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Chico1856
StatFox Hall of Famer
Registered: Sep 2005
Posts: 6165
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Friday's college football information
Navy is 16-5 vs spread on road since Johnson has been coach. Temple is 6-3 vs spread as home dog last two years; they lost to Navy last two years, 38-17/42-6; Middies had 420 rushing yards in last year's game. Home side covered five of last six in series; Temple is hoping for sellout, with Navy (hour away) hoping to bring 25,000-30,000 fans.
Syracuse has new QB, and 5-18 record under Robinson, but are 17-7 vs spread in last 24 home games, 22-5 vs spread outside of the Big East. Washington lost 17 of last 21 road games, has new QB (highly touted redshirt freshman); they're 6-3-1 vs spread on road under Willingham. Huskies have two OL starters back.
Saturday's college football information
Top 10 Games of Week
Ole Miss starting less-mobile, more dependable Adams at QB in place of Tennessee transfer Schaeffer; Rebels beat Memphis the last two years (10-6/28-25), but Ole Miss covered just six of last 15 on road, lost nine of last 10 SU on road. Tigers covered four of last 12 as dog; they have senior QB and four starters back on OL. Ole Miss is 2-6 vs spread as road favorite since 2001.
Wisconsin is 11-5-1 vs spread in last 17 tries as home fave; they covered six of last seven non-league games, last four openers. Washington State has senior QB with 28 starts; they are 6-4 vs spread in last ten road games, but are 3-5 as road dog last three seasons. Badgers have four starters back on OL, but also have new QB, who has started only two games in his college career.
Georgia Tech won last three road openers, all vs ranked teams; they lost 14-10 to Notre Dame LY (+6.5); they were outgained in that game, 384-259. Irish are 6-13 in last 19 tries as home favorite, 4-8 under Weis. Tech is 9-5 vs spread on road last three years; they have new QB, which will be improvement, because Ball was horrible. Irish have only nine starters back (4 offense, 5 defense)
Missouro-Illinois is annual hoop game in St Louis; now they are doing it in football too; good idea. Mizzou won last five openers is 10-6 vs spread in last 16 games away from home. Illini is 8-28 SU last three years, 4-7 vs spread in last 11 non-league games. Both sides have three seniors starting on OL; biggest variable is how much did Illini's Williams improve as a passer?
Home side won eight of last nine UCLA-Stanford games; Bruins won last visit here 30-27 (OT) in '05. First game for Harbaugh as Cardinal coach; they have senior QB who started seven games when Edwards was hurt LY. UCLA is 3-6 vs spread as a favorite on road under Dorrell; they had seven sacks in 31-0 home win vs Cardinal LY, but have junior QB with only five starts.
Wake Forest is 17-7 as road dog under Grobe, 26-12 as dog at all sites; they won three of last four games vs Boston College, with all four decided by seven or less points. Deacons are 11-6 vs the spread in last 17 ACC games. BC was 42-57/402 passing in last year's 21-14 loss to Wake. Eagles have senior QB with 18 starts, but have new coach- they're 5-2-1 in last eight as a home fave.
Great chance for explosive Oklahoma State to play on national stage at Georgia, where Dawgs are just 5-10-1 in last sixteen as a home favorite, and have SEC rival South Carolina on deck. OSU covered eight of last 11 non-league games, but they've been bad on road (just 7-19 as road dog, 2-6 with Gundy). OSU QB Reid is vet with 19 starts. Georgia has soph QB with eight starts.
Underdog covered four of last five Colorado-Colorado St games with last five all decided by seven or less pts, and four decided by five or less. Both sides are struggling; Buffs covered six of last 17 non-league games- they had only 146 total yards last yr, in 14-10 loss. Colorado's new QB is coach Hawkins' son, redshirt freshman. State has a senior QB with 17 career starts.
Kansas State covered two of last seven as road dog, and three of last 11 non-league games; they have soph QB with five starts under his belt, vs Auburn defense with seven starters back, so they'll be tough. Tigers have senior QB, but new punter, kicker, long snapper, and four new starters on OL. K-State got good by scheduling weak teams early; this game is cash grab by them.
Tennessee waxed Cal LY, 35-18, in game that was 35-3 after 3rd quarter; Vols outgained Bears 514-336, and had four TD plays of 40+ yards. Cal covered just two of last seven non-league games. Both sides have vet QB and three starters back on OL, but three of Vols' OL starters are sophs, still young. Tennessee is 8-3 vs spread in last 11 tries as dog; since '04, they're 6-4 as road dog.
Rest of the Card
Western Michigan is 8-6 vs spread as road dog last three years, 5-3 vs spread outside of MAC. West Virginia is 6-12-1 vs spread in last nineteen games as home favorite.
Emotional day for Virginia Tech team that won last three home openers by combined score of 146-0; they play LSU next; Tech covered 15 of last 23 tries as home favorite.
Miami covered just nine of last 28 as home favorite; they open last season in Orange Bowl hosting Marshall squad that lost its three games vs bigtime opponents LY, 42-10/23-7/33-7.
