Miami (29-52) @ Philadelphia (53-28)
Tyler gave up 2 runs in 4 IP in his first MLB start.
Marlins are 1-0 in his starts.
over 1-0
allowed run in first inning: 0-1
record in first 5 innings: 1-0
He hasnt pitched against the Phillies
Marlins are 6-3 in their last nine games.
Miami is 13-25 on road.
under 14-4 last 18 road games.
scored run in first inning: 18-81
record in first 5 innings: 26-45-10
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-3
Sanchez is 3-0, 2.15 in his last five starts.
Phillies are 7-2 in his last nine starts.
under 5-2 last seven
allowed run in first inning: 4-15
record in first 5 innings: 7-8
He is 0-0, 2.38 in 3 games (1 start) vs Miami.
Phillies are 6-4 in their last ten games.
Theyre 31-13 at home.
under 6-3 last nine games
scored run in first inning: 31-81
record in first 5 innings: 52-22-7
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-6-2.1
Pittsburgh (39-41) @ Atlanta (44-35)
Perez is 0-1, 10.22 in his last three starts.
His last start was May 26.
Pirates are 2-7 in his last nine starts.
over 4-0 last four
allowed run in first inning: 2-11
record in first 5 innings: 4-4-3
He is 0-1, 8.00 in two starts vs Atlanta.
Pirates are 7-5 in their last 12 games.
Theyre 20-21 on road.
Pirates are 6-7 in road series openers.
under 13-5 last 18 games
scored run in first inning: 17-80
record in first 5 innings: 35-32-13
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-x
Morton is 1-2, 5.94 in his last three starts.
Braves are 3-7 in his last 10 starts.
over 4-1 last five
allowed run in first inning: 5-14
record in first 5 innings: 7-5-2
He gave up 4 runs in 6 IP in his one start vs Pittsburgh.
He pitched for the Pirates from 2009-16
Braves lost three of last four games.
Theyre 24-13 at home.
Braves are 9-3 in home series openers.
under 7-3 last ten games
scored run in first inning: 22-79
record in first 5 innings: 39-30-10
bullpen IP last 3 days: x-6-1
Cubs (38-44) @ Milwaukee (48-33)
Taillon is 1-1, 1.42 in his last three starts.
Chicago is 2-6 in his last eight starts.
under 3-0 last three
allowed run in first inning: 3-12
record in first 5 innings: 5-7
He is 4-7, 3.20 in 15 starts vs Milwaukee.
Cubs are 7-13 in their last 20 games.
Theyre 16-26 on road.
Cubs are 2-11 in last 13 series openers.
under 14-5 last 19 games
scored run in first inning: 17-82
record in first 5 innings: 30-37-15
bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-4-4
Rea is 2-0, 4.42 in his last three starts.
Milwaukee is 9-4 in his starts.
over 5-2-1 last eight
allowed run in first inning: 7-13
record in first 5 innings: 6-5-3
He is 0-0, 2.93 in three starts vs Chicago
Brewers won their last four games.
Theyre 12-2 in last 14 home games.
Brewers are 8-4 in home series openers.
over 6-1 last seven games
scored run in first inning: 21-81
record in first 5 innings: 39-33-9
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-6-x
Cincinnati (38-43) @ St Louis (41-39)
Montas is 0-1, 6.39 in his last three starts.
Reds are 2-10 in his last 12 starts.
under 5-0 last five
allowed run in first inning: 4-13
record in first 5 innings: 4-9
He is 0-1, 9.00 in two starts vs St Louis.
Reds lost eight of last 12 games.
Theyre 18-20 on road.
under 14-6 last 20 games
scored run in first inning: 24-81
record in first 5 innings: 33-36-12
bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3.1-4
Pallante is 2-1, 4.50 in his last three starts.
St Louis is 3-2 in his starts.
under 3-2
allowed run in first inning: 1-5
record in first 5 innings: 3-2
He is 4-0, 1.55 in 13 games (3 starts) vs Cincinnati.
Cardinals are 13-8 in their last 21 games.
Theyre 22-17 at home.
over 7-3 last 10 games
scored run in first inning: 17-80
record in first 5 innings: 29-38-13
bullpen IP last 3 days: x-8-4.1
Los Angeles (51-31) @ San Francisco (39-43)
Knack is 1-1, 2.08 in five starts.
Dodgers are 2-3 in his starts.
under 4-1
allowed run in first inning: 1-5
record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
He hasnt pitched against San Francisco.
Dodgers are 13-6 in their last 19 games.
Dodgers are 26-15 on road.
Dodgers are 10-4 in road series openers.
under 5-1 last six games.
scored run in first inning: 29-82
record in first 5 innings: 44-30-8
bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-5-x
Webb is 1-1, 4.26 in his last three starts.
San Francisco is 3-8 in his last eleven starts.
under 5-2 home
allowed run in first inning: 6-17
record in first 5 innings: 7-7-3
He is 4-6, 4.05 in 14 starts vs Los Angeles.
San Francisco is 5-8 in its last 13 games.
