The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping |
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msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535
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Sean Manaea has been incredibly sharp of late, as the New York Mets are making a push for a playoff spot. Manaea has a 3.26 ERA and a 3.73 xERA on the year. He has an Average Exit Velocity under 89 mph and an above average Hard-Hit Rate. His ground-ball rate could use some work, but he is striking out almost 26% of batters and missing bats consistently.
His opponent will be Ranger Suárez and the Philadelphia Phillies. Suárez has a 3.13 ERA and a 3.38 xERA on the season. Unlike Manaea, Suárez won't produce many strikeouts, but can limit walks and hard contact, and keep the ball on the ground.
However, the New York Mets have thrived against lefties, especially in the past month. In that timeframe, the Mets have a 131 wRC+, a 9.8% walk rate and a 18.5% strikeout rate.
The Phillies have a 115 wRC+, a 8.9% walk rate and a 18.6% strikeout rate over the past month against lefties.
In relief, the Mets have a 3.72 xFIP, a 29.2% strikeout rate and a 9.7% walk rate in the past month.
Meanwhile, the Phillies bullpen has a 3.97 xFIP, a 21.5% strikeout rate and a 7.7% walk rate in that timeframe.
The Mets are even when it comes to starting pitching and better in the bullpen and at the plate, so bet the Mets moneyline. Play to New York to -135.
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09-21-24 04:58 PM |
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