let see about what people to say about any possible wagers in all the areas today
GL

The 149th running of the Belmont Stakes will place on Saturday, June 10th at Belmont Park in Elmont, New York. The 1.5-mile long race is the third and final leg of the Triple Crown, although history will not be made this year. Always Dreaming (+500) was the winner of the 2017 Kentucky Derby and Cloud Computing (+1650) was the winner of the 2017 Preakness Stakes.

In an interesting twist, Always Dreaming and Cloud Computing have decided to skip the Belmont Stakes and Classic Empire, who would have been the favorite among the remaining contenders, withdrew from the race due to a recurrent foot abscess. That means this will be one of the most wide-open fields in recent memory.

Irish War Cry, who had a tenth place finish at the Kentucky Derby, opened as the +330 favorite at 5Dimes.

It’s widely known that the public loves to root for the league’s best teams and high-scoring offenses. As a result, the majority of wagers are placed on favorites and overs. Since oddsmakers can easily predict this behavior, sportsbooks react by shading their lines and forcing public bettors to lay extra points when betting on favorites and overs.

Since 2005, we have tracked the majority of moneyline bets (at least 51% of tickets) on the favorite in 79.9% of regular season baseball games. Over that same period, the majority of public bettors have taken the over in 75.8% of regular season games. Although the majority of bettors are slightly more likely to take the favorite than the over, it’s worth noting that these bet types are not created equal.

Most totals have roughly -110 juice on each side, but bettors often have to lay massive numbers to take the favorite. Sportsbooks don’t necessarily need 50/50 action to balance their book when dealing with a mammoth moneyline — they need to balance their liability. If 40% of the money is taking a +200 underdog and 60% of the money is taking their opponent at -240, sportsbooks would actually pay out more if the underdog comes through. In other words, it’s slightly tougher to gauge liability on the moneyline as opposed to the total, but it’s clear that public bettors love taking overs just as much as they love taking favorites.

“Totals aren’t too far behind the moneylines in terms of tickets, but because we have higher limits for the moneylines they don’t come close in that regard,” confirmed Scott Cooley, a spokesman for the market-setting Bookmaker.eu. “Totals are still a sharper market for sure, but the public is still very involved.” Even tough the ticket counts are similar for moneyline and totals, public money won’t have a tremendous impact on line movement based on the lower limits.

Contrarian bettors can realize added value by exploiting moneylines that have been artificially inflated based on public betting, however, most sportsbooks don’t take enough public money on totals to justify any line movement. Instead of adjusting their totals based on public money, they allow their sharpest bettors to shape the number. That means you’re not going to find and value unless you’re targeting games with extreme levels of one-sided public betting and limited sharp involvement.

Weather is another major consideration for anybody betting on MLB totals, as the wind speed and direction can greatly affect the total. As a basic example, the under has gone 930-754 (55.2%) when the wind is blowing in and 732-584 (55.6%) when the wind is blowing in at 5 miles per hour or faster.

Public money plays a larger role in baseball than it does in most other sports based on the sheer volume of games. When sharp bettors aren’t involved, sportsbooks will adjust their numbers if there’s a significant exposure on one side. There’s far less money wagered on the total than there is on the moneyline, but you can extract value in games with extremely one-sided public betting. That said, bettors can likely realize greater profits by capitalizing on weather patterns and other historically profitable trends.

Saturday, 06/10/2017 (381) CLEVELAND vs. (382) PHILADELPHIA
Favoring: CLEVELAND against the spread.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 57.4, OPPONENT 49.7

we still have the 2 teams that have been cashing all season long

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 6/9/17)
Ariz 9-30……..14-33……….23
Atl 6-32……..7-27………..13
Cubs 5-27……..14-33………..19
Reds 10-26……..15-34………25
Colo 8-33……..8-30..……….16
LA 8-29……..13-32..…….21
Miami 11-30……..12-30………23
Milw 11-26……17-36…..…..28
Mets 10-25……..14-32……….24
Philly 10-33……..6-26……….16
Pitt 9-32……..9-29…………18
StL 8-28……..8-30………..16
SD 15-32……..7-30…………22
SF 7-38……..7-28………….14
Wash 11-33……..11-27………22

