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msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535
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NCAAB Lagniappe 2/07
Tuesday, 02/07/2023 (617) LOUISVILLE vs. (618) PITTSBURGH
Favoring: LOUISVILLE against the spread.
Play Against - Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (PITTSBURGH) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a terrible team (<=20%)
(50-16 since 1997.) (75.8%, +32.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-0 +7 units).
Tuesday, 02/07/2023 (621) OLE MISS vs. (622) GEORGIA
Favoring: GEORGIA against the spread.
Play On - Home teams as a favorite or pick (GEORGIA) - after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games
(49-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.1%, +29.2 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (9-7 +1.3 units).
Tuesday, 02/07/2023 (629) DRAKE vs. (630) MURRAY ST
Favoring: DRAKE against the spread.
Play On - A favorite (DRAKE) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 165 points or more 2 straight games
(23-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (85.2%, +18.6 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1 -0.1 units).
Tuesday, 02/07/2023 (619) AUBURN vs. (620) TEXAS A&M
Favoring: TEXAS A&M against the spread.
Play Against - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (AUBURN) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog
(43-15 since 1997.) (74.1%, +26.5 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1 +1.9 units).
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02-07-23 08:20 AM |
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msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535
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Tuesday, 02/07/2023 (601) RUTGERS vs. (602) INDIANA
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams against the total (RUTGERS) - excellent free throw shooting team (>=73%) against a good free throw shooting team (69-73%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games
(53-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.7%, +34.3 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (12-2 +9.8 units).
Tuesday, 02/07/2023 (601) RUTGERS vs. (602) INDIANA
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams against the total (RUTGERS) - excellent FT shooting team (>=73%) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game)
(53-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.7%, +34.3 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (12-2 +9.8 units).
Tuesday, 02/07/2023 (601) RUTGERS vs. (602) INDIANA
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams against the total (RUTGERS) - excellent FT shooting team (>=73%) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games
(53-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.7%, +34.3 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (12-2 +9.8 units).
Tuesday, 02/07/2023 (625) CINCINNATI vs. (626) TULANE
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (TULANE) - after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more, with all five starters returning from last season
(45-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.3%, +29.6 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-3 +1.7 units).
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02-07-23 08:20 AM |
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msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535
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Marquette @ UConn
Marquette (19-5, 11-2) ranked #8 by KenPom
Tempo: #98
Experience: #301
Continuity: #104
Marquette won five in row, 10 of last 11 games.
Marquette is 4-2 SU in Big East road games, 1-2 ATS as a road dog.
Marquette is shooting 60.4% inside arc (#1), 35.4% on arc (#101)
Eagles are forcing turnovers 22.9% of time (#20)
Eagles are #270 team on defensive boards.
Marquettes schedule, to this point: #36
bench minutes: #269
Marquettes best win: 82-76 over #6 UConn
UConn (18-6, 7-6) ranked #6 by KenPom
Tempo: #185
Experience: #115
Continuity: #253
UConn is 4-6 in last ten games, after a 14-0 start.
Huskies are 5-2 SU/2-4 ATS as a Big East home favorite.
In Big East play, UConn is shooting 48.7% inside arc (#7 of 11), 33.9% on arc (#7)
Huskies are #10 team in country on offensive boards.
UConn lost six of last seven games against top 100 teams.
UConns schedule, to this point: #37
bench minutes: #184
UConns best win: 82-67 over #5 Alabama
UConn (-2.5) lost 82-76 at Marquette January 11
Huskies won four of last five series games.
Marquette lost 80-62/80-72 in last two visits to the Nutmeg State.
Big East home favorites of 5 or less points are 11-5 ATS.
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02-07-23 08:22 AM |
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msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535
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Tuesday, 02/07/2023 (635) ST JOHNS vs. (636) BUTLER
Favoring: ST JOHNS on the first half line.
Play Against - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (BUTLER) - average defensive team (67-74 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG), after scoring 55 points or less
(55-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.3%, +35.2 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (9-2 +6.8 units).
Tuesday, 02/07/2023 (617) LOUISVILLE vs. (618) PITTSBURGH
Favoring: LOUISVILLE on the first half line.
Play On - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (LOUISVILLE) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more
(27-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.8%, +20.4 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).
Tuesday, 02/07/2023 (621) OLE MISS vs. (622) GEORGIA
Favoring: OLE MISS on the first half line.
Play Against - A home team vs. the 1rst half line (GEORGIA) - off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a bad team (20% to 40%)
(54-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.0%, +30.9 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (9-6 +2.4 units).
Tuesday, 02/07/2023 (647) S CAROLINA vs. (648) MISSOURI
Favoring: S CAROLINA on the first half line.
Play Against - A home team vs. the 1rst half line (MISSOURI) - off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a bad team (20% to 40%)
(54-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.0%, +30.9 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (9-6 +2.4 units).
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02-07-23 08:44 AM |
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msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535
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Tuesday, 02/07/2023 (629) DRAKE vs. (630) MURRAY ST
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 (MURRAY ST) - after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 80 points or more 2 straight games
(64-24 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.7%, +37.6 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (9-0 +9 units).
Tuesday, 02/07/2023 (637) COLORADO ST vs. (638) AIR FORCE
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 (COLORADO ST) - after allowing 80 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games
(88-41 since 1997.) (68.2%, +42.9 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1 -1.1 units).
Tuesday, 02/07/2023 (605) TOLEDO vs. (606) AKRON
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Home teams against the total (AKRON) - off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals, on Tuesday nights
(55-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.4%, +30.8 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-1 +4.9 units).
Tuesday, 02/07/2023 (627) E TENN ST vs. (628) UNC-GREENSBORO
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Home teams against the total (UNC-GREENSBORO) - off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals, on Tuesday nights
(55-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.4%, +30.8 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-1 +4.9 units).
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02-07-23 08:54 AM |
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