The Buckeyes look to make history tonight as they invade Iowa City and try and take the 5th straight win off of Iowa. This would set a new record for the Buckeyes and would earn them their 15th straight win. OSU is one of the highest scoring best shooting teams in the league. They have faced a number of less talented squads which may be the reason for their early scoring success. However they did open league play and continued their sizzling hot run as they shot 60.5% in that game, including 68.5% from beyond the arc. In fact the buckeyes are slightly below 50% the past 4 games from 3 point land. This could be rough on the Hawkeyes as they opened league play with a loss against Illinois, mainly due to the fact that they let them shoot 72.2% from deep. It was a **** poor defensive performance by Iowa and I look for them to get back on track after their worst defensive outing of the year. I should also mention that after the OSU win over Indiana although getting the win, both coaches and players alike were disappointed in their defensive effort. I wouldn't be surprised to see the best defensive games out of both of these squads tonight. I feel the public perception is way off on this game total tonight. Everyone is seeing OSU lighting up the scoreboard and in turn are betting up the over as the opener of 133 has been taken up to 135.5 at some outs. The books have the ability to inflate this line because of recent performance. In reality a total hasn't been opened this high in the series since 2005. OSU D is strong and should be stronger after a very poor effort against the hoosiers. With that being said I feel that Iowa will not score over 70 in this game. They know that they can't run with the buckeyes and will have to rely on defense to possibly get them a big upset. They should fight hard and I don't expect them to roll over and let OSU take their 5th straight and set history. Currentely the public is eating up the over at a 73% clip.
I see this game landing between 125-130. Good value at nearly a 5pt difference.
Add this......Please note the average total posted and the close to 60% win rate in which this system covers the spread by 7 points or more.....
Play Under - All teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (OHIO ST) - after 10 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (>= 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%).
(31-8 since 1997.) (79.5%, +22.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 134.7
The average score in these games was: Team 68.9, Opponent 57.3 (Total points scored = 126.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 22 (57.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-4).