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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
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MLB Lagniappe 5/20

Milwaukee (27-19) @ Miami (15-33)
— Ross is 1-1, 3.60 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee is 3-5 in his starts.
— over 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-2
— He is 2-2, 2.53 in five starts vs Miami.

— Brewers are 1-3 in their last four games.
— They’re 15-10 on road
— Brewers are 8-7 in series openers.
— over 9-3 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 15-46
— record in first 5 innings: 23-17-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.1-3.2

— Weathers is 0-3, 3.64 in his last five starts.
— Miami is 3-6 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-3
— He threw 4 shutout IP in his one start vs Milwaukee.

— Marlins won five of their last seven games.
— Miami is 8-18 at home.
— Marlins are 2-13 in series openers.
— over 16-5 last 21 games.
— scored run in first inning: 11-48
— record in first 5 innings: 17-25-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5.2-5

Old Post 05-20-24 10:20 PM
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Arizona (22-25) @ Los Angeles (32-17)
— bullpen game

— Arizona split its last ten games.
— Diamondbacks are 10-12 on road.
— Diamondbacks are 3-12 in series openers.
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 16-47
— record in first 5 innings: 20-17-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2.1-3

— Yamamoto is 3-0, 2.10 in his last four starts.
— Dodgers are 5-4 in his starts.
— over 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— Dodgers are 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Dodgers are 10-1 in their last 11 home games.
— Dodgers are 10-6 in series openers.
— under 7-4 last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 20-48
— record in first 5 innings: 28-17-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-2.2

Old Post 05-20-24 10:20 PM
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Boston (23-24) @ Tampa Bay (25-23)
— Houck is 0-4, 3.73 in his last five starts.
— Boston is 4-5 in his starts.
— under 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-1
— He is 0-4, 5.91 in six games (4 starts) vs Tampa Bay.

— Red Sox are 5-11 in their last 16 games.
— They’re 13-11 on the road.
— Red Sox are 5-10 in series openers.
— over 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 17-47
— record in first 5 innings: 25-15-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2.1-3

— Bradley is 1-1, 2.45 in two starts.
— Tampa Bay is 1-1 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He is 3-0, 4.20 in three starts vs Boston.

— Tampa Bay is 11-5 in its last 16 games.
— Rays are 14-12 at home.
— Rays are 6-9 in series openers.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 13-48
— record in first 5 innings: 18-23-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.2-3-2.2

Old Post 05-20-24 10:20 PM
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Seattle (25-22) @ Bronx (33-15)
— Gilbert is 1-2, 5.30 in his last three starts.
— Seattle is 5-4 in his starts
— under 7-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2-2
— He is 1-2, 7.97 in four starts vs New York.

— Seattle split its last 12 games.
— Mariners are 10-12 on the road.
— Mariners are 2-5 in road series openers.
— over 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 10-47
— record in first 5 innings: 21-20-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-2

— Stroman is 1-1, 3.86 in his last four starts.
— New York is 6-3 in his starts.
— under 7-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-3
— He is 1-2, 3.75 in four starts vs Seattle.

— New York is 14-3 in its last 17 games.
— They’re 16-6 at home.
— New York is 10-5 in series openers.
— under 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 17-48
— record in first 5 innings: 26-14-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-3

Old Post 05-20-24 10:22 PM
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Detroit (23-23) @ Kansas City (29-19)
— Olson is 0-1, 1.04 in his last four starts.
— Tigers scored total of 8 runs in his last six starts.
— Detroit is 1-7 in his starts.
— under 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-8
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-3
— He is 0-1, 2.41 in three starts vs Kansas City.

— Detroit split its last eight games.
— Tigers are 13-10 on road.
— Tigers are 8-7 in series openers.
— over 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 14-46
— record in first 5 innings: 19-18-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3

— Wacha is 2-0, 3.00 in his last two starts.
— Kansas City is 4-5 in his starts.
— under 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5-2
— He is 1-1, 3.43 in four starts vs Detroit.

— Royals are 9-4 in their last 13 games.
— Royals are 18-8 at home.
— Royals are 6-2 in home series openers.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 17-48
— record in first 5 innings: 25-16-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.1-3

Old Post 05-20-24 10:22 PM
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LA Angels (18-29) @ Houston (21-26)
— Detmers is 0-4, 8.19 in his last five starts.
— Angels lost his last five starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 0-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5-1
— He is 1-3, 6.42 in seven starts vs Houston.

