Cubs (46-49) @ St Louis (48-45)
Wesneski is 1-2, 3.66 in six starts.
Chicago is 1-5 in his starts.
under 4-2
allowed run in first inning: 2-6
record in first 5 innings: 1-4-1
He is 0-1, 4.91 in three games (1 start) vs St Louis.
Assad is 0-2, 5.49 in his last four starts.
His last start was June 23.
Chicago is 9-7 in his starts.
under 10-4 last 14
allowed run in first inning: 3-16
record in first 5 innings: 7-7-2
He is 0-2, 2.95 in 7 games (2 starts) vs St Louis.
Cubs are 7-1 in their last eight games.
Theyre 21-28 on road.
under 6-1 last seven games
scored run in first inning: 20-95
record in first 5 innings: 37-42-16
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-2
Lynn gave up 11 runs in 2.2 IP in his last start.
He is 2-0, 0.71 in his last two home starts.
St Louis is 5-2 in his last seven starts.
under 6-3 last nine
allowed run in first inning: 36-18
record in first 5 innings: 5-10-3
He is 6-8, 5.43 in 23 starts vs Chicago.
Gibson is 3-1, 4.71 in his last four starts.
St Louis is 3-5 in his home starts.
over 8-2 last ten
allowed run in first inning: 5-17
record in first 5 innings: 7-8-2
He is 1-4, 4.94 in five starts vs Chicago.
Cardinals lost their last three games.
Theyre 24-21 at home.
over 9-5 last 14 games
scored run in first inning: 17-93
record in first 5 innings: 34-44-15
bullpen IP last 3 days: 8.1-x-2
Colorado (33-62) @ NY Mets (48-45)
Feltner is 0-3, 5.16 in his last five starts.
Colorado is 5-14 in his starts.
under 4-1 last five
allowed run in first inning: 8-19
record in first 5 innings: 8-9-2
He is 0-1, 7.88 in two starts vs New York.
Rockies lost five of last six games.
Theyre 13-35 on road.
over 4-0 last four games
scored run in first inning: 25-95
record in first 5 innings: 38-46-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-5
Scott is 0-0, 4.03 in his last four starts.
Mets are 1-6 in his starts.
over 4-1 last five
allowed run in first inning: 1-7
record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
He hasnt pitched against Colorado.
New York is 6-1 in its last seven games.
Mets are 25-25 at home.
under 4-3 last seven games
scored run in first inning: 25-93
record in first 5 innings: 40-38-15
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3-2
Miami (32-62) @ Cincinnati (46-49)
Cabrera is 0-2, 10.29 in his last four starts.
Marlins are 3-3 in his starts.
over 5-1
allowed run in first inning: 1-6
record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
This is his first start against the Reds
Marlins are 3-10 in their last 13 games.
Miami is 14-31 on road.
over 8-3 last eleven games.
scored run in first inning: 22-94
record in first 5 innings: 27-57-10
bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-1.1-2.1
Abbott is 4-0, 2.30 in his last four starts.
Reds are 5-3 in his home starts.
under 14-4
allowed run in first inning: 7-18
record in first 5 innings: 10-6-2
He hasnt pitched against Miami.
Reds are 4-1 in their last five games.
Theyre 24-27 at home.
over 4-1 last five games
scored run in first inning: 25-95
record in first 5 innings: 42-41-12
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-2
Washington (43-52) @ Milwaukee (54-41)
Parker is 0-2, 4.88 in his last four starts.
Washington is 8-8 in his starts
over 5-4 road starts
allowed run in first inning: 4-16
record in first 5 innings: 6-8-2
He hasnt pitched against Milwaukee
Nationals are 8-16 in their last 24 games.
Theyre 23-28 on road.
under 4-1 last five games
scored run in first inning: 15-95
record in first 5 innings: 40-47-8
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.2-4.1
Keuchel is 0-0, 4.61 in three starts.
Milwaukee is 3-0 in his starts
over 2-1
allowed run in first inning: 0-3
record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
He is 1-3, 4.19 in six starts vs Washington.
Brewers lost six of last eight games.
Theyre 28-16 at home.
under 6-4 last 10 games
scored run in first inning: 24-95
record in first 5 innings: 45-38-12
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.2-4
Atlanta (52-41) @ San Diego (49-48)
Lopez is 5-0, 1.64 in his last seven starts.
Braves are 11-5 in his starts.
under 12-4
allowed run in first inning: 0-16
record in first 5 innings: 10-2-4
He is 0-0, 2.45 in 2 games (1 start) vs San Diego.
Braves won five of last seven games.
