ML

Ohio State

37-3 SU under Urban Meyer
5-0 SUATS when taking points during his tenure

Oregon

9-0 SUATS win streak entering this contest
12-1 SUATSof late when not favored by 15 or more

UNDER in 8 of 11 games with
head coach Mark Helfrich in which the O/U total was 70 or more points

ML's Pick

Oregon over Ohio State by 6

More Later

GLTA

Ohio State

Ohio State averages 262.2 rushing yards per game, with 36 rushing TDs.

Ohio State allows 142.0 rushing yards per game, with 24 rushing TDs.

Ohio State averages 247.5 passing yards per game, with 41 passing TDs (fourth-most nationally) and 11 interceptions. Oregon allows 265.9 passing yards per game, with 20 passing TDs and 12 interceptions.

Ohio State enjoys an advantage at kicker (slight) and punter (big)

Both have dangerous punt returners



Oregon

Oregon allows 156.1 rushing yards per game, with 17 rushing TDs.

Oregon averages 241.9 rushing yards per game, with 42 rushing TDs.

Oregon averages 311.0 passing yards per game, with 42 passing TDs (third-most nationally) and three interceptions (tied for second-fewest nationally). Ohio State allows 191.6 passing yards per game, with 15 passing TDs and 24 interceptions (fourth-most nationally).



Oregon's run defense is nothing special. The Ducks do flow well to the ball, but they struggled to slow the rushing attacks of Arizona (in the regular season, not in the Pac-12 title game) and UCLA. Ohio State probably feels confident it can run right at the Ducks, then hit some big plays with the read option.

Oregon will be without Devon Allen, the team's second-leading receiver, because of injury. He was hurt on the opening kickoff of the Rose Bowl

Oregon's lone loss this season, Mariota was sacked five times; he was sacked just nine times in the other 13 games. This is the area that looks to be most advantageous for Oregon and the key to the whole game.



X-factor
The skinny: It's a cliché to say turnovers will be big -- but turnovers will be big in this one. Oregon's defense surrenders a lot of yards (421.9 per game, almost 90 more per game than the Buckeyes) but not a lot of points (22.3, basically the same as Ohio State). Turnovers are the reason for that: Oregon is a national-best plus-20 in turnover margin; the Buckeyes are plus-10. As powerful as Oregon's offense is -- and it is going to have success against the Buckeyes -- the Ducks are going to give up a ton of yardage to Ohio State. They need to force turnovers, and Ohio State needs to avoid them because Oregon is lethal in converting turnovers into points. Oregon has enjoyed a giant advantage in points off turnovers this season: The Ducks have scored 154 points after turnovers, their foes just 13. "When turnovers come, they change momentum," , and Oregon is going to need some changes in momentum if it is to beat Ohio State.

http://www.nfl.com/videos/nfl-video...81/RES-Charles-

GLTA

Carrington, The teams 3rd leading receiver, failed his drug test and will miss the BCS National Championship game on Monday against Ohio State as a result.

Allen, the team's 2nd leading receiver, because of injury. He was hurt on the opening kickoff of the Rose Bowl



GLTA

look at the 1st quarter under as well
GL

http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=espn:12150514

Love the analysis man! Thanks

Also really like where you're head's at Mike

Thanks for your input gl.

Better Coach
Better Defense
Better Special teams


Ohio State +6


GLTA

Thanks for this, interesting and Insightful

Ohio State Buckeyes
12-1 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins 10-1 ATS after scoring 42 points or more last game 8-1 ATS off 4 or more consecutive overs

Oregon Ducks
6-5 ATS after 8 or more consecutive straight up wins 11-8 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread 42-23 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread


And even after all of the info I am reading. I am leaning to jumping on that Duck Island. But what do I know. It's been a horrible bowl season and NFL play offs.

GLTA

Forgot Better Offense



GLTA

Ka-ching!