Starting Pitchers: Garrett Crochet vs. Luis Castillo
We're 2-0 on the NRFI in this series, with one more chance to pick up a win on Thursday.
We've hit both NRFIs despite lesser pitchers taking the mound. But today, we have both teams' ace.
Garrett Crochet of the White Sox has a 3.33 overall ERA, even better ERA indicators and both his ERA and xFIP drop further his first time through the order. His 34.3% strikeout rate is especially problematic for Seattle, which strikes out at the league's highest rate against righties.
On the other side, Luis Castillo holds a 3.35 overall ERA that drops all the way down to 1.75 his first time through the order.
Plus, he gets to face the White Sox, who are now tied for the worst wRC+ in baseball against righties.
While this NRFI is a fairly steep price, Caesars is well off the market at -150. The best price I'm seeing anywhere else is -175, and I have a fair value of nearly -200.