Theyre 7-11 in last 18 road games.
under 18-6 last 24 games
scored run in first inning: 26-93
record in first 5 innings: 45-35-13
bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.2-2-2
Cease is 1-3, 6.92 in his last five starts.
Padres are 4-5 in his home starts.
over 4-1 last five starts
allowed run in first inning: 9-19
record in first 5 innings: 7-9-3
He is 1-0, 6.00 in two starts vs Atlanta.
Padres lost their last five games.
Theyre 25-27 at home.
over 14-5 last 19 games
scored run in first inning: 28-97
record in first 5 innings: 39-43-15
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-2
Los Angeles (56-39) @ Detroit (45-50)
Wrobleski gave up 4 runs in 5 iP in his first MLB start.
Dodgers are 0-1 in his starts.
over 1-0
allowed run in first inning: 0-1
record in first 5 innings: 0-1
He hasnt pitched against Detroit
Dodgers are 5-8 in their last 13 games.
Dodgers are 28-20 on road.
over 9-4 last 13 games.
scored run in first inning: 33-95
record in first 5 innings: 46-39-10
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3.2-5.1
Montero is 1-0, 1.42 in two starts.
Detroit is 2-0 in his starts.
under 1-1
allowed run in first inning: 0-2
record in first 5 innings: 11-0-1
He hasnt pitched against the Dodgers.
Detroit won six of last eight games.
Tigers are 22-24 at home.
over 9-4 last 13 games
scored run in first inning: 30-95
record in first 5 innings: 39-40-16
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3
Oakland (36-58) @ Philadelphia (61-33)
Spence is 1-2, 5.56 in his last four starts.
Oakland is 2-8 in his starts.
over 5-1 last six
allowed run in first inning: 3-10
record in first 5 innings: 2-7-1
He hasnt pitched against Philly.
As are 6-4 in last ten games.
Oakland is 4-18 in last 22 road games.
under 7-3 last ten road games
scored run in first inning: 19-95
record in first 5 innings: 32-58-5
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-6
bullpen game
Phillies are 7-4 in their last 11 games.
Theyre 36-15 at home.
under 5-1 last six games
scored run in first inning: 35-94
record in first 5 innings: 59-28-7
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3
Pittsburgh (46-48) @ White Sox (27-69)
Ortiz is 1-0, 0.75 in two starts.
Pittsburgh is 1-1 in his starts
under 2-0
allowed run in first inning: 0-2
record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
He hasnt pitched against Chicago
Pirates are 20-18 in their last 38 games.
Theyre 23-24 on road.
over 3-1 last four games
scored run in first inning: 17-94
record in first 5 innings: 40-36-18
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2-4
Flexen is 0-2, 6.33 in his last five starts.
Chicago lost his last 11 starts
over 10-5 last 15
allowed run in first inning: 4-17
record in first 5 innings: 6-8-3
This is his first start vs Pittsburgh.
White Sox lost five of last six games.
Chicago is 17-32 at home
under 5-2 last seven games
scored run in first inning: 18-96
record in first 5 innings: 42-42-12
bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-x-7
Toronto (43-51) @ Arizona (48-47)
Berrios is 2-0, 5.50 in his last three starts.
Toronto is 8-3 in his last 11 starts.
over 5-0 last five
allowed run in first inning: 4-19
record in first 5 innings: 7-10-2
He is 1-0, 0.73 in two starts vs Arizona.
Toronto is 10-17 in its last 27 games.
Blue Jays are 22-27 on road.
over 18-6 last 24 games
scored run in first inning: 20-94
record in first 5 innings: 41-42-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-4
Diaz allowed a run in 6 IP in his first MLB start.
Arizona is 0-1 in his starts.
under 1-0
allowed run in first inning: 1-1
record in first 5 innings: 0-1
He hasnt pitched against Toronto.
Arizona is 9-4 in its last 13 games.
Diamondbacks are 25-23 at home.
over 13-4 last 17 games
scored run in first inning: 30-95
record in first 5 innings: 43-36-16
bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-2
Minnesota (53-41) @ San Francisco (46-49)
Woods-Richardson is 1-0, 3.91 in his last four starts.
Minnesota is 7-2 in his last nine starts
over 4-1 last five starts
allowed run in first inning: 1-15
record in first 5 innings: 7-4-4
He hasnt pitched against San Francisco
Twins are 18-9 in their last 27 games.
Twins are 26-23 on road.
over 20-8 last 28 games.
scored run in first inning: 26-94
record in first 5 innings: 41-42-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-x-1.1
Birdsong is 1-0, 4.40 in three starts.
San Francisco is 2-1 in his starts.
under 2-1
allowed run in first inning: 0-3
record in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
He hasnt pitched against Minnesota.
San Francisco is 10-6 in its last 16 games.
