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playtowin
Restricted User
Registered: Apr 2006
Posts: 8329
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ADDING
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 2-games-1:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 2-games-1 irrespective of site order (San Antonio) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 670-229 (.745)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 140-41 (.773)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 283-61 (.823)
series record, NBA only, Finals round: 46-8 (.852)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 449-450 (.499)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 92-89 (.508)
Game 4 record, NBA only, all rounds: 174-170 (.506)
Game 4 record, NBA only, Finals round: 27-27 (.500)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1215 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 2-games-1 @ VVH:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 2-games-1 with site order VVH (San Antonio) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 204-114 (.642)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 37-19 (.661)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 68-30 (.694)
series record, NBA only, Finals round: 12-3 (.800)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 170-148 (.535)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 31-25 (.554)
Game 4 record, NBA only, all rounds: 62-36 (.633)
Game 4 record, NBA only, Finals round: 9-6 (.600)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1215 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.
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06-13-13 07:37 PM |
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playtowin
Restricted User
Registered: Apr 2006
Posts: 8329
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ADDING
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WLW:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team leading WLW irrespective of site order (San Antonio) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 210-91 (.698)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 51-18 (.739)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 92-26 (.780)
series record, NBA only, Finals round: 18-4 (.818)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 151-150 (.502)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 30-39 (.435)
Game 4 record, NBA only, all rounds: 55-63 (.466)
Game 4 record, NBA only, Finals round: 5-17 (.227)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1215 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WLW @ VVH:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team leading WLW with site order VVH (San Antonio) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 82-55 (.599)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 14-10 (.583)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 36-16 (.692)
series record, NBA only, Finals round: 5-2 (.714)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 77-60 (.562)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 11-13 (.458)
Game 4 record, NBA only, all rounds: 33-19 (.635)
Game 4 record, NBA only, Finals round: 3-4 (.429)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1215 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.
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06-13-13 07:39 PM |
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playtowin
Restricted User
Registered: Apr 2006
Posts: 8329
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Conference Finals: (2) Miami Heat vs. (4) Boston Celtics
May 28
8:30 pm Recap Boston Celtics 79, Miami Heat 93 American Airlines Arena, Miami, Florida
Attendance: 19,912
Referees: Dan Crawford, Ed Malloy, Jason Phillips, ESPN
Scoring by quarter: 11–21, 35–25, 15–26, 18–21
Pts: Kevin Garnett 23
Rebs: Kevin Garnett 10
Asts: Rajon Rondo 7 Pts: LeBron James 32
Rebs: LeBron James 13
Asts: Dwyane Wade 7
May 30
8:30 pm Recap Boston Celtics 111, Miami Heat 115 OT American Airlines Arena, Miami, Florida
Attendance: 19,973
Referees: Ken Mauer, James Capers, Tom Washington, ESPN
Scoring by quarter: 24–18, 29–28, 22–35, 24–18, OT: 12–16
Pts: Rajon Rondo 44
Rebs: Brandon Bass 10
Asts: Rajon Rondo 10 Pts: LeBron James 34
Rebs: Udonis Haslem 11
Asts: LeBron James 7
June 1
8:30 pm Recap Miami Heat 91, Boston Celtics 101 TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts
Attendance: 18,624
Referees: Scott Foster, Mike Callahan, Rodney Mott ESPN
Scoring by quarter: 28–30, 14–25, 21–30, 28–16
Pts: LeBron James 34
Rebs: LeBron James 8
Asts: Mario Chalmers 6 Pts: Kevin Garnett 24
Rebs: Kevin Garnett 11
Asts: Rajon Rondo 10
June 3
8:30 pm Recap Miami Heat 91, Boston Celtics 93 OT TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts
Attendance: 18,624
Referees: Joe Crawford, Bill Kennedy, Greg Willard, ESPN
Scoring by quarter: 23–34, 24–27, 21–12, 21–16, OT: 2–4
Pts: LeBron James 29
Rebs: Udonis Haslem 17
Asts: Dwyane Wade 6 Pts: Paul Pierce 23
Rebs: Kevin Garnett 14
Asts: Rajon Rondo 15
June 5
8:30 pm Recap Boston Celtics 94, Miami Heat 90 American Airlines Arena, Miami, Florida
Attendance: 20,021
Referees: Monty McCutchen, Ron Garretson, Derrick Stafford, ESPN
Scoring by quarter: 16–24, 24–18, 25–18, 29–30
Pts: Kevin Garnett 26
Rebs: Kevin Garnett 11
Asts: Rajon Rondo 13 Pts: LeBron James 30
Rebs: Udonis Haslem 14
Asts: Chalmers, Wade 3 each
June 7
8:30 pm Recap Miami Heat 98, Boston Celtics 79 TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts
Attendance: 18,624
Referees: Dan Crawford, Tony Brothers, Tom Washington ESPN
Scoring by quarter: 26–16, 29–26, 19–19, 24–18
Pts: LeBron James 45
Rebs: LeBron James 15
Asts: LeBron James 5 Pts: Rajon Rondo 21
Rebs: Brandon Bass 7
Asts: Rajon Rondo 10
June 9
8:30 pm Recap Boston Celtics 88, Miami Heat 101 American Airlines Arena, Miami, Florida
Attendance: 20,114
Referees: Joe Crawford, Mike Callahan, Scott Foster ESPN
Scoring by quarter: 27–23, 26–23, 20–27, 15–28
Pts: Rajon Rondo 22
Rebs: Rajon Rondo 10
Asts: Rajon Rondo 14 Pts: LeBron James 31
Rebs: LeBron James 12
Asts: Mario Chalmers 7
Miami wins series 4–3
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06-13-13 08:15 PM |
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playtowin
Restricted User
Registered: Apr 2006
Posts: 8329
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ADDING
San Antonio: The Spurs are the hottest team in basketball right now, having won eight of their last nine games and covering in seven of those contests. While they got blown out in Game 2, San Antonio has been as good as Miami, in fact better, and the next two games are on their home floor.
Miami: Each time the Heat has lost a game in the postseason, they won the next game by an average of 21.6 points per game, which is massive. Miami is 20-7 against the spread in their last 27 road games and they still have the best player in the world playing for them, who not to mention is coming off a very poor Game 3.
Since 2003-2004 , there have been 56 games where the 1 seed played against the 2 seed.
The 1 seed has a straight up record of 22-34-0 (The 2 seed is 34-22-0 straight up)
The 1 seed has a record against the spread of 18-38-0 (The 2 seed is 38-18-0 ATS)
The game went over the total 24 times, under 31 times, and pushed 1 times
Miami currently has 61.1% odds to win this series.
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06-13-13 08:23 PM |
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