The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping |
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denham
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Jan 2010
Posts: 1675
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3-0 teams
Teams that have started the season with three straight wins are 43-9 SU and 35-17 ATS (67 percent winning clip) if that fourth game is played at home. And that’s even facing an average spread of -5.8 points, a line that’s likely inflated a bit by the public’s love affair with 3-0 teams.
This Sunday, the Falcons (-6.5 vs. Texans), Bengals (-4 vs. Chiefs), Cardinals (-7 vs. Rams), and Broncos (-7 vs. Minnesota) are all touting a 3-0 mark on home turf, which looks good for their backers if this trend continues to hold water.
On the flip side of this, 3-0 teams hitting the road for their fourth contest of the season are only 33-40 SU (.452 winning percentage) and just 31-39-3 ATS, only covering the spread 44 percent of the time while facing an average spread of -1.6 points.
That has the Panthers (-3 at Bucs) and Packers (-8 at Niners) looking a little less tempting in Week 4. The Patriots, who enjoy the Week 4 bye, are in Dallas next Sunday with lookahead lines tagging the Super Bowl champs as 8.5-point road favorites.
- From Covers
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10-02-15 11:55 PM |
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