Michigan State covered eight of last 27 as home favorite; they won last eight home openers by 18-point average. UAB has new coach, new QB; new head coaches on both sidelines here.
UConn covered four of last 14 road games. Duke lost twenty in row SU, has covered only six of last 21 at home, but they have whole OL back and vet QB, while UConn has a new QB.
Virginia beat Wyoming 13-12 in OT LY (-9) on missed PAT; UVa lost nine of last ten road games, covered one of last seven out of ACC. Wyoming outgained Cavs 313-206 LY; they're 18-11 vs spread in their last 29 home games.
Arizona State transfer Keller makes Nebraska debut at QB; they are 15-10 vs spread in last 25 tries as home favorite. Nevada has covered just two of last 10 as road dog, but they were 5-1 vs the spread away from home last season.
Iowa failed to cover last six tries as favorite away from home; in '06, they were 1-6 as favorite, beating Northern Illinois 24-14 as a 16-pt favorite. New QB this year for Hawkeyes, who outgained Huskies 405-196 in last year's meeting.
Houston breaks in new QB, replacing Kolb, who had played in Briles' system for seven years (HS/college). Oregon won 38-24 at Houston in '05; they've covered seven of last nine as favorite at home. Lookahead alert: Ducks play Michigan next week.
Arizona beat BYU last season 16-13 on 48-yd FG with 0:06 left; 'cats are 7-3 vs spread in last ten road games, but lost last five road openers- they have 17 starters back and explosive vet QB in Tuitama, with 13 career starts. BYU has new QB.
Army actually shut Zips out 20-0 in Akron in '05, but since, the Cadets fell apart, to point that former Arenaball coach Brock is their new coach. Zips lost their QB and four starters on OL, and are 7-12 vs spread in last nineteen tries as home favorite.
Central Florida is 7-12 vs spread in last nineteen tries as dog on road; they have four starters back on OL, but new QB. NC State has new coach; they're 3-13 vs spread in last 16 as home fave, and have ACC game at Boston College up next.
Underdog Baylor led TCU 7-0 at halftime LY, but Horned Frogs were 11-13/148 passing in second half, and won 17-7. Frogs are 6-2 vs spread in last eight as home favorite, but they have date at Texas next week, so could be looking ahead.
Kansas is 7-4 vs spread in last 11 tries as home favorite, but the QB is a soph, and they lost three starters off OL. Central Mich lost their coach to Cincinnati, but they have a prolific soph QB, and new coach who was WR coach at West Virginia.
Pittsburgh is 6-3 as home favorite under Wannstedt, but they'll have freshman at QB, so hard to lay 20 with them. E. Michigan is 10-7 vs spread as road underdog under Genyk, but are 5-14 in non-league games since 2000.
Purdue is 2-0-1 vs spread in last three tries as road favorite, but is 8-13-1 overall as favorite since 2004; they have junior QB with 19 career starts. Both sides have three starters back on the OL.
Minnesota is switching from running team to spread offense, so new coach, new QB for team that covered 10 of last 13 as home favorite under Mason. Bowling Green is 10-12 last two seasons, after Brandon had great success taking over for Urban Meyer.
Home side won last two New Mexico-UTEP games, with Lobos losing last visit here, 21-13 (+2.5). Miners covered just four of 11 at home last two years. Lobos covered 16 of last 21 on the road; they have 18 starters back (8 offense, 10 defense).
Arizona State is 21-15 as home favorite since '00; they have QB with 18 career starts, as Erickson makes his debut at ASU, third Pac-10 team he's coached. San Jose had resurgence LY, playing in a bowl; their QB is senior, with 26 career starts.
USC is 45-point favorite over Idaho; Trojans' DL coach is former head coach of Vandals. USC covered 11 of last 15 in non-league games. Idaho has new QB, and third head coach in three years.
Penn State has Notre Dame coming to town next week, so they'll be under wraps here, vs Florida International squad that has a new coach, new QB, but OL with five starters back. Penn State is 6-3-1 as home favorite the last two years.
Texas is 24-16 as home favorite since '00; they've covered five of last six non-league games. Both teams lost three starters on OL and have soph QB. Longhorns won last seven openers by 52-5 average score.
Oklahoma plays Miami next week, so could be underwraps vs a North Texas team coached by former Texas QB Dodge, who was a great high school coach before taking this job. Both teams are breaking in new QBs; Sooners have five juniors starting on OL.
South Carolina QB Mitchell is out for this game (academics) and one of their CBs is suspended for legal reasons, so with Georgia on deck, Gamecocks have issues to deal with; they're 7-2 as fave under Spurrier, 4-2 at home.
Arkansas has great RBs, shaky QBs, and coach under scrutiny after last year's lousy finish. Troy State played at Florida State, Georgia Tech and Nebraska in consecutive weeks last year and covered two of the three; they're 7-5 as road dog since 2004.
Middle Tennessee beat Florida Atlantic by 35-14 score in each of last two years; MTSU is 5-3 as road dog last two years. FAU is 0-4 as home favorite in program history; they have 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense, after rebuilding 5-7 mark in '06.
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08-30-07 07:25 PM |
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