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StatFox John
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Registered: Jul 2005
Posts: 1421

FoxSheets MLB: What wins?

Steve has done an extensive review for the FoxSheets users to find the best systems. Check it out:

FoxSheets MLB: What wins?

Old Post 05-07-09 12:46 AM
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StatFox Steve
Administrator

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 857

Response to questions received about this

Hi everyone, we've received a lot of questions already about the MLB systems article, so to continue to try and clear up any confusion about it, I've gone ahead and qualified the plays for each of the described systems on todays MLB betting board. Hope this helps (and wins)!

MLB153: Play on ANY team - Combination- 4 Key Edges or more PLUS SP ERA Edge
'09 Record to Date: 42-15 (73.7%, +22.25 units)
R.O.I: 39.0% - Monthly $100/unit Return: $2225
Plays for 5/7/09: Minnesota, Boston, Chi White Sox, Colorado, LA Dodgers

MLB72: Play on ANY team - Matchup Trends Side (at least 10*)
'09 Record to Date: 46-31 (59.7%, +17.45 units)
R.O.I: 22.7% - Monthly $100/unit Return: $1745
Plays for 5/7/09: Boston, Florida, LA Dodgers, Philadelphia, Arizona

MLB147: Play on ANY team - Combination-At least 10 Matchup Trend Stars & Estimator Win
'09 Record to Date: 23-12 (65.7%, +7.75 units)
R.O.I: 22.1% - Monthly $100/unit Return: $775
Plays for 5/7/09: Boston, LA Dodgers, Arizona

MLB167: Play on ANY Dog team - Upset System - Estimator & Power Ratings Project Tie or Outright Upset
'09 Record to Date: 18-13 (58.1%, +6.8 units)
R.O.I: 21.9% - Monthly $100/unit Return: $680
Plays for 5/7/09: Toronto, Minnesota

MLB36: Play on ANY TOTAL - Multiple 4* Super Situations
'09 Record to Date: 6-4 (60.0%, +1.5 units)
R.O.I: 15.0% - Monthly $100/unit Return: $150
Plays for 5/7/09: NONE

MLB30: Play on ANY TOTAL - At least 15* Super Situations
'09 Record to Date: 22-15 (59.5%, +5.45 units)
R.O.I: 14.7% - Monthly $100/unit Return: $545
Plays for 5/7/09: LAD-WAS Under, NYM-PHI Under

MLB66: Play on ANY Dog team - Power Rating Straight Up "UPSET" Winner
'09 Record to Date: 31-27 (53.4%, +7.85 units)
R.O.I: 13.5% - Monthly $100/unit Return: $785
Plays for 5/7/09: Philadelphia, Texas, Minnesota, Toronto

MLB114: Play on ANY team - Total Composite Stars Side Minimum of 50 (opponent <50)
'09 Record to Date: 65-53 (55.1%, +12.8 units)
R.O.I: 10.8% - Monthly $100/unit Return: $1280
Plays for 5/7/09: Florida, Houston, Kansas City, LA Dodgers, Philadelphia

MLB156: Play on ANY team - Situations Combination- More Super Situation Stars & More Situational Trend Stars
'09 Record to Date: 68-64 (51.5%, +11.85 units)
R.O.I: 9.0% - Monthly $100/unit Return: $1185
Plays for 5/7/09: Minnesota, Chi White Sox, Colorado, Florida, Houston, Toronto, Tampa Bay, St Louis

MLB141: Play on ANY team – 4 Key Edges or more (SS, Est., PwrLine, Trends, Comp Stars)
'09 Record to Date: 102-69 (59.6%, +15.15 units)
R.O.I: 8.9% - Monthly $100/unit Return: $1515
Plays for 5/7/09: Minnesota, Boston, Chi White Sox, Colorado, Kansas City, Toronto, LA Dodgers, St Louis

MLB42: Play on ANY Dog team - Estimator Straight Up Winner "Tie or UPSET"
'09 Record to Date: 35-34 (50.7%, +5.7 units)
R.O.I: 8.3% - Monthly $100/unit Return: $570
Plays for 5/7/09: San Francisco, Milwaukee, Minnesota, Toronto

MLB45: Play on ANY team - Estimator Margin >=2.0 runs
'09 Record to Date: 34-18 (65.4%, +4.1 units)
R.O.I: 7.9% - Monthly $100/unit Return: $410
Plays for 5/7/09: Boston, Kansas City, NY Yankees, St Louis

