-31.59 units, ROI: -20.3%).
System Matches: FADE CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+210 at TEX)
(901) CINCINNATI (48-53) at (902) ATLANTA (54-45) (DH Game #2)
Trend: ATL more Under at home (16-32 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 7.5)
(909) SAN FRANCISCO (48-54) at (910) LOS ANGELES-NL (61-41)
Trend: SF worse on the road (20-31, -11.29 units)
System Match: FADE SAN FRANCISCO (+154 at LAD)
(913) LOS ANGELES-AL (44-57) at (914) SEATTLE (53-50)
Trend: SEA trending Under at home (16-34 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 7.5)
(915) DETROIT (50-52) at (916) CLEVELAND (60-40)
Trend: CLE good at home (32-14, +10.86 units)
System Match: PLAY CLEVELAND (-148 vs DET)
(919) CHICAGO-AL (27-76) at (920) TEXAS (49-52)
Trend: CWS awful on the road (10-42, -26.85 units)
System Match: FADE CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+210 at TEX)
(921) PHILADELPHIA (64-37) at (922) MINNESOTA (55-45)
Trend: MIN better during the day (29-18, +6.10 units)
System Match: PLAY MINNESOTA (+114 vs PHI)
(917) TAMPA BAY (51-50) at (918) TORONTO (45-55)
Trend: Zach Eflin is 17-4 (+12.23 units) in the last five seasons as a road pick em/short favorite between -110 to -140 line range
System Match: PLAY TAMPA BAY (-115 at TOR)
Trend: Zach Eflin is 14-6 (+6.25 units) vs. AL East opponents since 2020
System Match: PLAY TAMPA BAY (-115 at TOR)
(919) CHICAGO-AL (27-76) at (920) TEXAS (49-52)
Trend: Nathan Eovaldi is 15-4 (+7.80 units) at home vs. teams with a < 48% win percentage in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY TEXAS (-258 vs. CWS)
(921) PHILADELPHIA (64-37) at (922) MINNESOTA (55-45)
Trend: PHI is 7-1 (+4.55 units) vs. AL Central teams with starter Aaron Nola in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY PHILADELPHIA (-135 at MIN)
(923) BOSTON (54-46) at (924) COLORADO (37-65)
Trend: Cal Quantrill is profitable in the +135 to +145 line range (9-5 record, +7.55 units) in the last four seasons
System Match: CONSIDER PLAYING COLORADO (+136 vs. BOS)
(925) BALTIMORE (60-40) at (926) MIAMI (36-65)
Trend: MIA is 9-5 (+5.40 units) as shorter underdog -105 to +135 with starter Edward Cabrera in the last three seasons
System Match: PLAY MIAMI (+110 vs. BAL)
Trend: MIA is 2-7 (-4.60 units) against teams with a >57% win pct with starter Edward Cabrera in the last three seasons
System Match: FADE MIAMI (+110 vs. BAL)