Giants are 23-18 at home.
Giants are 8-5 in home series openers.
over 10-4 last 14 games
scored run in first inning: 15-82
record in first 5 innings: 30-41-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.1-4.1-5
Trend: SF is 13-3 (+8.20 units) at home as a favorite vs. divisional opponents with starter Logan Webb in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY SAN FRANCISCO (-118 vs. LAD)
OAKLAND letdown after series vs. LA ANGELS: 9-18 (33.3%) -14.3 units, ROI: -53%
System Matches: FADE OAKLAND (+130 at AZ)
Trend: Favorites are just 19-31 (38%, -24.76 units) in the last 50 games between Toronto and NY Yankees
The ROI on this trend is -49.5%
System Matches: FADE TORONTO (-115 vs NYY)
(901) MIAMI (29-52) at (902) PHILADELPHIA (53-28)
Trend: PHI good at night (35-16, +10.20 units)
System Match: PLAY PHILADELPHIA (-225 vs MIA)
(903) PITTSBURGH (39-41) at (904) ATLANTA (44-35)
Trend: PIT trending Under vs. RH starters (20-31 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8.5)
(905) CHICAGO-NL (38-44) at (906) MILWAUKEE (48-33)
Trend: MIL trending Over vs. RH starters (38-20 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)
(907) CINCINNATI (38-43) at (908) ST LOUIS (41-39)
Trend: STL more Under vs. divisional opponents (6-13 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8.5)
(909) LOS ANGELES-NL (51-31) at (910) SAN FRANCISCO (39-43)
Trend: SF not as good at night (19-27, -12.41 units)
System Match: FADE SAN FRANCISCO (-118 vs LAD)
(911) TEXAS (37-44) at (912) BALTIMORE (51-30)
Trend: BAL slight Over vs. RH starters (29-20 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)
(913) NEW YORK-AL (52-31) at (914) TORONTO (37-43)
Trend: NYY not as good in divisional play (10-13, -6.54 units)
System Match: FADE NY YANKEES (-115 at TOR)
(915) CLEVELAND (51-28) at (916) KANSAS CITY (45-38)
Trend: KC better at home (28-15, +11.93 units)
System Match: PLAY KANSAS CITY (-102 vs CLE)
(917) DETROIT (37-44) at (918) LOS ANGELES-AL (34-46)
Trend: LAA bad vs. AL Central/East (11-25, -11.94 units)
System Match: FADE LA ANGELS (+102 vs DET)
(919) MINNESOTA (45-36) at (920) SEATTLE (46-37)
Trend: SEA better at home (27-12, +10.90 units)
System Match: PLAY SEATTLE (-130 vs MIN)
(921) WASHINGTON (38-42) at (922) TAMPA BAY (40-41)
Trend: TB more Over vs. LH starters (13-6 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 7.5)
(925) HOUSTON (40-40) at (926) NEW YORK-NL (39-39)
Trend: HOU trending Under on the road (11-23 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8)
(927) COLORADO (27-53) at (928) CHICAGO-AL (22-61)
Trend: CWS is 2-0 as a ML favorite this season
System Match: PLAY CHICAGO WHITE SOX (-130 vs. COL)
(905) CHICAGO-NL (38-44) at (906) MILWAUKEE (48-33)
Trend: MIL is 5-6 (-3.42 units) as a favorite of -125 or higher by starter Colin Rea
System Match: FADE MILWAUKEE (-135 vs CHC)
(907) CINCINNATI (38-43) at (908) ST LOUIS (41-39)
Trend: Frankie Montas 0-7 (-8.30 units) vs. NL Central in his career
System Match: FADE CINCINNATI (+110 at STL)
(909) LOS ANGELES-NL (51-31) at (910) SAN FRANCISCO (39-43)
Trend: SF is 13-3 (+8.20 units) at home as a favorite vs. divisional opponents with starter Logan Webb in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY SAN FRANCISCO (-118 vs LAD)
(911) TEXAS (37-44) at (912) BALTIMORE (51-30)
Trend: Max Scherzer is 11-7 (+6.00 units) as an underdog in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY TEXAS (+114 at BAL)
(915) CLEVELAND (51-28) at (916) KANSAS CITY (45-38)
Trend: CLE is 11-4 (+6.28 units) in the last 15 road divisional games with starter Triston McKenzie
System Match: PLAY CLEVELAND (-118 at KC)
(917) DETROIT (37-44) at (918) LOS ANGELES-AL (34-46)
Trend: Kenta Maeda is pretty good 10-2 (+7.30 units) as a short favorite in the -120 to -145 line range since 2020
System Match: PLAY DETROIT (-122 at LAA)
Trend: Kenta Maeda is 13-4 (+9.89 units) in his last 17 night games
System Match: PLAY DETROIT (-122 at LAA)
(921) WASHINGTON (38-42) at (922) TAMPA BAY (40-41)
Trend: TB is 18-6 (+7.21 units) in night games with Zach Eflin in the last two seasons
System Match: PLAY TAMPA BAY (-162 vs WSH)