MLB150: Play on ANY team - Trend Sweep (Matchup, Situational, Manager)
'09 Record to Date: 97-85 (53.3%, +13.15 units)
R.O.I: 7.2% - Monthly $100/unit Return: $1315
Plays for 5/7/09: Minnesota, Boston, Houston, Kansas City, LA Dodgers, Philadelphia, Tampa Bay, Texas, St Louis

MLB78: Play on ANY team - Situational Trends Side
'09 Record to Date: 193-177 (52.2%, +16.2 units)
R.O.I: 4.4% - Monthly $100/unit Return: $1620
Plays for 5/7/09: Minnesota, Boston, Chi White Sox, Cincinnati, Colorado, Florida, Houston, Kansas City, LA Dodgers, Philadelphia, Tampa Bay, Texas, San Diego, St Louis

MLB159: Play on ANY team - Combination-More Composite Stars & Better Bullpen WHIP
'09 Record to Date: 103-91 (53.1%, +7.8 units)
R.O.I: 4.0% - Monthly $100/unit Return: $780
Plays for 5/7/09: Minnesota, Boston, Milwaukee, Colorado, Kansas City, Toronto, LA Dodgers, Philadelphia, Tampa Bay, St Louis

MLB108: Play on ANY team - More Composite Stars Side
'09 Record to Date: 192-180 (51.6%, +12.22 units)
R.O.I: 3.3% - Monthly $100/unit Return: $1222
Plays for 5/7/09: Minnesota, Boston, Chi White Sox, Milwaukee, Colorado, Florida, Houston, Kansas City, Toronto, LA Dodgers, Philadelphia, Tampa Bay, Texas, San Diego, St Louis

CONFLICT ANGLES

MLB163: Conflicts - Super Situations conflict with Total Trend Stars
Play on: TOTAL TREND STARS EDGE
'09 Record to Date: 94-77 (55.0%, +10.8 units)
R.O.I: 6.3% - Monthly $100/unit Return: $1080
Plays for 5/7/09: Boston, Cincinnati, Kansas City, Philadelphia, Texas, Arizona

MLB164: Conflicts - Estimator conflicts with Composite Stars
Play on: COMPOSITE STARS EDGE
'09 Record to Date: 79-101 (43.9%, +6.42 units)
R.O.I: 3.6% - Monthly $100/unit Return: $642
Plays for 5/7/09: Colorado, Florida, Houston, Philadelphia, Tampa Bay, Texas, San Diego

MLB160: Conflicts - Super Situations conflict with Estimator
Play on: GAME ESTIMATOR
'09 Record to Date: 107-80 (57.2%, +2.7 units)
R.O.I: 1.4% - Monthly $100/unit Return: $270
Plays for 5/7/09: Boston, San Francisco, Atlanta, Chicago Cubs, Kansas City, NY Yankees, Arizona

MLB162: Conflicts - Estimator conflicts with Total Trend Stars
Play on: TOTAL TREND STARS EDGE
'09 Record to Date: 79-93 (45.9%, +2.42 units)
R.O.I: 1.4% - Monthly $100/unit Return: $242
Plays for 5/7/09: Colorado, Florida, Houston, Philadelphia, Tampa Bay, Texas

MLB161: Conflicts - Estimator conflicts with Power Rating
Play on: POWER RATING LINE
'09 Record to Date: 31-30 (50.8%, +0.05 units)
R.O.I: 0.1% - Monthly $100/unit Return: $5
Plays for 5/7/09: Colorado, Philadelphia, Texas

Old Post 05-07-09 09:37 PM
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qs185
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 1866

Do you have any data for how these have done in prior seasons?

Thanks,
Bart

Old Post 05-09-09 09:28 PM
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haappyy


Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 184

atl 1 W
fla 7

pit 0
st.l 7 W

sf 2 W
col 9

az 4
sd 3 W

mil 3
cin 2 W

phi 11
ny 0 W

cub 1 W
hou 7

was 0 W
la 9

sea 0
kc 9 W

tx 8
oak 0 W

tb 7 W
ny 2

min 10
bal 0 W

cle 0
bost 11 W

det 0
chi 6 W

tor 7
la 0 W

Old Post 05-11-09 06:02 PM
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StatFox Steve
Administrator

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 857

Hopefully people are still following this in May

As I got a chance to collect some of the May data this morning, and I see the Four Key Edges system was 10-3 on Monday and Tuesday of this week.