Orioles 3-28……..11-31……….14
Boston 10-32……..6-28………..16
White Sox 10-36…….8-23………..18
Clev 7-31……..10-27……….17
Detroit 6-32…….13-28………19
Astros 9-31……..13-31……….22
KC 4-27……..5-33…………8
Angels 14-35…….5-30……….19
Twins 6-267……..8-30……….14
NYY 8-29……..10-29……….18
A’s 3-29……..9-32……….12
Seattle 10-31…….13-31………23
TB 9-30……..17-33………26
Texas 9-28……..14-32………22
Toronto 9-30……..7-31………..16

Epicharis is a scratch in Belmont Stakes

LAA 40-16 UNDER (+21.9 Units) when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons

Yankees pitchers have not allowed a hit with RISP in the past 8 games ( opponents 0-42 w/RISP)

Gsellman for the Mets has been hit hard on the road with a 9.20 ERA in four appearances.

Adam West, star of the 1960s hit TV series Batman, dies at 88 after a battle with leukaemia, his family says

Gio Gonzalez record this year at home f5

2017
5-0
64.4%
+$322

Jeff Samardjiza
Record F5 at home this year
2017
1-3
-56.4%
-$225

L3Y at home
12-15
Money Won:
-$563
ROI:-20.9%

Andriese is undefeated at home this year. Holding a record of
2017
7-0
85.8%
+$601

another Home guy is undefeated this season in f5
Miranda for Mariners
his record is
A Miranda
9-0
83.1%
+$748

And lastly we have Alex wood going for the dodgers whos also undefeated his record is
2017
4-0
54.4%
+$218

Hoffman ,small sample size but hes
2017
2-0
84.5%
+$169

Straily f5 road record
2017
1-4
-52.8%
-$264

Berriors F5 road record
2017
2-1
38.8%
+$117

Kennedy road f5 record
2017
0-3
0%
-$300

Manaea career road f5 record
S Manaea
3-10
-51%
-$663

Stroman f5 road record
2017
4-1
44.3%
+$222

Guerra career f5 road record
J Guerra
7-3
65.6%
+$656

Wojchiewo
career road f5
Visitor
0-2
0%
-$200

Last 10 years,with the wind blowing out at Wrigley from 16-20 MPH the avg runs scored in 6 games has been 12, spot on
GL

Twins are 17-5 in their last 22 road games; over is 7-4-1 in their last 12 games. Giants are 3-8 in their last 11 games; under is 15-6-2 in their last 23 home games.

Gerry davis when betting the OVER f5 is
2017
2-9
-62.6%
-$689
9-2 UNDER run

Greb Gibson when betting the OVER f5 is
2017
3-8
-50.1%
-$551
8-3 UNDER run

Quinn Wolcott when betting the OVER f5 is
2017
7-2
52.3%
+$471

Andy Fletcher when betting the OVER f5 is
2017
3-7
-41.2%
-$412
7-3 UNDER run

Gsellman on the road this year f5 the OVER is
2017
3-0
93.8%
+$281

Carlos Martinez at Home f5 when betting the OVER is
2017
0-6
0%
-$600
6-0 under run

Samardjiza at home F5 when betting the OVER is
2017
4-1
53.7%
+$268

Josh Tomlin At home f5 when betting the OVER is
2017
4-1
49.2%
+$246

Luis Severino at home f5 when betting the OVER is
2017
1-4
-63.5%
-$317

Chris Sale at home f5 when betting the OVER is
2017
1-5
-66.2%
-$397

splits with a flip

[958] ATL BRAVES GM1 -104

Orioles are currently +219 tonight at NYY, biggest underdogs they’ve been in a Chris Tillman start since 2010