— Angels are 6-9 in their last 15 games.
— They’re 12-13 on road.
— Angels are 7-8 in series openers.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 10-47
— record in first 5 innings: 17-27-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-1.1

— Valdez is 3-1, 3.28 in his last four starts.
— Houston is 3-3 in his starts.
— under 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Milwaukee.

— Houston won nine of its last 11 games.
— Astros are 13-13 at home.
— Astros are 8-7 in series openers.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 17-47
— record in first 5 innings: 22-21-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.1-2.2

Old Post 05-20-24 10:22 PM
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NY Mets (21-25) @ Cleveland (30-17)
— Megill gave up 2 runs in 4 IP in his first ‘24 start.
— Mets are 0-1 in his starts- that was March 31st.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Cleveland.

— New York is 9-17 in its last 26 games.
— Mets are 11-11 on road.
— Mets are 6-10 in series openers.
— over 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 14-46
— record in first 5 innings: 16-20-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2.2-4

— Lively is 2-1, 3.38 in his last four starts.
— Guardians are 3-3 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He is 3-2, 2.25 in five games (4 starts) vs New York.

— Cleveland won six of last seven games.
— Guardians are 15-6 at home.
— Guardians are 5-2 in home series openers.
— under 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 10-47
— record in first 5 innings: 21-19-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-2

Old Post 05-20-24 10:22 PM
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Minnesota (24-22) @ Washington (20-25)
— Lopez is 3-1, 3.42 in his last four starts.
— Minnesota is 5-4 in his starts.
— under 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 4-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5
— He is 4-3, 3.98 in 13 starts vs Washington.

— Twins lost seven of last eight games.
— They’re 13-11 on road
— Twins are 7-8 in series openers.
— under 6-1 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 13-46
— record in first 5 innings: 20-22-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-4-0.2

— Parker is 0-2, 4.05 in his last four starts.
— Washington is 3-3 in his starts.
— under 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota.

— Nationals are 2-8 in their last ten games.
— They’re 7-10 at home.
— Nationals are 7-8 in series openers.
— under 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 7-45
— record in first 5 innings: 18-23-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-3.2

Old Post 05-20-24 10:23 PM
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Baltimore (29-15) @ St Louis (20-26)
— Kremer is 3-1, 3.75 in his last four starts.
— Baltimore is 4-4 in his starts.
— over 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-1
— He gave up 5 runs in 4.1 IP in his one start vs St Louis.

— Baltimore is 12-5 in its last 17 games.
— Orioles are 12-5 on road.
— Orioles are 10-5 in series openers.
— over 4-3 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 10-44
— record in first 5 innings: 25-15-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3

— Gray is 1-1, 9.00 in his last two starts (11 IP)
— St Louis is 5-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-2
— He is 6-6, 4.58 in 14 starts vs Baltimore.

— Cardinals won five of last seven games.
— They’re 8-12 at home.
— Cardinals are 10-5 in series openers.
— over 10-1 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 9-46
— record in first 5 innings: 13-26-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-6

Old Post 05-20-24 10:23 PM
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(959) BOSTON (23-24) at (960) TAMPA BAY (25-23)
Trend: BOS is 2-12 (-10.55 units) in the -120 to +100 line range by starter Tanner Houck
System Match: FADE BOSTON (-108 at TB)

Trend: TB was 2-9 (-7.57 units) as a -120 favorite or worse (including underdog) with Taj Bradley last season (1-1, +0.10 unit this season)
System Match: FADE TAMPA BAY (-112 vs BOS)

(961) SEATTLE (25-22) at (962) NEW YORK-AL (33-15)
Trend: SEA is 28-13 (+20.00 units) as an underdog with Logan Gilbert in L3 seasons (including 14-5 (+10.21 units) on the ROAD within -105 to +115 line range)
System Match: PLAY SEATTLE (+120 at NYY)

(963) DETROIT (23-23) at (964) KANSAS CITY (29-19)
Trend: DET is 5-2 (+3.87 units) vs KC/MIN with starter Reese Olson
System Match: PLAY DETROIT (-102 at KC)

Top Head-To-Head Series MLB Betting Trends

Series #15: Boston at Tampa Bay, Mon 5/20-Wed 5/22
Trend: Boston has lost 16 of its L17 (5.9%, -15.03 units) games at Tampa Bay
– The ROI on this trend is -88.4%
System Matches: FADE BOSTON (-108 at TB)

Old Post 05-20-24 10:38 PM
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