That system offers these plays for today:

Florida - both Games 1 & 2
Atlanta
Boston
Chi White Sox
Philadelphia
Kansas City
LA Dodgers
NY Yankees
LA Angels
Tampa Bay

If you narrow it down to the 4 Key Edges plus the Starting Pitcher ERA edge, the list is narrowed to this:

Chi White Sox
Kansas City
LA Dodgers
LA Angels

I will have a full update again at the end of the month, but feel free to keep your comments and questions coming in

Steve

Old Post 05-20-09 09:33 PM
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StatFox Steve
Administrator

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 857

The update for May's games has been completed

in this series...

You can access it here:

FoxSheets MLB Key Betting Systems Update

Continued success to all...

Steve

Old Post 06-04-09 06:13 PM
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RDTrains
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2003
Posts: 12050

Steve

Thanks for all the work.

I assume the "Play on any team" means a ML play. Did you get a chance to look at RL Super Situtations, there is some very fertile ground there.

Old Post 06-09-09 01:15 AM
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burytheb
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2005
Posts: 1977

june 13th results

not a large enought sample but this is the results of yesterdays tracking. this is using the ml

most or + super situations 6-9

estimator 6-9

powerline 5-10

total trends (all three) plus: 11-4
(composite of 10 or greater 9-1)

era 8-7

any four of the above out of 5. 3-3
all five of five. 1-1


burytheb




Burytheb

Old Post 06-14-09 12:29 PM
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burytheb
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Registered: Jan 2005
Posts: 1977

follow up to above post

with four or more of the above qualifiers and a composite trends of +10 or higher went 4-1.

those winners yesterday were:

houston
st louis
colorado
san francisco


the loser was cinncinnatti

burytheb




Burytheb

Old Post 06-14-09 02:03 PM
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dhillon


Registered: Aug 2008
Posts: 101

Where exactly are the Composite trends on the sheet?

I can't find it anywhere. I just searched around like an idiot for 5 minutes now.

Old Post 06-15-09 01:43 AM
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dhillon


Registered: Aug 2008
Posts: 101

Trouble finding the Statfox Power ratings too.

Old Post 06-15-09 01:47 AM
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burytheb
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Registered: Jan 2005
Posts: 1977

dh

dh

the composite is the sum of the power, situational and coach.

add each team up and the team with the most and is at least 10 greater than the other team is the play.

the second sort is the other four categories if your plus 10 or more team has three of the other four categories than thats the play.

these went 3-1 sunday.


burhtheb




Burytheb

Old Post 06-15-09 10:22 AM
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burytheb
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Posts: 1977

dh

the powerline says powerline-titled- then shows each team power rating




Burytheb

Old Post 06-15-09 10:23 AM
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dhillon


Registered: Aug 2008
Posts: 101

Thanks btb

Old Post 06-15-09 11:12 AM
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dhillon


Registered: Aug 2008
Posts: 101

BTB, just checked up on that. I think there's a difference between the Powerline Estimator and Power Ratings.

Here it is below:


MLB173 ~ Play on: ANY TEAM - Combination-Power Rating Edge PLUS BP WHIP Edge

Explanation: With the meteroic rise of success backing teams with better Bullpen WHIP statistics, several combination systems using that stat edge in conjunction with key FoxSheets info edges have produced good returns. This simple system using the StatFox Power Ratings is the best of them.

Old Post 06-15-09 11:27 AM
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burytheb
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dillon

thanks for the info




Burytheb

Old Post 06-17-09 11:00 PM
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burytheb
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Posts: 1977

statfox john or steve

have you an update for this in june?


been tracking it myself and find (lately-yesterday 2-0) that 4-1 edges are working using


1.supersituations
2.estimator edge
3.powerline edge
4.composite +10 stars (situtional-power and manager)
5. pitching era for season.

can you update june the way you did may to validate/



burytheb




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Old Post 07-07-09 08:56 PM
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StatFox Steve
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Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 857

Latest update is here...

FoxSheets Baseball Systems Update for June

Steve

Old Post 07-07-09 11:28 PM
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