Giants are 27-21 at home.
over 11-4 last 15 home games
scored run in first inning: 21-95
record in first 5 innings: 36-45-14
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.2-3.2
Cleveland (57-36) @ Tampa Bay (47-47)
Williams is 0-1, 4.82 in two starts.
Cleveland is 0-2 in his starts.
under 1-1
allowed run in first inning: 1-2
record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
He gave up a run in 5 IP, in his one start vs Tampa Bay.
Cleveland lost four of last five games.
Guardians are 2-8 in last ten road games.
over 10-4 last 14 games
scored run in first inning: 26-93
record in first 5 innings: 45-36-12
bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-5-3
Littell is 1-1, 5.21 in his last four starts.
Rays are 4-5 in his home starts.
over 5-1 last six
allowed run in first inning: 7-18
record in first 5 innings: 6-7-5
He is 3-0, 2.20 in nine games (1 start) vs Cleveland.
Tampa Bay is 3-1 in its last four games.
Rays are 26-26 at home.
over 3-2 last five games.
scored run in first inning: 25-94
record in first 5 innings: 33-47-14
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4.2-2
Bronx (57-39) @ Baltimore (57-37)
Gil is 0-4, 9.37 in his last four starts.
New York is 5-3 in his road starts.
over 3-1 last four
allowed run in first inning: 3-18
record in first 5 innings: 12-4-2
He is 2-1, 4.61 in three starts vs Baltimore.
New York is 8-19 in its last 27 games.
Theyre 32-20 on road.
over 17-7 last 24 games
scored run in first inning: 32-96
record in first 5 innings: 50-34-12
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-3.2-3
Rodriguez is 3-0, 2.33 in his last three starts.
Orioles are 12-4 in his starts.
over 6-3 last nine
allowed run in first inning: 6-16
record in first 5 innings: 10-4-2
He is 1-0, 0.00 in two starts (12 IP) vs New York.
Baltimore is 1-5 in its last six games.
Orioles scored one run in last 29 innings.
Orioles are 29-21 at home.
under 3-0 last three games
scored run in first inning: 21-94
record in first 5 innings: 50-33-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-3.2
Kansas City (52-43) @ Boston (51-42)
Lugo is 1-1, 1.85 in his last four starts.
Royals are 8-2 in his road starts.
under 12-4 last 16
allowed run in first inning: 2-19
record in first 5 innings: 13-4-2
This is his first start vs Boston.
Royals won their last four games.
Royals are 5-7 in last 12 road games.
over 3-1 last four games
scored run in first inning: 24-95
record in first 5 innings: 44-37-14
bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-x-2
Crawford is 2-0, 0.69 in his last two starts.
Red Sox are 6-12 in his starts.
under 10-5 last 15
allowed run in first inning: 5-18
record in first 5 innings: 6-7-5
He is 0-2, 8.64 in two starts against the Royals
Red Sox won eight of last 11 games.
Theyre 22-25 at home.
over 10-6 last 16 games
scored run in first inning: 28-93
record in first 5 innings: 48-35-10
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-3
Texas (44-50) @ Houston (50-44)
Eovaldi is 3-0, 3.00 in his last four starts.
Texas is 7-3 in his last 10 starts.
over 5-1 last six
allowed run in first inning: 3-15
record in first 5 innings: 6-4-5
He is 3-5, 4.73 in 11 starts vs Houston
Rangers are 5-2 in last seven games.
Theyre 20-29 on road.
over 9-3 last 12 road games
scored run in first inning: 30-94
record in first 5 innings: 40-39-15
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-3
Arrighetti is 1-1, 5.06 in his last three starts.
Houston is 5-2 in his home starts.
under 3-1 last four starts
allowed run in first inning: 7-16
record in first 5 innings: 4-10-2
This is first start vs Texas.
Houston won 17 of last 21 games.
Astros are 28-19 at home.
over 10-4 last 14 games
scored run in first inning: 31-94
record in first 5 innings: 45-38-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5-3
Seattle (52-44) @ LA Angels (39-55)
Kirby is 2-1, 2.35 in his last six starts.
Seattle is 6-2 in his last eight starts
under 6-3 last nine
allowed run in first inning: 3-19
record in first 5 innings: 8-7-4
He is 3-3, 3.34 in six starts vs Anaheim.
Seattle is 5-3 in its last eight games.
Mariners are 22-26 on road.
over 6-2 last eight games
scored run in first inning: 25-96
record in first 5 innings: 42-39-15
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-6
Soriano is 0-2, 7.00 in two starts since his IL stint.
