The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping |
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Cosmo Kramer
Registered: Apr 2015
Posts: 699
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Thank you Mike.
Greatest thread on the forum!
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03-14-19 03:05 PM |
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msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535
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The Jayhawks (13-17-1 ATS) are stumbling into the Big 12 tourney from a gambling perspective, failing to cover in four of their past five contests (1-3-1 ATS). On the flip side, the Longhorns (15-16 ATS) dropped their final two regular season games ATS.
Nevertheless, Shaka Smart’s crew will get its leading-scorer Kerwin Roach II (15.0 ppg) back after serving a five-game suspension. The 6-foot-4 guard is one of Texas’ primary ball-handlers, plus he contained the speedy Kansas guard Devon Dotson in both of their matchups.
Roach’s elite on-ball defense helped the Longhorns cover in each of those games, as well as their ability to control the boards The 6-foot-11 Jaxson Hayes (5.1 rpg) played a major role in that department, and he also managed to limit Naismith Player of the Year candidate Dedric Lawson to just 13 points (4-of-15 shooting) in their second meeting.
The Jayhawks rely on 18.1% of their scoring to come from the line, tallying the third-highest free-throw rate (32.8%) in conference play. Texas has held its Big 12 opponents to the fourth-lowest rate (29.8%), though, so Bill Self’s unit could get into trouble if it’s unable to push the floor by owning the glass.
At the other end, Kansas is yielding the highest 3-point scoring rate (38.4%) in league play. That won’t bode well vs. the Longhorns’ third-ranked perimeter scoring percentage (36.1%), led by freshman guard Courtney Ramey (39.3%).
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03-14-19 10:22 PM |
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