4:07 p.m. ET: Oakland Athletics at Los Angeles Angels (-125, 9)

The Angels (32-46) have taken the first two games of this three-game series, winning the opener 5-1 as -135 home favorites and then winning again last night 7-5 as -115 home favorites. In this late afternoon series finale, the Athletics (29-53) turn to righty Joey Estes (2-2, 5.53 ERA) and the Angels tap fellow righty Roansy Contreras (1-0, 3.90 ERA). This line opened with Los Angeles listed as a -115 home favorite and Oakland a +105 road dog. Sharps have laid the short chalk with the Angels to complete the sweep, driving Los Angeles up from -115 to -125. The Angels are receiving roughly 65% of moneyline bets and dollars, indicating both Pro and Joe support in addition to a 10-cent steam move in their favor. Los Angeles has the edge on offense, hitting .236 with 319 runs scored compared to Oakland hitting .221 with 294 runs scored. When two sub .500 teams face off, the favorite is 165-111 (60%) with a 2% ROI this season. Estes has an 8.02 ERA on the road compared to 2.79 at home. Oakland is 11-30 on the road, the 2nd worst road team in MLB ahead of only the White Sox (8-33). Pros also seem to be leaning over as the total is 9 with the over juiced to -115. The forecast calls for low 80s with clear skies and 10 MPH winds blowing out to dead center at Angel Stadium.

7:10 p.m. ET: New York Yankees (-125, 8.5) at New York Mets

The Mets (38-39) stole last night’s Interleague series opener 9-7, cashing as +125 home dogs. In tonight’s rematch, the Yankees (52-29) send out righty Luis Gil (9-2, 2.77 ERA) and the Mets rebuttal with lefty Sean Manaea (4-3, 4.16 ERA). This line opened with the Yankees listed as a -140 road favorite and the Mets a +120 home dog. The public expects the Yankees to bounce back and they’re rushing to the window to lay the chalk with the Bronx Bombers. However, despite receiving 83% of moneyline bets we’ve seen the Yankees fall from -140 to -125. This signals sharp reverse line movement on the Mets, with the line moving in their favor (+120 to +110) despite being the unpopular bet. The Mets are only receiving 17% of moneyline bets, making them the top contrarian play of the day. The Mets have correlative betting value as a dog in a high total game (8.5), with the more expected runs scored leading to more variance and upset opportunities. Nic Lentz, the home plate ump, is 59% to the home team historically. The Mets are 8-2 over their last ten games, hitting .304 with a 3.48 ERA. Meanwhile, the Yankees are 3-7 over their last ten games, hitting just .214 with a 6.03 ERA. Gil has a 5.50 ERA in four June starts and just got lit up by the Orioles, allowing 7 earned runs in just 1.1 innings pitched.

Great night - thanks