Angels are 5-9 in his starts
under 3-2 home starts
allowed run in first inning: 4-14
record in first 5 innings: 5-8-1
He is 0-0, 4.15 in six games (1 start) vs Seattle
Angels lost nine of last 12 games.
Theyre 20-29 at home.
over 5-0 last five games
scored run in first inning: 22-94
record in first 5 innings: 31-54-9
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-6-4
Umpires
Chi-StL- Road teams are 10-5 in Muchlinski games
Under is 4-0 in Arrieta games.
Col-NY- Over is 14-3 in Dreckman games.
Mia-Cin- Over is 10-6 in Thomas games.
Wash-Milw- Under is 12-6 in May games
Az-SD- Over is 9-6 in Cuzzi games.
NYY-Balt- Home favorites are 8-5 in Lentz games.
Clev-TB- Underdogs are 9-10 in Scheurwater games.
KC-Bos- Over is 12-7 in Hamari games.
Tex-Hst- Over is 9-4 in Ceja games.
Sea-LAA- Under is 11-6 in Drake games.
LA-Det- Over is 10-5 in Hudson games.
Pitt-CWS- Home underdogs are 4-2 in Moore games.
As-Phil- Home favorites are 9-4 in Tomlinson games.
Minn-SF- Underdogs are 11-9 in Clemons games.
Tor-Ariz- Under is 13-5 in Additon games.
Trend: Lance Lynn is 18-7 (+9.32 units) within line range of -180 or worse in home day games in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY ST LOUIS GAME 1 (-135 vs CHC)
Trend: MIA awful vs. LH starters (5-27, -22.77 units)
System Match: FADE MIAMI (+130 at CIN)
Hitting a lot of home runs has a carryover effect for home favorites
Home favorites coming off a game in which they hit four or more home runs have proven to be a very good investment for baseball bettors over the last 4+ seasons, going 292-144 (67%) for +40.55 units and an ROI of 9.3%!
System Matches (PLAY): NY METS (-230 vs COL)
Trend: Nathan Eovaldi is 21-5 (+16.08 units) in the last 26 DAY game starts
System Match: PLAY TEXAS (-120 at HOU)
(951) CHICAGO-NL (46-49) at (952) ST LOUIS (48-45) (DH Game #1)
Trend: STL more Under in day games (15-24 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 9)
(981) CHICAGO-NL (46-49) at (982) ST LOUIS (48-45) (DH Game #2)
Trend: CHC bad in divisional play so far (11-19, -9.20 units)
System Match: FADE CHICAGO CUBS (+110 at STL)
(953) MIAMI (32-62) at (954) CINCINNATI (46-49)
Trend: MIA awful vs. LH starters (5-27, -22.77 units)
System Match: FADE MIAMI (+130 at CIN)
(955) COLORADO (33-62) at (956) NEW YORK-NL (48-45)
Trend: COL bad v.s NL East/Central (10-27, -12.19 units)
System Match: FADE COLORADO (+190 at NYM)
(957) WASHINGTON (43-52) at (958) MILWAUKEE (54-41)
Trend: MIL better during the day (26-15, +11.59 units)
System Match: PLAY MILWAUKEE (-135 vs WSH)
(959) ATLANTA (52-41) at (960) SAN DIEGO (49-48)
Trend: ATL trending Under vs. NL West/Central (11-20 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 7.5)
(961) NEW YORK-AL (57-39) at (962) BALTIMORE (57-37)
Trend: NYY solid as road underdog this season (10-4 record)
System Match: PLAY NY YANKEES (+114 at BAL)
(963) CLEVELAND (57-36) at (964) TAMPA BAY (47-47)
Trend: CLE good vs. AL East/West (30-15, +14.67 units)
System Match: PLAY CLEVELAND (-112 at TB)
(969) SEATTLE (52-44) at (970) LOS ANGELES-AL (39-55)
Trend: SEA great start in divisional play (18-6, +9.64 units)
System Match: PLAY SEATTLE (-162 at LAA)
(971) LOS ANGELES-NL (56-39) at (972) DETROIT (45-50)
Trend: LAD slight Under during the day (9-17 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 9)
(973) PITTSBURGH (46-48) at (974) CHICAGO-AL (27-69)
Trend: PIT not as good in interleague play so far (10-16, -8.66 units)
System Match: FADE PITTSBURGH (-155 at CWS)
(975) OAKLAND (36-60) at (976) PHILADELPHIA (61-33)
Trend: OAK not as good on the road (14-35, -9.42 units)
System Match: FADE OAKLAND (+160 at PHI)
(979) TORONTO (43-51) at (980) ARIZONA (48-47)
Trend: TOR bad at night (21-30, -15.14 units)
System Match: FADE TORONTO (+110 at AZ)